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A family of random probabilities is defined and studied. This family contains the Dirichlet process as a special case, corresponding to an inner point in the appropriate parameter space. The extension makes it possible to have random means…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Nils Lid Hjort

In this paper we propose a method to construct probability measures on the space of convex bodies with a given pushforward distribution. Concretely we show that there is a measure on the metric space of centrally symmetric convex bodies,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-27 Á. G. Horváth

Discarding the prejudice about fine tuning, we propose a novel and efficient approach to identify relevant regions of fundamental parameter space in supersymmetric models with some amount of fine tuning. The essential idea is the mapping of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-03-06 Masahiro Yamaguchi , Wen Yin

We propose exploiting symmetries (exact or approximate) of the Standard Model (SM) to search for physics Beyond the Standard Model (BSM) using the data-directed paradigm (DDP). Symmetries are very powerful because they provide two samples…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-06-09 Mattias Birman , Benjamin Nachman , Raphael Sebbah , Gal Sela , Ophir Turetz , Shikma Bressler

We consider a prior for nonparametric Bayesian estimation which uses finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

We propose a metric -- Projection Norm -- to predict a model's performance on out-of-distribution (OOD) data without access to ground truth labels. Projection Norm first uses model predictions to pseudo-label test samples and then trains a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-14 Yaodong Yu , Zitong Yang , Alexander Wei , Yi Ma , Jacob Steinhardt

A nonparametric variant of the Kiefer--Weiss problem is proposed and investigated. In analogy to the classical Kiefer--Weiss problem, the objective is to minimize the maximum expected sample size of a sequential test. However, instead of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Michael Fauß , H. Vincent Poor

It is a common perception that a sharp projective measurement in one side of the Bell experiment destroys the entanglement of the shared state, thereby preventing the demonstration of sequential sharing of nonlocality. In contrast, we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-29 S. Sasmal , S. Kanjilal , A. K. Pan

In high-dimensional problems, choosing a prior distribution such that the corresponding posterior has desirable practical and theoretical properties can be challenging. This begs the question: can the data be used to help choose a good…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

Bayesian model selection procedures based on nonlocal alternative prior densities are extended to ultrahigh dimensional settings and compared to other variable selection procedures using precision-recall curves. Variable selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-19 Minsuk Shin , Anirban Bhattacharya , Valen E. Johnson

Researchers often impute continuous variables under an assumption of normality, yet many incomplete variables are skewed. We find that imputing skewed continuous variables under a normal model can lead to bias; the bias is usually mild for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-19 Paul T. von Hippel

We offer a general Bayes theoretic framework to derive posterior contraction rates under a hierarchical prior design: the first-step prior serves to assess the model selection uncertainty, and the second-step prior quantifies the prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-12 Qiyang Han

We propose an empirical likelihood ratio test for nonparametric model selection, where the competing models may be nested, nonnested, overlapping, misspecified, or correctly specified. It compares the squared prediction errors of models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 Jiancheng Jiang , Jiang Xuejun , Wang Haofeng

I define the Standard Supersymmetric Model (SSM) as the minimal supersymmetric extension ofthe Standard Model with gauge coupling unification and universal soft supersymmetry breaking at the unification scale. This well-defined model has a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 S. Kelley

We introduce a density basis of the trigonometric polynomials that is suitable to mixture modelling. Statistical and geometric properties are derived, suggesting it as a circular analogue to the Bernstein polynomial densities. Nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-26 Olivier Binette , Simon Guillotte

In this work, we investigate the use of Besov priors in the context of Bayesian inverse problems. The solution to Bayesian inverse problems is the posterior distribution which naturally enables us to interpret the uncertainties. Besov…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Andreas Horst , Babak Maboudi Afkham , Yiqiu Dong , Jakob Lemvig

We consider distributed optimization problems where forming the Hessian is computationally challenging and communication is a significant bottleneck. We develop unbiased parameter averaging methods for randomized second order optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-18 Burak Bartan , Mert Pilanci

We discuss Bayesian inference for parameters selected using the data. First, we provide a critical analysis of the existing positions in the literature regarding the correct Bayesian approach under selection. Second, we propose two types of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Daniel G. Rasines , G. Alastair Young

We propose a family of near-metrics based on local graph diffusion to capture similarity for a wide class of data sets. These quasi-metametrics, as their names suggest, dispense with one or two standard axioms of metric spaces, specifically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-18 Chu Wang , Iraj Saniee , William S. Kennedy , Chris A. White

Statistical models of unobserved heterogeneity are typically formalized as mixtures of simple parametric models and interest naturally focuses on testing for homogeneity versus general mixture alternatives. Many tests of this type can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-22 Jiaying Gu , Roger Koenker , Stanislav Volgushev