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Variable selection is a challenging issue in statistical applications when the number of predictors $p$ far exceeds the number of observations $n$. In this ultra-high dimensional setting, the sure independence screening (SIS) procedure was…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-08 Xiangyu Wang , Chenlei Leng

In frequency domain analysis for spatial data, spectral averages based on the periodogram often play an important role in understanding spatial covariance structure, but also have complicated sampling distributions due to complex variances…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Souvick Bera , Daniel J. Nordman , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

A successful model for high-dimensional spatial extremes should, in principle, be able to describe both weakening extremal dependence at increasing levels and changes in the type of extremal dependence class as a function of the distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Silius M. Vandeskog , Sara Martino , Raphaël Huser

We present a novel Bayesian approach for high-dimensional grouped regression under sparsity. We leverage a sparse projection method that uses a sparsity-inducing map to derive an induced posterior on a lower-dimensional parameter space. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Samhita Pal , Subhashis Ghosal

We develop a uniform inference theory for high-dimensional slope parameters in threshold regression models, allowing for either cross-sectional or time series data. We first establish oracle inequalities for prediction errors, and L1…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Jiatong Li , Hongqiang Yan

Repeated Sampling (RS) is a simple inference-time algorithm that has been shown to improve model performance on complex tasks. Although it is an effective way of scaling inference time, it often struggles to generate diverse solution…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Divij Handa , Mihir Parmar , Aswin RRV , Md Nayem Uddin , Hamid Palangi , Chitta Baral

A local projection is a statistical framework that accounts for the relationship between an exogenous variable and an endogenous variable, measured at different time points. Local projections are often applied in impulse response analyses…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-03 Masahiro Tanaka

High-resolution radar range profile (RRP) is crucial for accurate target recognition and scene perception. To get a high-resolution RRP, many methods have been developed, such as multiple signal classification (MUSIC), orthogonal matching…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Ziwen Wang , Jianping Wang , Pucheng Li , Zegang Ding

Dynamical systems with high intrinsic dimensionality are often characterized by extreme events having the form of rare transitions several standard deviations away from the mean. For such systems, order-reduction methods through projection…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-07-04 Zhong Yi Wan , Pantelis R. Vlachas , Petros Koumoutsakos , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Spatio-temporal forecasting is essential for understanding future dynamics within real-world systems by leveraging historical data from multiple locations. Existing methods often prioritize the development of intricate neural networks to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Weilin Ruan , Wei Chen , Xilin Dang , Jianxiang Zhou , Weichuang Li , Xu Liu , Yuxuan Liang

This paper introduces a straightforward sieve-based approach for estimating and conducting inference on regression parameters in panel data models with interactive fixed effects. The method's key assumption is that factor loadings can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-26 Georg Keilbar , Juan M. Rodriguez-Poo , Alexandra Soberon , Weining Wang

Support and resistance (SR) levels are central to technical analysis, guiding traders in entry, exit, and risk management. Despite widespread use, traditional SR identification methods often fail to adapt to the complexities of modern,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 Boris Kriuk , Logic Ng , Zarif Al Hossain

Reliable forward uncertainty quantification in engineering requires methods that account for aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. In many applications, epistemic effects arising from uncertain parameters and model form dominate prediction…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

Projection predictive inference is a decision theoretic Bayesian approach that decouples model estimation from decision making. Given a reference model previously built including all variables present in the data, projection predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-15 Alejandro Catalina , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

We introduce Volume-Sorted Prediction Set (VSPS), a novel method for uncertainty quantification in multi-target regression that uses conditional normalizing flows with conformal calibration. This approach constructs flexible, non-convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Dimension reduction is widely regarded as an effective way for decreasing the computation, storage and communication loads of data-driven intelligent systems, leading to a growing demand for statistical methods that allow analysis (e.g.,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-23 Guangcan Liu , Zhao Zhang , Qingshan Liu , Kongkai Xiong

In assessing prediction accuracy of multivariable prediction models, optimism corrections are essential for preventing biased results. However, in most published papers of clinical prediction models, the point estimates of the prediction…

We show that several machine learning estimators, including square-root LASSO (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection) and regularized logistic regression can be represented as solutions to distributionally robust optimization (DRO)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-22 Jose Blanchet , Yang Kang , Karthyek Murthy

Accurate time series forecasting models are often compromised by data drift, where underlying data distributions change over time, leading to significant declines in prediction performance. To address this challenge, this study proposes an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-30 Nikhil Pawar , Guilherme Vieira Hollweg , Akhtar Hussain , Wencong Su , Van-Hai Bui

An accurate predictor is crucial for histogram-shifting (HS) based reversible data hiding methods. The embedding capacity is increased and the embedding distortion is decreased simultaneously if the predictor can generate accurate…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2015-07-30 Xiaochao Qu , Suah Kim , Run Cui , Hyoung Joong Kim