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Robot navigation around humans can be a challenging problem since human movements are hard to predict. Stochastic model predictive control (MPC) can account for such uncertainties and approximately bound the probability of a collision to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Yunfan Gao , Florian Messerer , Niels van Duijkeren , Moritz Diehl

This paper deals with shape optimization for elastic materials under stochastic loads. It transfers the paradigm of stochastic dominance, which allows for flexible risk aversion via comparison with benchmark random variables, from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Sergio Conti , Martin Rumpf , Rüdiger Schultz , Sascha Tölkes

We revisit the problem of pricing options with historical volatility estimators. We do this in the context of a generalized GARCH model with multiple time scales and asymmetry. It is argued that the reason for the observed volatility risk…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-07 Samuel E. Vazquez

We study permissionless spot--perpetual basis trading in decentralized finance as a collateral control problem. The strategy holds spot inventory, hedges directional exposure with a short perpetual, and allocates capital between spot…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-07 Anatoly Krestenko , Mikhail Butov , Rostislav Berezovskiy , Danila Bolotin

This paper discusses translation and attitude control in spacecraft rendezvous and soft docking. The target spacecraft orbit can be either circular or elliptic. The high fidelity model for this problem is intrinsically a nonlinear system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Yaguang Yang

We introduce data-driven decision-making algorithms that achieve state-of-the-art \emph{dynamic regret} bounds for non-stationary bandit settings. These settings capture applications such as advertisement allocation, dynamic pricing, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Wang Chi Cheung , David Simchi-Levi , Ruihao Zhu

We consider the Merton problem of optimizing expected power utility of terminal wealth in the case of an unobservable Markov-modulated drift. What makes the model special is that the agent is allowed to purchase costly expert opinions of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-19 Christoph Knochenhauer , Alexander Merkel , Yufei Zhang

Recursive least-squares algorithms often use forgetting factors as a heuristic to adapt to non-stationary data streams. The first contribution of this paper rigorously characterizes the effect of forgetting factors for a class of online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Jianjun Yuan , Andrew Lamperski

Volume imbalance in a limit order book is often considered as a reliable indicator for predicting future price moves. In this work, we seek to analyse the nuances of the relationship between prices and volume imbalance. To this end, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-24 Sergio Pulido , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Emmanouil Sfendourakis

In the present paper we derive, via a backward induction technique, and ad hoc maximum principle for an optimal control problem with multiple random terminal times. Therefore we apply the aforementioned result to the case of a linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-03 Francesco Cordoni , Luca Di Persio

This paper addresses the problem of designing recommendation systems for social networks and e-commerce platforms from a control-theoretic perspective. We treat the design of recommendation systems as a state-feedback infinite-horizon…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-12 Simone Mariano , Paolo Frasca

Large-scale competitive platforms are interacting multi-agent systems in which latent skills drift over time and pairwise interactions are shaped by matchmaking. We study a controlled rating dynamics in the mean-field limit and derive a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-29 Wataru Nozawa

Matching demand with supply in crowdsourcing logistics platforms must contend with uncertain worker participation. Motivated by this challenge, we study a two-stage "recommend-to-match" problem under stochastic supplier rejections, where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Haoyue Liu , Sheng Liu , Mingyao Qi

In this paper, we study a stochastic linear-quadratic control problem with random coefficients and regime switching on a horizon $[0,T\wedge\tau]$, where $\tau$ is a given random jump time for the underlying state process and $T$ is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Ying Hu , Xiaomin Shi , Zuo Quan Xu

This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self-exciting flexible residual point process. High-frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy-tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-02 Kyungsub Lee

In the online non-stochastic control problem, an agent sequentially selects control inputs for a linear dynamical system when facing unknown and adversarially selected convex costs and disturbances. A common metric for evaluating control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Vijeth Hebbar , Cédric Langbort

We investigate the mechanisms by which medium-frequency trading agents are adversely selected by opportunistic high-frequency traders. We use reinforcement learning (RL) within a Hawkes Limit Order Book (LOB) model in order to replicate the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-03 Ali Raza Jafree , Konark Jain , Nick Firoozye

We consider a dynamic pricing problem where customer response to the current price is impacted by the customer price expectation, aka reference price. We study a simple and novel reference price mechanism where reference price is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Shipra Agrawal , Wei Tang

We consider a Bayesian adaptive optimal stochastic control problem where a hidden static signal has a non-separable influence on the drift of a noisy observation. Being allowed to control the specific form of this dependence, we aim at…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Alexander M. G. Cox , Sigrid Källblad , Chaorui Wang

A new method for stochastic control based on neural networks and using randomisation of discrete random variables is proposed and applied to optimal stopping time problems. The method models directly the policy and does not need the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Thomas Deschatre , Joseph Mikael
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