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In this paper an autoregressive time series model with conditional heteroscedasticity is considered, where both conditional mean and conditional variance function are modeled nonparametrically. A test for the model assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Marie Hušková , Natalie Neumeyer , Tobias Niebuhr , Leonie Selk

High-dimensional auto-regressive models provide a natural way to model influence between $M$ actors given multi-variate time series data for $T$ time intervals. While there has been considerable work on network estimation, there is limited…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-13 Lili Zheng , Garvesh Raskutti

This paper proposes the cross-quantilogram to measure the quantile dependence between two time series. We apply it to test the hypothesis that one time series has no directional predictability to another time series. We establish the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Heejoon Han , Oliver Linton , Tatsushi Oka , Yoon-Jae Whang

Hypothesis testing based on surrogate data has emerged as a popular way to test the null hypothesis that a signal is a realization of a linear stochastic process. Typically, this is done by generating surrogates which are made to conform to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-08-12 Diego Guarin , Alvaro Orozco , Edilson Delgado

Modern data analysis depends increasingly on estimating models via flexible high-dimensional or nonparametric machine learning methods, where the identification of structural parameters is often challenging and untestable. In linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Andrii Babii , Jean-Pierre Florens

Standard tests for nonlinearity reject the null hypothesis of a Gaussian linear process whenever the data is non-stationary. Thus, they are not appropriate to distinguish nonlinearity from non-stationarity. We address the problem of…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Andreas Schmitz , Thomas Schreiber

Random variables in metric spaces indexed by time and observed at equally spaced time points are receiving increased attention due to their broad applicability. The absence of inherent structure in metric spaces has resulted in a literature…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Matthieu Bulté , Helle Sørensen

This paper revisits the Lagrange multiplier type test for the null hypothesis of no cross-sectional dependence in large panel data models. We propose a unified test procedure and its power enhancement version, which show robustness for a…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-01 Zhenhong Huang , Zhaoyuan Li , Jianfeng Yao

This paper develops a novel nonparametric significance test based on a tailored nonparametric-type projected weighting function that exhibits appealing theoretical and numerical properties. We derive the asymptotic properties of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-18 Xiaojun Song , Jichao Yuan

We propose a novel class of time-varying nonparanormal graphical models, which allows us to model high dimensional heavy-tailed systems and the evolution of their latent network structures. Under this model, we develop statistical tests for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Junwei Lu , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

Test of independence is of fundamental importance in modern data analysis, with broad applications in variable selection, graphical models, and causal inference. When the data is high dimensional and the potential dependence signal is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Zhanrui Cai , Jing Lei , Kathryn Roeder

In this paper, we verify the large scale structure consistency relations using N-body simulations, including modes in the highly non-linear regime. These relations (pointed out by Kehagias & Riotto and Peloso & Pietroni) follow from the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-30 Angelo Esposito , Lam Hui , Roman Scoccimarro

In this paper, for the problem of heteroskedastic general linear hypothesis testing (GLHT) in high-dimensional settings, we propose a random integration method based on the reference L2-norm to deal with such problems. The asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-19 Mingxiang Cao , Hongwei Zhang , Kai Xu , Daojiang He

In this paper, we analyze the finite sample complexity of stochastic system identification using modern tools from machine learning and statistics. An unknown discrete-time linear system evolves over time under Gaussian noise without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-22 Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas

Motivated by applications in biological science, we propose a novel test to assess the conditional mean dependence of a response variable on a large number of covariates. Our procedure is built on the martingale difference divergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Xianyang Zhang , Shun Yao , Xiaofeng Shao

We propose robust two-sample tests for comparing means in time series. The framework accommodates a wide range of applications, including structural breaks, treatment-control comparisons, and group-averaged panel data. We first consider…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-23 Ulrich Hounyo , Min Seong Kim

In this paper we develop valid inference for high-dimensional time series. We extend the desparsified lasso to a time series setting under Near-Epoch Dependence (NED) assumptions allowing for non-Gaussian, serially correlated and…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-02 Robert Adamek , Stephan Smeekes , Ines Wilms

We propose a novel statistical test to assess the mutual independence of multidimensional random vectors. Our approach is based on the $L_1$-distance between the joint density function and the product of the marginal densities associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Nour-Eddine Berrahou , Salim Bouzebda , Lahcen Douge

The conditional Gaussian nonlinear system (CGNS) is a broad class of nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. Given the trajectories for a subset of state variables, the remaining follow a Gaussian distribution. Despite the conditionally…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen

We investigate the behavior of the Generalized Likelihood Ratio Test (GLRT) (Fan, Zhang and Zhang [Ann. Statist. 29 (2001) 153-193]) for time varying coefficient models where the regressors and errors are non-stationary time series and can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-05 Zhou Zhou