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Non-stationary time series forecasting is challenged by evolving distribution shifts that static models struggle to capture. While Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures offer a promising paradigm for decoupling complex drift patterns,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Jiawen Zhu , Shuhan Liu , Di Weng , Yingcai Wu

Online updating of time series forecasting models aims to address the concept drifting problem by efficiently updating forecasting models based on streaming data. Many algorithms are designed for online time series forecasting, with some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Yi-Fan Zhang , Qingsong Wen , Xue Wang , Weiqi Chen , Liang Sun , Zhang Zhang , Liang Wang , Rong Jin , Tieniu Tan

Urban time series data forecasting featuring significant contributions to sustainable development is widely studied as an essential task of the smart city. However, with the dramatic and rapid changes in the world environment, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Zekun Cai , Renhe Jiang , Xinyu Yang , Zhaonan Wang , Diansheng Guo , Hiroki Kobayashi , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Online anomaly detection (OAD) plays a pivotal role in real-time analytics and decision-making for evolving data streams. However, existing methods often rely on costly retraining and rigid decision boundaries, limiting their ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Jiaqi Zhu , Shaofeng Cai , Jie Chen , Fang Deng , Beng Chin Ooi , Wenqiao Zhang

Time-series forecasting finds broad applications in real-world scenarios. Due to the dynamic nature of time series data, it is important for time-series forecasting models to handle potential distribution shifts over time. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Zhiyuan Zhao , Haoxin Liu , B. Aditya Prakash

Data-driven predictive analytics are in use today across a number of industrial applications, but further integration is hindered by the requirement of similarity among model training and test data distributions. This paper addresses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-20 Yunwen Xu , Rui Xu , Weizhong Yan , Paul Ardis

Real-time analytics and decision-making require online anomaly detection (OAD) to handle drifts in data streams efficiently and effectively. Unfortunately, existing approaches are often constrained by their limited detection capacity and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Jiaqi Zhu , Shaofeng Cai , Fang Deng , Beng Chin Ooi , Wenqiao Zhang

Time series forecasting always faces the challenge of concept drift, where data distributions evolve over time, leading to a decline in forecast model performance. Existing solutions are based on online learning, which continually organize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Lifan Zhao , Yanyan Shen

Learning from non-stationary data streams subject to concept drift requires models that can adapt on-the-fly while remaining resource-efficient. Existing adaptive ensemble methods often rely on coarse-grained adaptation mechanisms or simple…

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution generating the observed data changes over time. If drift is present, machine learning models can become inaccurate and need adjustment. While there do exist methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Johannes Brinkrolf , Barbara Hammer

Data in the real world often has an evolving distribution. Thus, machine learning models trained on such data get outdated over time. This phenomenon is called model drift. Knowledge of this drift serves two purposes: (i) Retain an accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Pranoy Panda , Kancheti Sai Srinivas , Vineeth N Balasubramanian , Gaurav Sinha

Online updating of time series forecasting models aims to tackle the challenge of concept drifting by adjusting forecasting models based on streaming data. While numerous algorithms have been developed, most of them focus on model design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 YiFan Zhang , Weiqi Chen , Zhaoyang Zhu , Dalin Qin , Liang Sun , Xue Wang , Qingsong Wen , Zhang Zhang , Liang Wang , Rong Jin

Practical machine learning applications involving time series data, such as firewall log analysis to proactively detect anomalous behavior, are concerned with real time analysis of streaming data. Consequently, we need to update the ML…

We propose Expert Monitoring, an approach that leverages domain expertise to enhance the detection and mitigation of concept drift in machine learning (ML) models. Our approach supports practitioners by consolidating domain expertise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Joran Leest , Claudia Raibulet , Ilias Gerostathopoulos , Patricia Lago

In Continual Learning (CL) contexts, concept drift typically refers to the analysis of changes in data distribution. A drift in the input data can have negative consequences on a learning predictor and the system's stability. The majority…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Sebastian Basterrech

Accurate prediction of nonstationary multivariate time series remains a critical challenge in complex industrial systems such as iron ore sintering. In practice, pronounced concept drift compounded by significant label verification latency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Yumeng Zhao , Shengxiang Yang , Xianpeng Wang

Continuous learning from an immense volume of data streams becomes exceptionally critical in the internet era. However, data streams often do not conform to the same distribution over time, leading to a phenomenon called concept drift.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Ke Wan , Yi Liang , Susik Yoon

Time-series data is widely studied in various scenarios, like weather forecast, stock market, customer behavior analysis. To comprehensively learn about the dynamic environments, it is necessary to comprehend features from multiple data…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Xumeng Wang , Wei Chen , Jiazhi Xia , Zexian Chen , Dongshi Xu , Xiangyang Wu , Mingliang Xu , Tobias Schreck

Existing drift detection methods focus on designing sensitive test statistics. They treat the detection threshold as a fixed hyperparameter, set once to balance false alarms and late detections, and applied uniformly across all datasets and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Pengqian Lu , Jie Lu , Anjin Liu , En Yu , Guangquan Zhang

Most machine learning models are static, but the world is dynamic, and increasing online deployment of learned models gives increasing urgency to the development of efficient and effective mechanisms to address learning in the context of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-16 Geoffrey I. Webb , Roy Hyde , Hong Cao , Hai Long Nguyen , Francois Petitjean
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