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We address the problem of causal effect estimation where hidden confounders are present, with a focus on two settings: instrumental variable regression with additional observed confounders, and proxy causal learning. Our approach uses a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Haotian Sun , Antoine Moulin , Tongzheng Ren , Arthur Gretton , Bo Dai

Transformer-based methods have shown great potential in long-term time series forecasting. However, most of these methods adopt the standard point-wise self-attention mechanism, which not only becomes intractable for long-term forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Dazhao Du , Bing Su , Zhewei Wei

We present a variational principle for the extraction of a time-dependent orthonormal basis from random realizations of transient systems. The optimality condition of the variational principle leads to a closed-form evolution equation for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Hessam Babaee

While considerable advances have been made in estimating high-dimensional structured models from independent data using Lasso-type models, limited progress has been made for settings when the samples are dependent. We consider estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

Time series forecasting requires architectures that simultaneously achieve three competing objectives: (1) strict temporal causality for reliable predictions, (2) sub-quadratic complexity for practical scalability, and (3) multi-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Qianru Zhang , Honggang Wen , Ming Li , Dong Huang , Siu-Ming Yiu , Christian S. Jensen , Pietro Liò

Estimating treatment effects from observational data is challenging due to two main reasons: (a) hidden confounding, and (b) covariate mismatch (control and treatment groups not having identical distributions). Long lines of works exist…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Praharsh Nanavati , Ranjitha Prasad , Karthikeyan Shanmugam

An important development in deep learning from the earliest MLPs has been a move towards architectures with structural inductive biases which enable the model to keep distinct sources of information and routes of processing well-separated.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Alex Lamb , Di He , Anirudh Goyal , Guolin Ke , Chien-Feng Liao , Mirco Ravanelli , Yoshua Bengio

Vision Transformers face a fundamental limitation: standard self-attention jointly processes spatial and channel dimensions, leading to entangled representations that prevent independent modeling of structural and semantic dependencies.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Jiashu Liao , Pietro Liò , Marc de Kamps , Duygu Sarikaya

We introduce a novel framework for temporal causal discovery and inference that addresses two key challenges: complex nonlinear dependencies and spurious correlations. Our approach employs a multi-layer Transformer-based time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Jihua Huang , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

This work extends causal inference with stochastic confounders. We propose a new approach to variational estimation for causal inference based on a representer theorem with a random input space. We estimate causal effects involving latent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-26 Thanh Vinh Vo , Pengfei Wei , Wicher Bergsma , Tze-Yun Leong

This paper proposes a novel way of doing audio synthesis at the waveform level using Transformer architectures. We propose a deep neural network for generating waveforms, similar to wavenet. This is fully probabilistic, auto-regressive, and…

Sound · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Prateek Verma , Chris Chafe

We provide a justification for why, and when, endogeneity will not cause bias in the interpretation of the coefficients in a regression model. This technique can be a viable alternative to, or even used alongside, the instrumental variable…

General Economics · Economics 2022-03-29 Ravi Kashyap

Treatment effect estimation, which refers to the estimation of causal effects and aims to measure the strength of the causal relationship, is of great importance in many fields but is a challenging problem in practice. As present,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Zhenyu Guo , Shuai Zheng , Zhizhe Liu , Kun Yan , Zhenfeng Zhu

Nonlinear causal discovery from observational data imposes strict identifiability assumptions on the formulation of structural equations utilized in the data generating process. The evaluation of structure learning methods under assumption…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Georg Velev , Stefan Lessmann

Instrumental variables (IVs) are crucial for addressing unobservable confounders, yet their stringent exogeneity assumptions pose significant challenges in networked data. Existing methods typically rely on modelling neighbour information…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Zhirong Huang , Debo Cheng , Guixian Zhang , Yi Wang , Jiuyong Li , Shichao Zhang

With sequentially stacked self-attention, (optional) encoder-decoder attention, and feed-forward layers, Transformer achieves big success in natural language processing (NLP), and many variants have been proposed. Currently, almost all…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Jinhua Zhu , Lijun Wu , Yingce Xia , Shufang Xie , Tao Qin , Wengang Zhou , Houqiang Li , Tie-Yan Liu

Transformer models systematically favor certain token positions, yet the architectural origins of this position bias remain poorly understood. This bias is closely connected to the Lost-in-the-Middle phenomenon, where models underutilize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Hanna Herasimchyk , Robin Labryga , Tomislav Prusina , Sören Laue

The Transformer architecture has revolutionized artificial intelligence, yet a principled theoretical understanding of its internal mechanisms remains elusive. This paper introduces a novel analytical framework that reconceptualizes the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Yukun Zhang , Xueqing Zhou

Recently, implicit neural representations have gained popularity for learning-based 3D reconstruction. While demonstrating promising results, most implicit approaches are limited to comparably simple geometry of single objects and do not…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Songyou Peng , Michael Niemeyer , Lars Mescheder , Marc Pollefeys , Andreas Geiger

Instrumental variable (IV) methods mitigate bias from unobserved confounding in observational causal inference but rely on the availability of a valid instrument, which can often be difficult or infeasible to identify in practice. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-08 Frances Dean , Jenna Fields , Radhika Bhalerao , Marie Charpignon , Ahmed Alaa