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Real-world applications have been dealing with large amounts of data that arrive over time and generally present changes in their underlying joint probability distribution, i.e., concept drift. Concept drift can be subdivided into two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Gustavo Oliveira , Leandro Minku , Adriano Oliveira

In the transformative landscape of smart cities, the integration of the cutting-edge web technologies into time series forecasting presents a pivotal opportunity to enhance urban planning, sustainability, and economic growth. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

Load forecasting is a crucial topic in energy management systems (EMS) due to its vital role in optimizing energy scheduling and enabling more flexible and intelligent power grid systems. As a result, these systems allow power utility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Firas Bayram , Phil Aupke , Bestoun S. Ahmed , Andreas Kassler , Andreas Theocharis , Jonas Forsman

In our digital universe nowadays, enormous amount of data are produced in a streaming manner in a variety of application areas. These data are often unlabelled. In this case, identifying infrequent events, such as anomalies, poses a great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Jin Li , Kleanthis Malialis , Marios M. Polycarpou

A failure detection system is the first step towards predictive maintenance strategies. A popular data-driven method to detect incipient failures and anomalies is the training of normal behaviour models by applying a machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Iñigo Martinez , Elisabeth Viles , Iñaki Cabrejas

Concept drift in learning and classification occurs when the statistical properties of either the data features or target change over time; evidence of drift has appeared in search data, medical research, malware, web data, and video. Drift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Abhijit Suprem

Recent deep trajectory predictors (e.g., Jiang et al., 2023; Zhou et al., 2022) have achieved strong average accuracy but remain unreliable in complex long-tail driving scenarios. These limitations reveal the weakness of the prevailing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Lu Bowen

The ability to detect and adapt to changes in data distributions is crucial to maintain the accuracy and reliability of machine learning models. Detection is generally approached by observing the drift of model performance from a global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Flavio Giobergia , Eliana Pastor , Luca de Alfaro , Elena Baralis

Multimodal learning systems often struggle in non-stationary environments due to concept drift, where changing data distributions can degrade performance. Modality-specific drifts and the lack of mechanisms for continuous, stable adaptation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Tianyu Bell Pan , Mengdi Zhu , Alexa Jordyn Cole , Ronald Wilson , Damon L. Woodard

Concept drift refers to the change of data distributions over time. While drift poses a challenge for learning models, requiring their continual adaption, it is also relevant in system monitoring to detect malfunctions, system failures, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Barbara Hammer

Federated learning (FL) is a machine learning paradigm that allows multiple clients to collaboratively train a shared model without exposing their private data. Data heterogeneity is a fundamental challenge in FL, which can result in poor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Tao Shen , Zexi Li , Didi Zhu , Ziyu Zhao , Chao Wu , Fei Wu

Recent advancements in deep learning have led to the development of various models for long-term multivariate time-series forecasting (LMTF), many of which have shown promising results. Generally, the focus has been on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Shiyi Qi , Zenglin Xu , Yiduo Li , Liangjian Wen , Qingsong Wen , Qifan Wang , Yuan Qi

In the pursuit of autonomous learning systems, the foundational assumption of stationarity, the premise that data distributions and model behaviors remain constant, is fundamentally untenable. Historically, the research community has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Xiaoyu Yang , En Yu , Jie Lu

We propose a novel adaptive Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) framework for time series forecasting that enhances expert specialization by incorporating expert-specific loss information directly into the training process. Notably, the overall…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Btissame El Mahtout , Florian Ziel

Understanding and predicting the duration or "return-to-normal" time of traffic incidents is important for system-level management and optimisation of road transportation networks. Increasing real-time availability of multiple data sources…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-18 Kieran Kalair , Colm Connaughton

Predicting counterfactual distributions in complex dynamical systems is essential for scientific modeling and decision-making in domains such as public health and medicine. However, existing methods often rely on point estimates or purely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Wenhao Mu , Zhi Cao , Mehmed Uludag , Alexander Rodríguez

Effective network state classification is a primary task for ensuring network security and optimizing performance. Existing deep learning models have shown considerable progress in this area. Some methods excel at analyzing the complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Yuan Gao , Xuelong Wang , Zhenguo Dong , Yong Zhang

When deploying time series forecasting models based on machine learning to real world settings, one often encounter situations where the data distribution drifts. Such drifts expose the forecasting models to out-of-distribution (OOD) data,…

Time series forecasting in real-world applications requires both high predictive accuracy and interpretable uncertainty quantification. Traditional point prediction methods often fail to capture the inherent uncertainty in time series data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Zhen Zhou , Zhirui Wang , Qi Hong , Yunyang Shi , Ziyuan Gu , Zhiyuan Liu

Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) systems have been shown to efficiently build good models for new datasets. However, it is often not clear how well they can adapt when the data evolves over time. The main goal of this study is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Bilge Celik , Joaquin Vanschoren