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We develop estimation and inference methods for a stylized macroeconomic model with potentially multiple behavioural equilibria, where agents form expectations using a constant-gain learning rule. We first show geometric ergodicity of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-10 Alexander Mayer , Davide Raggi

We conducted three experiments to investigate how large language models (LLMs) evaluate posterior probabilities. Our results reveal the coexistence of two modes in posterior judgment among state-of-the-art models: a normative mode, which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Shenxiong Li , Huaxia Rui

In this article, we consider modeling ranked responses from a heterogeneous population. Specifically, we analyze data from the Eurobarometer 34.1 survey regarding public policy preferences towards drugs, alcohol and AIDS. Such policy…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-27 Y. Samuel Wang , Ross Matsueda , Elena A. Erosheva

This study re-examines the impact of participative budgeting on managerial performance and budgetary slack, addressing gaps in current research. A revised conceptual model is developed, considering the conditioning roles of leadership style…

General Economics · Economics 2023-10-17 Khalid Hasan Al Jasimee , Francisco Javier Blanco-Encomienda

The important Kemeny problem, which consists of computing median consensus rankings of an election with respect to the Kemeny voting rule, admits important applications in biology and computational social choice and was generalized recently…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Xuan Kien Phung , Sylvie Hamel

How should we decide which fairness criteria or definitions to adopt in machine learning systems? To answer this question, we must study the fairness preferences of actual users of machine learning systems. Stringent parity constraints on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Angie Peng , Jeff Naecker , Ben Hutchinson , Andrew Smart , Nyalleng Moorosi

In this paper we study the problem of statistical inference on the parameters of the semiparametric variance-mean mixtures. This class of mixtures has recently become rather popular in statistical and financial modelling. We design a…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-05-23 Denis Belomestny , Vladimir Panov

Often a screening or selection experiment targets a cell or tissue, which presents many possible molecular targets and identifies a correspondingly large number of ligands. We describe a statistical method to extract an estimate of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-04 Stephen Montgomery-Smith , Francis J. Schmidt

To make informed health policy decisions regarding a treatment, we must consider both its cost and its clinical effectiveness. In past work, we introduced the net benefit separation (NBS) as a novel measure of cost-effectiveness. The NBS is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-27 Nicholas Illenberger , Nandita Mitra , Andrew J. Spieker

Many machine learning algorithms represent input data with vector embeddings or discrete codes. When inputs exhibit compositional structure (e.g. objects built from parts or procedures from subroutines), it is natural to ask whether this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Jacob Andreas

We study budget aggregation under $\ell_1$-utilities, a model for collective decision making in which agents with heterogeneous preferences must allocate a public budget across a set of alternatives. Each agent reports their preferred…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Javier Cembrano , Rupert Freeman , Ulrike Schmidt-Kraepelin , Markus Utke

In this paper, we propose new sequential estimation methods based on inclusion principle. The main idea is to reformulate the estimation problems as constructing sequential random intervals and use confidence sequences to control the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

We explore the notion of degree of asymmetry for integer sequences and related combinatorial objects. The degree of asymmetry is a new combinatorial statistic that measures how far an object is from being symmetric. We define this notion…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-07-14 Sergi Elizalde , Emeric Deutsch

In the classical experimental design setting, an experimenter E has access to a population of $n$ potential experiment subjects $i\in \{1,...,n\}$, each associated with a vector of features $x_i\in R^d$. Conducting an experiment with…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-06 Thibaut Horel , Stratis Ioannidis , S. Muthukrishnan

Choice consistency with utility maximization, as a key assumption in economics, has been extensively used to evaluate decision quality of individuals and to predict real-world outcomes across different contexts. Here we investigate the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-22 Mingshi Chen , Tracy Xiao Liu , You Shan , Shu Wang , Songfa Zhong , Yanju Zhou

We propose a data segmentation methodology for the high-dimensional linear regression problem where regression parameters are allowed to undergo multiple changes. The proposed methodology, MOSEG, proceeds in two stages: first, the data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-02 Haeran Cho , Dom Owens

We initiate the work on fair and strategyproof allocation of indivisible chores. The fairness concept we consider in this paper is maxmin share (MMS) fairness. We consider three previously studied models of information elicited from the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-23 Haris Aziz , Bo Li , Xiaowei Wu

We propose a new method for analyzing a set of parameters in a multiple criteria ranking method. Unlike the existing techniques, we do not use any optimization technique, instead incorporating and extending a Segmenting Description…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Milosz Kadzinski , Jan Badura , Jose Rui Figueira

American democracy is currently heavily reliant on plurality in single-member districts, or PSMD, as a system of election. But public perceptions of fairness are often keyed to partisan proportionality, or the degree of congruence between…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Moon Duchin , Gabe Schoenbach

We consider the problem of cost sensitive multiclass classification, where we would like to increase the sensitivity of an important class at the expense of a less important one. We adopt an {\em apportioned margin} framework to address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-05 Lee-Ad Gottlieb , Eran Kaufman , Aryeh Kontorovich