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We introduce a balloon estimator in a generalized expectation-maximization method for estimating all parameters of a Gaussian mixture model given one data sample per mixture component. Instead of limiting explicitly the model size, this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-12 Colas Schretter , Jianyong Sun , Peter Schelkens

We propose a nonparametric method to learn the L\'evy density from probability density data governed by a nonlocal Fokker-Planck equation. We recast the problem as identifying the kernel in a nonlocal integral operator from discrete data,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Luxuan Yang , Fei Lu , Ting Gao , Wei Wei , Jinqiao Duan

Kernel density estimation (KDE) has become a popular method for visual analysis in various fields, such as financial risk forecasting, crime clustering, and traffic monitoring. KDE can identify high-density areas from discrete datasets.…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Yu Shao , Peng Cheng , Xiang Lian , Lei Chen , Wangze Ni , Xuemin Lin , Chen Zhang , Liping Wang

We present a model for generating probabilistic forecasts by combining kernel density estimation (KDE) and quantile regression techniques, as part of the probabilistic load forecasting track of the Global Energy Forecasting Competition…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-18 Stephen Haben , Georgios Giasemidis

In likelihood-free settings where likelihood evaluations are intractable, approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) addresses the formidable inference task to discover plausible parameters of simulation programs that explain the observations.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-05 Kelvin Hsu , Fabio Ramos

Semi-implicit variational inference (SIVI) is a powerful framework for approximating complex posterior distributions, but training with the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence can be challenging due to high variance and bias in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Tobias Pielok , Bernd Bischl , David Rügamer

In this article, we study nonparametric inference for a covariate-adjusted regression function. This parameter captures the average association between a continuous exposure and an outcome after adjusting for other covariates. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Kenta Takatsu , Ted Westling

Unitary errors, such as those arising from fault-tolerant compilation of quantum algorithms, systematically bias observable estimates. Correcting this bias typically requires additional resources, such as an increased number of non-Clifford…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-13 Dmitrii Khitrin , Kenneth R. Brown , Abhinav Anand

We propose a new decentralized robust kernel-based learning algorithm within the framework of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs) by utilizing a networked system that can be represented as a connected graph. The robust loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Zhan Yu , Zhongjie Shi , Ding-Xuan Zhou

This paper describes an adaptive method in continuous time for the estimation of external fields by a team of $N$ agents. The agents $i$ each explore subdomains $\Omega^i$ of a bounded subset of interest $\Omega\subset X := \mathbb{R}^d$.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-24 Jia Guo , Michael E. Kepler , Sai Tej Paruchuri , Haoran Wang , Andrew J. Kurdila , Daniel J. Stilwell

This paper proposes a novel parameter selection strategy for kernel-based gradient descent (KGD) algorithms, integrating bias-variance analysis with the splitting method. We introduce the concept of empirical effective dimension to quantify…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-05 Xiaotong Liu , Yunwen Lei , Xiangyu Chang , Shao-Bo Lin

We propose a novel framework for matching estimators for causal effect from observational data that is based on minimizing the dual norm of estimation error when expressed as an operator. We show that many popular matching estimators can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-01 Nathan Kallus

Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) is a cornerstone of nonparametric statistics, yet it remains sensitive to bandwidth choice, boundary bias, and computational inefficiency. This study revisits KDE through a principled convolutional framework,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-24 Nicholas Tenkorang , Kwesi Appau Ohene-Obeng , Xiaogang Su

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

This work presents a nonparametric framework for dissipativity learning in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, which enables data-driven certification of stability and performance properties for unknown nonlinear systems without requiring an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-03 Xiuzhen Ye , Wentao Tang

Maximizing the Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD) is a fundamental problem in waveform design for active sensing and hypothesis testing, as it directly relates to the error exponent of detection probability. However, the associated…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-05 Jeongwoo Park , Seongkyu Jung , Kaiming Shen , Jeonghun Park

We propose a new data-driven approach for learning the fundamental solutions (Green's functions) of various linear partial differential equations (PDEs) given sample pairs of input-output functions. Building off the theory of functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-11 George Stepaniants

Kalman filters constitute a scalable and robust methodology for approximate Bayesian inference, matching first and second order moments of the target posterior. To improve the accuracy in nonlinear and non-Gaussian settings, we extend this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-04 L. Wang , N. Nüsken

In supervised learning, the output variable to be predicted is often represented as a function, such as a spectrum or probability distribution. Despite its importance, functional output regression remains relatively unexplored. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-19 Minoru Kusaba , Megumi Iwayama , Ryo Yoshida

The minimum error entropy (MEE) has been extensively used in unscented Kalman filter (UKF) to handle impulsive noises or abnormal measurement data in non-Gaussian systems. However, the MEE-UKF has poor numerical stability due to the inverse…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Boyu Tian , Haiquan Zhao