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A crucial task in predictive maintenance is estimating the remaining useful life of physical systems. In the last decade, deep learning has improved considerably upon traditional model-based and statistical approaches in terms of predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Luca Della Libera , Jacopo Andreoli , Davide Dalle Pezze , Mirco Ravanelli , Gian Antonio Susto

Species distribution models usually attempt to explain presence-absence or abundance of a species at a site in terms of the environmental features (socalled abiotic features) present at the site. Historically, such models have considered…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-25 Shinichiro Shirota , Alan E. Gelfand , Sudipto Banerjee

This paper presents a machine learning framework for Bayesian systems identification from noisy, sparse and irregular observations of nonlinear dynamical systems. The proposed method takes advantage of recent developments in differentiable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Yibo Yang , Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Paris Perdikaris

Well-established methods for the solution of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) typically struggle in problems with high-dimensional inputs/outputs. Such difficulties are only amplified in large-scale applications where even…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-10 Constantin Grigo , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Accounting for exposure measurement errors has been recognized as a crucial problem in environmental epidemiology for over two decades. Bayesian hierarchical models offer a coherent probabilistic framework for evaluating associations…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Changwoo J. Lee , Elaine Symanski , Amal Rammah , Dong Hun Kang , Philip K. Hopke , Eun Sug Park

Bayesian model-based spatial clustering methods are widely used for their flexibility in estimating latent clusters with an unknown number of clusters while accounting for spatial proximity. Many existing methods are designed for clustering…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Kun Huang , Huiyan Sang

Many problems in robotics involve both continuous and discrete components, and modeling them together for estimation tasks has been a long standing and difficult problem. Hybrid Factor Graphs give us a mathematical framework to model these…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Varun Agrawal , Frank Dellaert

Clustering is a crucial task in various domains of knowledge, including medicine, epidemiology, genomics, environmental science, economics, and visual sciences, among others. Methodologies for inferring the number of clusters have often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Clara Grazian

To address three important issues involved in latent variable models (LVMs), including capturing infrequent patterns, achieving small-sized but expressive models and alleviating overfitting, several studies have been devoted to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Pengtao Xie , Jun Zhu , Eric P. Xing

Many wild species affected by human activities require multiple surveys with differing designs to capture behavioural response to wide ranging habitat conditions and map and quantify them. While data from for example intersecting but…

Despite the proliferation of generative models, achieving fast sampling during inference without compromising sample diversity and quality remains challenging. Existing models such as Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPM) deliver…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Yanwu Xu , Mingming Gong , Shaoan Xie , Wei Wei , Matthias Grundmann , Kayhan Batmanghelich , Tingbo Hou

The evolutionary fitness landscape of biological molecules is extremely sparse and heterogeneous, with functional sequences forming isolated dense ``islands'' within a vast combinatorial space of largely non-functional variants. Protein…

Motivated by the analysis of extreme rainfall data, we introduce a general Bayesian hierarchical model for estimating the probability distribution of extreme values of intermittent random sequences, a common problem in geophysical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-26 Enrico Zorzetto , Antonio Canale , Marco Marani

This paper proposes an alternative approach for constructing invariant Jeffreys prior distributions tailored for hierarchical or multilevel models. In particular, our proposal is based on a flexible decomposition of the Fisher information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-29 Thaís C. O. Fonseca , Helio S. Migon , Heudson Mirandola

Bayesian inference in hidden Markov models (HMMs) can be challenging due to the presence of multimodality in the likelihood function, and consequently in the joint posterior distribution, even after correcting for label switching. The…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-01 Marco A. Gallegos-Herrada , Vianey Leos-Barajas , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

This paper presents a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) as mathematical model to describe the spatial-temporal dynamics of predator-prey system in an artificial aquatic environment with schooling behavior imposed upon the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Aditya Dewanto Hartono , Linh Thi Hoai Nguyen , Ton Viet Ta

Modeling species abundance patterns using local environmental features is an important, current problem in ecology. The Cape Floristic Region (CFR) in South Africa is a global hot spot of diversity and endemism, and provides a rich class of…

Computer models are widely used in science and engineering to simulate complex systems. However, these models are affected by several sources of uncertainty, which may limit their use for decision making in risk management. We present a…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-17 Oumar Baldé , Guillaume Damblin , Amandine Marrel , Antoine Bouloré , Loïc Giraldi

Spatial maps of extreme precipitation are crucial in flood protection. With the aim of producing maps of precipitation return levels, we propose a novel approach to model a collection of spatially distributed time series where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-27 Federica Stolf , Antonio Canale

We observe an undirected graph $G$ without multiple edges and self-loops, which is to represent a protein-protein interaction (PPI) network. We assume that $G$ evolved under the duplication-mutation with complementarity (DMC) model from a…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-09 Ajay Jasra , Adam Persing , Alexandros Beskos , Kari Heine , Maria De Iorio
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