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Causal discovery is a data-driven paradigm for analyzing complex systems, while physics-based models, such as ordinary differential equations (ODEs), provide mechanistic structure for real-world dynamical processes. Integrating these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Jianhong Chen , Naichen Shi , Xubo Yue

Traffic flow modeling relies heavily on fundamental diagrams. However, deterministic fundamental diagrams, such as single or multi-regime models, cannot capture the uncertainty pattern that underlies traffic flow. To address this…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-25 Yuan-Zheng Lei , Yaobang Gong , Xianfeng Terry Yang

We propose and analyse a new microscopic second order Follow-the-Leader type scheme to describe traffic flows. The main novelty of this model consists in multiplying the second order term by a nonlinear function of the global density, with…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Dario Mazzoleni , Emanuela Radici , Filippo Riva

We propose a stochastic reachability computation framework for occupancy prediction in automated driving by directly solving the underlying transport partial differential equation governing the advection of the closed-loop joint density…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Shadi Haddad , Abhishek Halder , Baljeet Singh

The stochastic interpolant framework offers a powerful approach for constructing generative models based on ordinary differential equations (ODEs) or stochastic differential equations (SDEs) to transform arbitrary data distributions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Yuhao Liu , Yu Chen , Rui Hu , Longbo Huang

Spatial-temporal forecasting has attracted tremendous attention in a wide range of applications, and traffic flow prediction is a canonical and typical example. The complex and long-range spatial-temporal correlations of traffic flow bring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Zheng Fang , Qingqing Long , Guojie Song , Kunqing Xie

Simulating turbulent fluid flows is a computationally prohibitive task, as it requires the resolution of fine-scale structures and the capture of complex nonlinear interactions across multiple scales. This is particularly the case in direct…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ismaël Zighed , Nicolas Thome , Patrick Gallinari , Taraneh Sayadi

We study closed systems of particles that are subject to stochastic forces in addition to the conservative forces. The stochastic equations of motion are set up in such a way that the energy is strictly conserved at all times. To ensure…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-05 Tânia Tomé , Mário J. de Oliveira

Accurate traffic flow prediction, a hotspot for intelligent transportation research, is the prerequisite for mastering traffic and making travel plans. The speed of traffic flow can be affected by roads condition, weather, holidays, etc.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Jianlei Kong , Xiaomeng Fan , Xue-Bo Jin , Min Zuo

We derive a conservation law on a network made of two incoming branches and a single outgoing one from a discrete traffic flow model. The continuous model is obtained from the discrete one by letting the number of vehicles tend to infinity…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-09-04 P Cardaliaguet

Extreme events occur across the natural, engineering, and socioeconomic sciences, where rare but high-impact episodes can lead to disproportionate consequences that pose major challenges for prediction and risk management. Existing studies…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Charlotte Moser , Nan Chen , Marios Andreou

We propose a generative framework for learning stochastic dynamics from endpoint and intermediate distributional observations. The method formulates generation as a McKean-Vlasov control problem in which terminal and time-marginal laws are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Samer El Boustany , Samy Mekkaoui , Yadh Hafsi , Alexandre Alouadi , Huyên Pham

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a ubiquitous modeling framework that finds applications in physics, biology, engineering, social science, and finance. Due to the availability of large-scale data sets, there is growing interest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ziheng Guo , James Greene , Ming Zhong

Modeling car-following behavior is fundamental to microscopic traffic simulation, yet traditional deterministic models often fail to capture the full extent of variability and unpredictability in human driving. While many modern approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-30 Chengyuan Zhang , Zhengbing He , Cathy Wu , Lijun Sun

This article develops a stochastic differential equation (SDE) for modeling the temporal evolution of queue length dynamics at signalized intersections. Inspired by the observed quasiperiodic and self-similar characteristics of the queue…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-18 Shakib Mustavee , Shaurya Agarwal , Arvind Singh

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) describe dynamical systems where deterministic flows, governed by a drift function, are superimposed with random fluctuations, dictated by a diffusion function. The accurate estimation (or discovery)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , David Berghaus , Cesar Ojeda , Ramses J. Sanchez

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou

This paper considers the relaxed version of the transport problem for general nonlinear control systems, where the objective is to design time-varying feedback laws that transport a given initial probability measure to a target probability…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-27 Karthik Elamvazhuthi , Piyush Grover , Spring Berman

We consider Markov models of large-scale networks where nodes are characterized by their local behavior and by a mobility model over a two-dimensional lattice. By assuming random walk, we prove convergence to a system of partial…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-04-27 Max Tschaikowski , Mirco Tribastone

Reconstructing PDE solutions from sparse observations is a core challenge in scientific computing. We present FM4PDE, a flow-matching generative framework that learns the joint distribution of PDE coefficients (or initial states) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Xifeng Zhang , Jin Zhao