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We study a sequential-learning model featuring a network of naive agents with Gaussian information structures. Agents apply a heuristic rule to aggregate predecessors' actions. They weigh these actions according the strengths of their…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-05 Krishna Dasaratha , Kevin He

Autoregressive large language models (LLMs) compress knowledge from their training data through next-token conditional distributions. This limits tractable querying of this knowledge to start-to-end autoregressive sampling. However, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Edward J. Hu , Moksh Jain , Eric Elmoznino , Younesse Kaddar , Guillaume Lajoie , Yoshua Bengio , Nikolay Malkin

A dynamical picture of phylogenetic evolution is given in terms of Markov models on a state space, comprising joint probability distributions for character types of taxonomic classes. Phylogenetic branching is a process which augments the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 P. D. Jarvis , J. D. Bashford , J. G. Sumner

This paper introduces a high-order Markov chain task to investigate how transformers learn to integrate information from multiple past positions with varying statistical significance. We demonstrate that transformers learn this task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Oğuz Kaan Yüksel , Rodrigo Alvarez Lucendo , Nicolas Flammarion

Sequential learning -- where complex tasks are broken down into simpler, hierarchical components -- has emerged as a paradigm in AI. This paper views sequential learning through the lens of low-rank linear regression, focusing specifically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Mahtab Alizadeh Vandchali , Fangshuo , Liao , Anastasios Kyrillidis

Modern biological techniques enable very dense genetic sampling of unfolding evolutionary histories, and thus frequently sample some genotypes multiple times. This motivates strategies to incorporate genotype abundance information in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-04-09 William S. DeWitt , Luka Mesin , Gabriel D. Victora , Vladimir N. Minin , Frederick A. Matsen

This work extends the theory of identifiability in supervised learning by considering the consequences of having access to a distribution of tasks. In such cases, we show that linear identifiability is achievable in the general multi-task…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-26 Wenlin Chen , Julien Horwood , Juyeon Heo , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Computational phylogenetics has become an established tool in historical linguistics, with many language families now analyzed using likelihood-based inference. However, standard approaches rely on expert-annotated cognate sets, which are…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Gerhard Jäger

Neural network architectures have been augmented with differentiable stacks in order to introduce a bias toward learning hierarchy-sensitive regularities. It has, however, proven difficult to assess the degree to which such a bias is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-06-05 William Merrill , Lenny Khazan , Noah Amsel , Yiding Hao , Simon Mendelsohn , Robert Frank

We consider the problem of inferring a latent function in a probabilistic model of data. When dependencies of the latent function are specified by a Gaussian process and the data likelihood is complex, efficient computation often involve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-23 Martin Tegner , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Stephen Roberts

This survey paper is written with the intention of giving a mathematical introduction to filtering techniques for intermittent data assimilation, and to survey some recent advances in the field. The paper is divided into three parts. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-09-03 Colin J. Cotter , Sebastian Reich

Identification of taxa can significantly be assisted by statistical classification based on trait measurements in two major ways; either individually or by phylogenetic (clustering) methods. In this paper we present a general Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-17 Måns Karlsson , Ola Hössjer

Motivated by real-world machine learning applications, we consider a statistical classification task in a sequential setting where test samples arrive sequentially. In addition, the generating distributions are unknown and only a set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mahdi Haghifam , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Ashish Khisti

A prominent goal of representation learning research is to achieve representations which are factorized in a useful manner with respect to the ground truth factors of variation. The fields of disentangled and equivariant representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Yue Song , T. Anderson Keller , Nicu Sebe , Max Welling

We describe a framework for inducing probabilistic grammars from corpora of positive samples. First, samples are {\em incorporated} by adding ad-hoc rules to a working grammar; subsequently, elements of the model (such as states or…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Andreas Stolcke , Stephen M. Omohundro

We are interested in how to design reinforcement learning agents that provably reduce the sample complexity for learning new tasks by transferring knowledge from previously-solved ones. The availability of solutions to related problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Andrea Tirinzoni , Riccardo Poiani , Marcello Restelli

The advances in variational inference are providing promising paths in Bayesian estimation problems. These advances make variational phylogenetic inference an alternative approach to Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for approximating the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-12 Amine M. Remita , Golrokh Vitae , Abdoulaye Baniré Diallo

This paper is concerned with statistical methods for the segmental classification of linear sequence data where the task is to segment and classify the data according to an underlying hidden discrete state sequence. Such analysis is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-05 Christopher Yau , Christopher C. Holmes

Generative models, from diffusion models to large language models, achieve remarkable performance but at a cost in training data orders of magnitude larger than what biological learners require. An alternative paradigm has emerged in which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Daniel J. Korchinski , Alessandro Favero , Matthieu Wyart

State estimation that combines observational data with mathematical models is central to many applications and is commonly addressed through filtering methods, such as ensemble Kalman filters. In this article, we examine the signal-tracking…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Nazanin Abedini , Jana de Wiljes , Svetlana Dubinkina