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A probabilistic performance-oriented control design optimization approach is introduced for flight systems. Aiming at estimating rare-event probabilities accurately and efficiently, subset simulation is combined with surrogate modeling…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-20 Dalong Shi , Florian Holzapfel

Two of the principle tasks of causal inference are to define and estimate the effect of a treatment on an outcome of interest. Formally, such treatment effects are defined as a possibly functional summary of the data generating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-26 Herbert Susmann , Antoine Chambaz

This paper presents a novel learning-based approach to construct a surrogate problem that approximates a given parametric nonconvex optimization problem. The surrogate function is designed to be the minimum of a finite set of functions,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Renzi Wang , Panagiotis Patrinos , Alberto Bemporad

We consider the problem of indirect comparison, where a treatment arm of interest is absent by design in one randomized controlled trial but available in the other. The former is the target trial, and the latter is the source trial. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-06 Zehao Su , Helene C. W. Rytgaard , Henrik Ravn , Frank Eriksson

We investigate the bounding problem of causal effects in experimental studies in which the outcome is truncated by death, meaning that the subject dies before the outcome can be measured. Causal effects cannot be point identified without…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-29 Aixian Chen , Xia Cui , Guangren Yang

Stepped-wedge designs are increasingly used in randomized experiments to accommodate logistical and ethical constraints by staggering treatment roll-out over time. Despite their popularity, existing analytical methods largely rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Liangbo Lyu , Bingkai Wang

We propose and analyse a reduced-rank method for solving least-squares regression problems with infinite dimensional output. We derive learning bounds for our method, and study under which setting statistical performance is improved in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-17 Luc Brogat-Motte , Alessandro Rudi , Céline Brouard , Juho Rousu , Florence d'Alché-Buc

Supervised learning requires a large amount of training data, limiting its application where labeled data is scarce. To compensate for data scarcity, one possible method is to utilize auxiliary tasks to provide additional supervision for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Baifeng Shi , Judy Hoffman , Kate Saenko , Trevor Darrell , Huijuan Xu

Intercurrent events, common in clinical trials and observational studies, affect the existence or interpretation of final outcomes. Principal stratification addresses this challenge by defining local average treatment effect estimands…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Jiaqi Tong , Brennan Kahan , Michael O. Harhay , Fan Li

A Theory-guided Auto-Encoder (TgAE) framework is proposed for surrogate construction and is further used for uncertainty quantification and inverse modeling tasks. The framework is built based on the Auto-Encoder (or Encoder-Decoder)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Nanzhe Wang , Haibin Chang , Dongxiao Zhang

A surrogate endpoint S in a clinical trial is an outcome that may be measured earlier or more easily than the true outcome of interest T. In this work, we extend causal inference approaches to validate such a surrogate using potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-04 Emily Roberts , Michael Elliott , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

Machine unlearning seeks to remove the influence of designated training data while preserving performance on the remaining data. Approximate unlearning can be viewed as a local editing problem; in min-max unlearning, the key local object is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Junhao Cai , Dohun Kim , Dowon Kim , Sung Il Choi , Chengjun Jin , Juhyun Park , Changhee Joo

We present a new estimator of the restricted mean survival time in randomized trials where there is right censoring that may depend on treatment and baseline variables. The proposed estimator leverages prognostic baseline variables to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-22 Iván Díaz , Elizabeth Colantuoni , Daniel F. Hanley , Michael Rosenblum

Inferring causal effects on long-term outcomes using short-term surrogates is crucial to rapid innovation. However, even when treatments are randomized and surrogates fully mediate their effect on outcomes, it's possible that we get the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-09 Aurélien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus , Simon Ejdemyr , Michael Zhao

We consider inferring the causal effect of a treatment (intervention) on an outcome of interest in situations where there is potentially an unobserved confounder influencing both the treatment and the outcome. This is achievable by assuming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-15 Ruolin Meng , Ming-Yu Chung , Dhanajit Brahma , Ricardo Henao , Lawrence Carin

The problem of structured matrix estimation has been studied mostly under strong noise dependence assumptions. This paper considers a general framework of noisy low-rank-plus-sparse matrix recovery, where the noise matrix may come from any…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-07 Jinhang Chai , Jianqing Fan

There has been increased interest in missing sensor data imputation, which is ubiquitous in the field of structural health monitoring (SHM) due to discontinuous sensing caused by sensor malfunction. To address this fundamental issue, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Pu Ren , Xinyu Chen , Lijun Sun , Hao Sun

Recent breakthroughs in artificial intelligence (AI) are reshaping the way we construct computational counterparts of the brain, giving rise to a new class of ``surrogate brains''. In contrast to conventional hypothesis-driven biophysical…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-14 Yinuo Zhang , Demao Liu , Zhichao Liang , Jiani Cheng , Kexin Lou , Jinqiao Duan , Ting Gao , Bin Hu , Quanying Liu

Many problems in computational science and engineering become one-to-many after coarse graining, partial observation, or inverse reconstruction: a resolved state may not determine a unique subgrid forcing, a structural descriptor may not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Junfeng Chen

We propose an optimization algorithm to improve the design and performance of quantum communication networks. When physical architectures become too complex for analytical methods, numerical simulation becomes essential to study quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-21 Luise Prielinger , Álvaro G. Iñesta , Gayane Vardoyan
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