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This work shows how adaptivity can enhance value realization of digital twins in civil engineering. We focus on adapting the state transition models within digital twins represented through probabilistic graphical models. The bi-directional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Eugenio Varetti , Matteo Torzoni , Marco Tezzele , Andrea Manzoni

Estimating excursion set confidence regions seeks to identify regions where a function may exceed some threshold with a given confidence level. This paper focuses on estimating such confidence regions in cases where the function has random…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Lucas Brunel , Mathieu Balesdent , Loïc Brevault , Rodolphe Le Riche , Bruno Sudret

In this paper, we propose a novel sequential data-driven method for dealing with equilibrium based chemical simulations, which can be seen as a specific machine learning approach called active learning. The underlying idea of our approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-26 Mary Savino , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Marc Leconte , Benoit Cochepin

Based on the background of the 2021 Higher Education Club Cup National College Students Mathematical Contest in Modeling A, according to the relevant data of the China Sky Eye (FAST) radio telescope, the main cable nodes and actuators are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-13 Tongyue Shi , Siyu Tao , Haining Wang

Pushing is a useful robotic capability for positioning and reorienting objects. The ability to accurately predict the effect of pushes can enable efficient trajectory planning and complicated object manipulation. Physical prediction models…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-21 Huidong Gao , Yi Ouyang , Masayoshi Tomizuka

In many industrial applications, obtaining labeled observations is not straightforward as it often requires the intervention of human experts or the use of expensive testing equipment. In these circumstances, active learning can be highly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-19 Davide Cacciarelli , Murat Kulahci , John Sølve Tyssedal

Physical dynamical systems can be viewed as natural information processors: their systems preserve, transform, and disperse input information. This perspective motivates learning not only from data generated by such systems, but also how to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Felix Köster , Atsushi Uchida

We propose a Bayesian approach for recursively estimating the classifier weights in online learning of a classifier ensemble. In contrast with past methods, such as stochastic gradient descent or online boosting, our approach estimates the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-09 Qinxun Bai , Henry Lam , Stan Sclaroff

This paper investigates gradient-based adaptive prediction and control for nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems under a weak convexity condition on the prediction-based loss. This condition accommodates a broad range of nonlinear models…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-13 Yujing Liu , Xin Zheng , Zhixin Liu , Lei Guo

Obtaining high certainty in predictive models is crucial for making informed and trustworthy decisions in many scientific and engineering domains. However, extensive experimentation required for model accuracy can be both costly and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Giorgio Morales , John Sheppard

Prediction intervals offer an effective tool for quantifying the uncertainty of loads in distribution systems. The traditional central PIs cannot adapt well to skewed distributions, and their offline training fashion is vulnerable to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-30 Yufan Zhang , Honglin Wen , Qiuwei Wu , Qian Ai

Prediction markets rely on liquidity to convert trades into informative prices, yet existing mechanisms fix liquidity ex ante. This restriction enforces a static trade-off between price responsiveness and worst-case loss despite inherently…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Enrique Nueve , Bao Nguyen , Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

In this article, we introduce an adaptive online model update algorithm designed for predictive control applications in networked systems, particularly focusing on power distribution systems. Unlike traditional methods that depend on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-18 Vivek Khatana , Chin-Yao Chang , Wenbo Wang

Intelligent wearable technology plays an increasingly important role in human-computer interaction, motion, and health monitoring. To ensure comfort and practicality of use, one common form for motion monitoring is to utilize soft wearable…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Shuo Wang , Xiaobin Chen , Xiaoming Tao

Satellite networks are promising to provide ubiquitous and high-capacity global wireless connectivity. Traditionally, satellite networks are modeled by placing satellites on a grid of multiple circular orbit geometries. Such a network…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Jeonghun Park , Jinseok Choi , Namyoon Lee

Active learning methods have recently surged in the literature due to their ability to solve complex structural reliability problems within an affordable computational cost. These methods are designed by adaptively building an inexpensive…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-08 M. Moustapha , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

In social learning, a network of agents assigns probability scores (beliefs) to some hypotheses of interest, which rule the generation of local streaming data observed by each agent. Belief formation takes place by means of an iterative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Marco Carpentiero , Virginia Bordignon , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed

This paper introduces an active learning approach to the fitting of machine learning interatomic potentials. Our approach is based on the D-optimality criterion for selecting atomic configurations on which the potential is fitted. It is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-09-19 Evgeny V. Podryabinkin , Alexander V. Shapeev

This paper proposes a primal-dual framework to learn a stable estimator for linear constrained estimation problems leveraging the moving horizon approach. To avoid the online computational burden in most existing methods, we learn a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-07 Wenhan Cao , Jingliang Duan , Shengbo Eben Li , Chen Chen , Chang Liu , Yu Wang

Understanding space weather is vital for the protection of our terrestrial and space infrastructure. In order to predict space weather accurately, large amounts of data are required, particularly in the extreme ultraviolet (EUV) spectrum.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-02 Manuel Indaco , Daniel Gass , William James Fawcett , Richard Galvez , Paul J. Wright , Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo