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This paper presents a strictly convex chance-constrained stochastic control framework that accounts for uncertainty in control specifications such as reference trajectories and operational constraints. By jointly optimizing control inputs…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Teruki Kato , Ryotaro Shima , Kenji Kashima

Forecast combination and model averaging have become popular tools in forecasting and prediction, both of which combine a set of candidate estimates with certain weights and are often shown to outperform single estimates. A data-driven…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Jiahui Zou , Andrey Vasnev , Wendun Wang , Xinyu Zhang

The accurate representation of epistemic uncertainty is a challenging yet essential task in machine learning. A widely used representation corresponds to convex sets of probabilistic predictors, also known as credal sets. One popular way of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Mira Jürgens , Thomas Mortier , Eyke Hüllermeier , Viktor Bengs , Willem Waegeman

This paper investigates the robust optimal control of sampled-data stochastic systems with multiplicative noise and distributional ambiguity. We consider a class of discrete-time optimal control problems where the controller \emph{jointly}…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Chung-Han Hsieh

The instability in the selection of models is a major concern with data sets containing a large number of covariates. This paper deals with variable selection methodology in the case of high-dimensional problems where the response variable…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-23 Marie Walschaerts , Eve Leconte , Philippe Besse

This paper lays the groundwork for a unifying approach to stochastic dominance testing under survey nonresponse that integrates the partial identification approach to incomplete data and design-based inference for complex survey data. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-25 Rami V. Tabri , Mathew J. Elias

We consider pessimistic bilevel stochastic programs in which the follower maximizes over a fixed compact convex set a strictly convex quadratic function, whose Hessian depends on the leader's decision. The resulting random variable is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Johanna Burtscheidt , Matthias Claus , Sergio Conti , Martin Rumpf , Josua Sassen , Rüdiger Schultz

We study a stochastic optimization problem in which the sampling distribution depends on the decision variable, and the available samples are generated through an iterate-dependent Markov chain. Such settings arise naturally in problems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Anik Kumar Paul , Shalabh Bhatnagar

This paper proposes new parametric model adequacy tests for possibly nonlinear and nonstationary time series models with noncontinuous data distribution, which is often the case in applied work. In particular, we consider the correct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Igor Kheifets , Carlos Velasco

Results in epidemiology and social science often require the removal of confounding effects from measurements of the pairwise correlation of variables in survey data. This is typically accomplished by some variant of linear regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 William H. Press

Robustness of linear systems with constant coefficients is considered. There exist methods and tools for analyzing the stability of systems with random or deterministic uncertainties. At the same time, there are no approaches for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Andrey Tremba

We propose some new results on the comparison of the minimum or maximum order statistic from a random number of non-identical random variables. Under the non-identical set-up, with certain conditions, we prove that random minimum (maximum)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Amarjit Kundu , Shovan Chowdhury , Bidhan Modok

Reliable forward uncertainty quantification in engineering requires methods that account for aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. In many applications, epistemic effects arising from uncertain parameters and model form dominate prediction…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

How do competing populations convert a spatial advantage into macroscopic dominance? We introduce a stochastic model for resource competition that decouples the transient discovery phase from monopolization. Initial symmetry breaking is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-12 Stuti Guha , Shawn D. Ryan , Bhargav R. Karamched

Consider a real-valued function that can only be observed with stochastic noise at a finite set of design points within a Euclidean space. We wish to determine whether there exists a convex function that goes through the true function…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-07-30 Nanjing Jian , Shane G. Henderson

The stochastic block model is a popular tool for detecting community structures in network data. Detecting the difference between two community structures is an important issue for stochastic block models. However, the two-sample test has…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-21 Kang Fu , Jianwei Hu , Seydou Keita , Hao Liu

We consider a stochastic control problem where the set of strict (classical) controls is not necessarily convex and the the variable control has two components, the first being absolutely continuous and the second singular. The system is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-20 Seid Bahlali

The stability of stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) subject to additive disturbances is often demonstrated in the literature by constructing Lyapunov-like inequalities that ensure closed-loop performance bounds and boundedness of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Diego Muñoz-Carpintero , Mark Cannon

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah

We develop randomized (block) coordinate descent (CD) methods for linearly constrained convex optimization. Unlike most CD methods, we do not assume the constraints to be separable, but let them be coupled linearly. To our knowledge, ours…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Sashank Reddi , Ahmed Hefny , Carlton Downey , Avinava Dubey , Suvrit Sra