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High-dimensional dynamical systems projected onto a reduced-order model cease to be deterministic and are best described by probability distributions in state space. Their equations of motion map onto an evolution operator with a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-20 Javier Jiménez

This paper studies a data-driven predictive control for a class of control-affine systems which is subject to uncertainty. With the accessibility to finite sample measurements of the uncertain variables, we aim to find controls which are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-03 Dan Li , Dariush Fooladivanda , Sonia Martinez

Inferring dynamical models from low-resolution temporal data continues to be a significant challenge in biophysics, especially within transcriptomics, where separating molecular programs from noise remains an important open problem. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Victor Chardès , Suryanarayana Maddu , Michael J. Shelley

The simulation of traffic flow on networks requires knowledge on the behavior across traffic intersections. For macroscopic models based on hyperbolic conservation laws there exist nowadays many ad-hoc models describing this behavior. Based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Michael Herty , Niklas Kolbe

We extend flow matching to ensembles of linear systems in both deterministic and stochastic settings. Averaging over system parameters induces memory leading to a non-Markovian interpolation problem for the stochastic case. In this setting,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Daniel Owusu Adu , Yongxin Chen

To explain day-to-day (DTD) route-choice behaviors and traffic dynamics observed in a series of lab experiments, Part I of this research proposed a discrete choice-based analytical dynamic model (Qi et al., 2023). Although the deterministic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-08 Hang Qi , Ning Jia , Xiaobo Qu , Zhengbing He

This paper proposes the fine-grained traffic prediction task (e.g. interval between data points is 1 minute), which is essential to traffic-related downstream applications. Under this setting, traffic flow is highly influenced by traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Zhanyu Liu , Chumeng Liang , Guanjie Zheng , Hua Wei

Traffic state estimation (TSE), which reconstructs the traffic variables (e.g., density) on road segments using partially observed data, plays an important role on efficient traffic control and operation that intelligent transportation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Rongye Shi , Zhaobin Mo , Kuang Huang , Xuan Di , Qiang Du

Simulation and experimental studies have demonstrated non-equilibrium ordering in driven colloidal suspensions: with increasing driving force, a uniform colloidal mixture transforms into a locally demixed state characterized by the lane…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-07-16 Hiroshi Frusawa

We consider here probabilistic models of transportation flows. The main goal of this introduction is rather not to present various techniques for problem solving but to present some intuition to invent adequate and natural models having…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-24 V. A. Malyshev , A. A. Zamyatin

This paper presents a new approach to the modeling of vehicular traffic flows on road networks based on kinetic equations. While in the literature the problem has been extensively studied by means of macroscopic hydrodynamic models, to date…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-12 Luisa Fermo , Andrea Tosin

Mathematically modelling diffusive and advective transport of particles in heterogeneous layered media is important to many applications in computational, biological and medical physics. While deterministic continuum models of such…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-09-16 Elliot J. Carr

Traffic forecasting is a challenging spatio-temporal modeling task and a critical component of urban transportation management. Current studies mainly focus on deterministic predictions, with limited considerations on the uncertainty and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Weijiang Xiong , Robert Fonod , Nikolas Geroliminis

We introduce a formalism to deal with the microscopic modeling of vehicular traffic on a road network. Traffic on each road is uni-directional, and the dynamics of each vehicle is described by a Follow-the-Leader model. From a mathematical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-25 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Helge Holden , Francesca Marcellini

Microscopic traffic simulation provides a controllable, repeatable, and efficient testing environment for autonomous vehicles (AVs). To evaluate AVs' safety performance unbiasedly, the probability distributions of environment statistics in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-05 Xintao Yan , Shuo Feng , Haowei Sun , Henry X. Liu

Timeseries generated from a dynamical source can often be modeled as sample paths of a stochastic differential equation (SDE). The timeseries thus reflects the motion of a particle which flows along the direction provided by a drift /…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Suddhasattwa Das

The purpose of this paper is to examine the Lagrangian stochastic modeling of the fluid velocity seen by inertial particles in a nonhomogeneous turbulent flow. A new Langevin-type model, compatible with the transport equation of the drift…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2009-07-01 Boris Arcen , Anne Tanière

Recent endeavors aimed at forecasting future traffic flow states through deep learning encounter various challenges and yield diverse outcomes. A notable obstacle arises from the substantial data requirements of deep learning models, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Zhaohui Yang , Kshitij Jerath

Traffic flow at low densities (free traffic) is characterized by a quasi-one-dimensional relation between traffic flow and vehicle density, while no such fundamental diagram exists for `synchronized' congested traffic flow. Instead, a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Dirk Helbing , Davide Batic , Martin Schoenhof , Martin Treiber

Many approaches to modelling reaction-diffusion systems with anomalous transport rely on deterministic equations and ignore fluctuations arising due to finite particle numbers. Starting from an individual-based model we use a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-29 Joseph W. Baron , Tobias Galla