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Related papers: Genuine Increases in Tropical Cyclone Intensities

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In this paper we describe observations acquired by satellite instruments (Hinode/SOT and IRIS) and ground-based telescopes (ROSA@DST) during two consecutive C7.0 and X1.6 flares occurred in active region NOAA 12205 on 2014 November 7. The…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-17 F. Zuccarello , S. L. Guglielmino , V. Capparelli , M. Mathioudakis , P. Keys , L. Fletcher , S. Criscuoli , M. Falco , M. Murabito

Severe Ionosphere magnetic storms are feared events for integrity and continuity of navigation systems such as EGNOS, the European SBAS (Satellite-Based Augmentation System) complementing GPS and an accurate modelling of this event…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Malika Chassan , Jean-Marc Azaïs , Guillaume Buscarlet , Norbert Suard

The rising number of extreme climate events in the past decades has motivated the need for a thorough consideration of tropical cyclone genesis and intensity, given the sea-surface temperature (SST). In this paper, we present an analysis of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-13 Jingyang Wu , Rohitash Chandra

The risk of extreme storm tides to Bangladesh's low-lying and densely populated coastal regions, already vulnerable to tropical cyclones, remains poorly quantified under a warming climate. Here, using a statistical-physical downscaling…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-06 Jiangchao Qiu , Sai Ravela , Kerry Emanuel

The midlatitude climate and weather are shaped by storms, yet the factors governing their predictability remain insufficiently understood. Here, we use a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to predict and quantify uncertainty in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-30 Wuqiushi Yao , Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

Atmospheric nitrogen dioxide (NO2) over China at national level has been kept reducing since 2011 as seen from both satellite observations, ground-based measurements and bottom-up emission inventory (Liu et al., 2016; Irie et al., 2016;…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-07-16 Rui Li , Haixu Bo , Yu Wang

The frequency and magnitude of weather extreme events have increased significantly during the past few years in response to anthropogenic climate change. However, global statistical characteristics and underlying physical mechanisms are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Qing Yao , Jingfang Fan , Jun Meng , Valerio Lucarini , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen , Kim Christensen , Xiaosong Chen

Inland tropical cyclone (TC) impacts due to high winds and rainfall-induced flooding depend strongly on the evolution of the wind field and precipitation distribution after landfall. However, research has yet to test the detailed response…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Jie Chen , Daniel R. Chavas

The climate change dispute is about changes over time of environmental characteristics (such as rainfall). Some people say that a possible change is not so much in the mean but rather in the extreme phenomena (that is, the average rainfall…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Laurens de Haan , Albert Klein Tank , Cláudia Neves

Sequential tropical cyclone hazards--two tropical cyclones (TCs) making landfall in the same region within a short time--are becoming increasingly likely. This study investigates situational preparedness dynamics for six sequential TC…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-24 Tianle Duan , Qingchun Li , Fengxiu Zhang , Dazhi Xi , Ning Lin

The diurnal cycle of tropical cyclones (TCs) is a daily cycle in clouds that appears in satellite images and may have implications for TC structure and intensity. The diurnal pattern can be seen in infrared (IR) satellite imagery as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Sarah Tymochko , Elizabeth Munch , Jason Dunion , Kristen Corbosiero , Ryan Torn

Because geostationary satellite (Geo) imagery provides a high temporal resolution window into tropical cyclone (TC) behavior, we investigate the viability of its application to short-term probabilistic forecasts of TC convective structure…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-11 Trey McNeely , Pavel Khokhlov , Niccolo Dalmasso , Kimberly M. Wood , Ann B. Lee

TCBench is a benchmark for evaluating global, short to medium-range (1-5 days) forecasts of tropical cyclone (TC) track and intensity. To allow a fair and model-agnostic comparison, TCBench builds on the IBTrACS observational dataset and…

Spatiotemporal variations in thunderstorm occurrence frequency are considered here using an environmental dataset derived from ERA5 reanalysis data. Interannual variability in the thunderstorm environments is examined for the period…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 Andrew Dowdy , Andrew Brown , Todd Lane , Mateusz Taszarek

Tropical cyclones are known to expand to an equilibrium size on the $f$-plane, but the expansion process is not understood. In this study, an analytical model for tropical cyclone size expansion on the $f$-plane is proposed. Conceptually,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-23 Danyang Wang , Dan Chavas

This article analyzes SST remote forcing on the interannual variability of Sahel summer (June-September) moderate (below 75th percentile) and heavy (above 75th percentile) daily precipitation events during the period 1981-2016. Evidence is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-29 Moussa Diakhaté , Belén Rodríguez-Fonseca , Iñigo Gómara , Elsa Mohino , Abdou Lahat Dieng , Amadou Thierno Gaye

Extratropical storms dominate midlatitude climate and weather and are known to grow baroclinicaly and decay barotropicaly. Traditionally, quantitative climatic measures of storm growth have been mostly based on Eulerian measures, taking…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-02-20 Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

Secondary eyewalls occur in 70% of major tropical cyclones (TCs), and are associated with rapid changes in storm intensity and rapid broadening of strong winds. While mechanisms of secondary eyewall formation have been investigated from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-07-21 Ping Lu , Long Yang , Jishi Zhang , Danyang Wang , Yanluan Lin

Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones often causes major destruction to human civilization due to short response time. It is an important yet challenging task to accurately predict this kind of extreme weather event in advance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-25 Ching-Yuan Bai , Buo-Fu Chen , Hsuan-Tien Lin

The rapid development of mega-constellations in low Earth orbit (LEO) severely impacts ground-based optical astronomical observations. By combining WorldWide Telescope (WWT) simulations with 2019 and 2023 observational data from the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-19 Jing Ren , Zhou Fan , Hong-rui Gu , Qi-qian Zhang , Yun-fei Xu , Jun-ju Du , Xiao-han Chen , Lin-ying Mi , Hong Wu