English
Related papers

Related papers: Convergences for a Virus-like Evolving Population …

200 papers

This article deals with the emergence of a specific mating preference pattern called homogamy in a population. Individuals are characterized by their genotype at two haploid loci, and the population dynamics is modelled by a non-linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Coron Camille , Costa Manon , Laroche Fabien , Leman Hélène , Smadi Charline

We present a stability study of the class of multivariate self-excited Hawkes point processes, that can model natural and social systems, including earthquakes, epileptic seizures and the dynamics of neuron assemblies, bursts of exchanges…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

If we follow an asexually reproducing population through time, then the amount of time that has passed since the most recent common ancestor (MRCA) of all current individuals lived will change as time progresses. The resulting "MRCA age"…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Steven N. Evans , Peter L. Ralph

We consider an asexually reproducing population on a finite type space whose evolution is driven by exponential birth, death and competition rates, as well as the possibility of mutation at a birth event. On the individual-based level this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-10 Anna Kraut , Anton Bovier

Spatial birth-and-death processes with time dependent rates are obtained as solutions to certain stochastic equations. The existence, uniqueness, uniqueness in law and the strong Markov property of unique solutions are proven when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-22 Viktor Bezborodov , Luca Di Persio

We study ergodic properties of a class of Markov-modulated general birth-death processes under fast regime switching. The first set of results concerns the ergodic properties of the properly scaled joint Markov process with a parameter that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Ari Arapostathis , Guodong Pang , Yi Zheng

Targeting a better understanding of credit market dynamics, the authors have studied a stochastic model named the Hawkes process. Describing trades arrival times, this kind of model allows for the capture of self-excitement and mutual…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-12 Achraf Bahamou , Maud Doumergue , Philippe Donnat

We introduce a general class of branching Markov processes for the modelling of a parasite infection in a cell population. Each cell contains a quantity of parasites which evolves as a diffusion with positive jumps. The drift, diffusive…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-31 Aline Marguet , Charline Smadi

To forecast the time dynamics of an epidemic, we propose a discrete stochastic model that unifies and generalizes previous approaches to the subject. Viewing a given population of individuals or groups of individuals with given health state…

In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of individual-based models describing the evolution of a population structured by a real trait, subject to selection and mutation. We consider two different sets of assumptions: first,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Anouar Jeddi

The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in various contexts. Here we propose a generative model to capture the dynamics of survival analysis,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-30 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

Mechanisms leading to speciation are a major focus in evolutionary biology. In this paper, we present and study a stochastic model of population where individuals, with type a or A, are equivalent from ecological, demographical and spatial…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-20 Camille Coron , Manon Costa , Hélène Leman , Charline Smadi

Markov Population Models are a widespread formalism used to model the dynamics of complex systems, with applications in Systems Biology and many other fields. The associated Markov stochastic process in continuous time is often analyzed by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Francesca Cairoli , Ginevra Carbone , Luca Bortolussi

In this article, a stochastic individual-based model describing Darwinian evolution of asexual, phenotypic trait-structured population, is studied. We consider a large population with constant population size characterised by a resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Nicolas Champagnat , Vincent Hass

We consider birth and death stochastic dynamics of particle systems with attractive interaction. The heuristic generator of the dynamics has a constant birth rate and density dependent decreasing death rate. The corresponding statistical…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Dmitri Finkelshtein , Yuri Kondratiev , Oleksandr Kutoviy , Elena Zhizhina

Self-exciting processes of Hawkes type have been used to model various phenomena including earthquakes, neural activities, and views of online videos. Studies of temporal networks have revealed that sequences of social interevent times for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Naoki Masuda , Taro Takaguchi , Nobuo Sato , Kazuo Yano

Spatio-temporal Hawkes point processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic point processes for modeling self-exciting behavior, in which the occurrence of one event increases the probability of other events occurring. These…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-19 Alba Bernabeu , Jorge Mateu

We consider a stochastic spatial point process with births and deaths on $\mathbb{R}^d$, with the hard-core property that at any time the balls of radius half of any two points do not overlap. We give explicit construction of the process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-19 Mayank Manjrekar

In this work we propose a measure-valued stochastic process representing the dynamics of a virus population, structured by phenotypic traits and geographical space, and where viruses are transported between spatial locations by mechanical…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Mario Ayala , Jerome Coville , Raphael Forien

We consider an exponentially growing population of cells undergoing mutations and ask about the effect of reproductive fluctuations (genetic drift) on its long-term evolution. We combine first step analysis with the stochastic dynamics of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-14 Arman Angaji , Christoph Velling , Johannes Berg