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Macroscopic fluctuations have become an essential tool to understand physics far from equilibrium due to the link between their statistics and nonequilibrium ensembles. The optimal path leading to a fluctuation encodes key information on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-13 N. Tizón-Escamilla , P. I. Hurtado , P. L. Garrido

This paper investigates optimal fluctuations for chemical reaction systems with N species, M reactions, and general rate law. In the limit of large volume, large fluctuations for such models occur with overwhelming probability in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Feng Zhao , Jinjie Zhu , Yang Li , Xianbin Liu , Dongping Jin

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

We study the fluctuations of systems modeled by Markov jump processes with periodic generators. We focus on observables defined through time-periodic functions of the system's states or transitions. Using large deviation theory, canonical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-22 Lydia Chabane , Raphaël Chétrite , Gatien Verley

Dynamics of a system that performs a large fluctuation to a given state is essentially deterministic: the distribution of fluctuational paths peaks sharply at a certain optimal path along which the system is most likely to move. For the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-03-03 M. I. Dykman , V. N. Smelyanskiy

In stochastic resonance, a periodically forced Brownian particle in a double-well potential jumps between minima at rare increments, the prediction of which poses a major theoretical challenge. Here, we use a path-integral method to find a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-04-02 L. T. Giorgini , S. H. Lim , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

A general theory is developed to study individual based models which are discrete in time. We begin by constructing a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

Time-irreversible stochastic processes are frequently used in natural sciences to explain non-equilibrium phenomena and to design efficient stochastic algorithms. Our main goal in this thesis is to analyse their dynamics by means of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Mikola C. Schlottke

We study the symmetry of large deviation functions associated with time-integrated currents in Markov pure jump processes. One current known to have this symmetry is the fluctuating entropy production and this is the content of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-12-03 A. C. Barato , R. Chetrite

Time estimation is a fundamental task that underpins precision measurement, global navigation systems, financial markets, and the organisation of everyday life. Many biological processes also depend on time estimation by nanoscale clocks,…

Small nonequelibrium systems driven by an external periodic protocol can be described by Markov processes with time-periodic transition rates. In general, current fluctuations in such small systems are large and may play a crucial role. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-21 Andre C Barato , Raphael Chetrite

Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes with a wide range of applications in both natural and social sciences. Despite their widespread use, inference in these models is highly non-trivial and typically proceeds via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Patrick Seifner , Ramses J. Sanchez

Diffusive approximations of Markov jump processes often fail to accurately capture large fluctuations. This is confounding, as the rare events triggered by these large fluctuations, such as the failure of electronic memories, are often the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 David Roberts , Trevor McCourt , Geremia Massarelli , Jeremy Rothschild , Nahuel Freitas

We consider a class of stochastic dynamical systems, called piecewise deterministic Markov processes, with states $(x, \s)\in \O\times \G$, $\O$ being a region in $\bbR^d$ or the $d$--dimensional torus, $\G$ being a finite set. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-25 Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli , Marco Ribezzi Crivellari

The large deviation principle on phase space is proved for a class of Markov processes known as random population dynamics with catastrophes. In the paper we study the process which corresponds to the random population dynamics with linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-18 A. Logachov , O. Logachova , A. Yambartsev

We analyse large deviations of time-averaged quantities in stochastic processes with long-range memory, where the dynamics at time t depends itself on the value q_t of the time-averaged quantity. First we consider the elephant random walk…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-05 Robert L. Jack , Rosemary J. Harris

In this work we focus on fluctuations of time-integrated observables for a particle diffusing in a one-dimensional periodic potential in the weak-noise asymptotics. Our interest goes to rare trajectories presenting an atypical value of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-05 Nicolás Tizón-Escamilla , Vivien Lecomte , Eric Bertin

For one-dimensional Jump-Drift and Jump-Diffusion processes converging towards some steady state, the large deviations of a long dynamical trajectory are described from two perspectives. Firstly, the joint probability of the empirical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Cecile Monthus

We introduce and test an algorithm that adaptively estimates large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes in the long-time limit. These functions play an important role for predicting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Grégoire Ferré , Hugo Touchette

We develop a new methodology for the fluctuation theory of continuous-time skip-free Markov chains, extending the recent work of Choi and Patie [5] for discrete-time skip-free Markov chains. As the main application we use it to derive a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-31 R. Loeffen , P. Patie , J. Wang
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