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Data assimilation has been applied to coastal hydrodynamic models to better estimate system states or parameters by incorporating observed data into the model. Kalman Filter (KF) is one of the most studied data assimilation methods whose…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-07-05 Milad Hooshyar , Stephen C. Medeiros , Dingbao Wang , Scott C. Hagen

The use of model order reduction techniques in combination with ensemble-based methods for estimating the state of systems described by nonlinear partial differential equations has been of great interest in recent years in the data…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Francesco A. B. Silva , Cecilia Pagliantini , Karen Veroy

We consider filtering in high-dimensional non-Gaussian state-space models with intractable transition kernels, nonlinear and possibly chaotic dynamics, and sparse observations in space and time. We propose a novel filtering methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Alessio Spantini , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

Because of physical assumptions and numerical approximations, low-order models are affected by uncertainties in the state and parameters, and by model biases. Model biases, also known as model errors or systematic errors, are difficult to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Andrea Nóvoa , Alberto Racca , Luca Magri

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) is a widely used method for data assimilation in high-dimensional systems, with an ensemble update step equivalent to an empirical version of the Matheron update popular in Gaussian process regression -- a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Dan MacKinlay

This paper develops efficient ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) implementations based on shrinkage covariance estimation. The forecast ensemble members at each step are used to estimate the background error covariance matrix via the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-03 Elias D. Nino-Ruiz , Adrian Sandu

Ensemble methods, such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF), and the ensemble Kalman smoother (EnKS) are widely used in sequential data assimilation, where state vectors are of huge…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-03 El houcine Bergou , Serge Gratton , Jan Mandel

Many applications, such as intermittent data assimilation, lead to a recursive application of Bayesian inference within a Monte Carlo context. Popular data assimilation algorithms include sequential Monte Carlo methods and ensemble Kalman…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-01-15 Sebastian Reich

Contemporary data assimilation often involves more than a million prediction variables. Ensemble Kalman filters (EnKF) have been developed by geoscientists. They are successful indispensable tools in science and engineering, because they…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-26 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

In this paper, we propose and develop a methodology for nonlinear systems health monitoring by modeling the damage and degradation mechanism dynamics as "slow" states that are augmented with the system "fast" dynamical states. This…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-17 Najmeh Daroogheh , Nader Meskin , Khashayar Khorasani

We introduce a new multilevel ensemble Kalman filter method (MLEnKF) which consists of a hierarchy of independent samples of ensemble Kalman filters (EnKF). This new MLEnKF method is fundamentally different from the preexisting method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Håkon Hoel , Gaukhar Shaimerdenova , Raúl Tempone

Popular (ensemble) Kalman filter data assimilation (DA) approaches assume that the errors in both the a priori estimate of the state and those in the observations are Gaussian. For constrained variables, e.g. sea ice concentration or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Ivo Pasmans , Yumeng Chen , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Marc Bocquet , Alberto Carrassi

An online Data Assimilation strategy based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) is used to improve the predictive capabilities of Large Eddy Simulation (LES) for the analysis of the turbulent flow in a plane channel, $Re_\tau \approx 550$.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-10-30 Lucas Villanueva , Karine Truffin , Marcello Meldi

This work presents a fast, uncertainty-aware sequential data assimilation framework for estimating key aerodynamic states (e.g., instantaneous vorticity fields and aerodynamic loads) during severe gust encounters, where vortex-gust…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-20 Hanieh Mousavi , Anya Jones , Jeff Eldredge

We propose a new algorithm for an adaptive optics system control law which allows to reduce the computational burden in the case of an Extremely Large Telescope (ELT) and to deal with non-stationary behaviors of the turbulence. This…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 Morgan Gray , Cyril Petit , Sergey Rodionov , Laurent Bertino , Marc Bocquet , Thierry Fusco

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a recursive filter suitable for problems with a large number of variables, such as discretizations of partial differential equations in geophysical models. The EnKF originated as a version of the Kalman…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-01-26 Jan Mandel

We propose an ensemble score filter (EnSF) for solving high-dimensional nonlinear filtering problems with superior accuracy. A major drawback of existing filtering methods, e.g., particle filters or ensemble Kalman filters, is the low…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-14 Feng Bao , Zezhong Zhang , Guannan Zhang

The reconstruction of the dynamics of an observed physical system as a surrogate model has been brought to the fore by recent advances in machine learning. To deal with partial and noisy observations in that endeavor, machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-06 Marc Bocquet , Alban Farchi , Quentin Malartic

The iterative ensemble Kalman filter (IEnKF) in a deterministic framework was introduced in Sakov et al. (2012) to extend the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and improve its performance in mildly up to strongly nonlinear cases. However, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-10-17 Pavel Sakov , Jean-Matthieu Haussaire , Marc Bocquet

The filtering distribution in hidden Markov models evolves according to the law of a mean-field model in state-observation space. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) approximates this mean-field model with an ensemble of interacting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-25 Eviatar Bach , Ricardo Baptista , Edoardo Calvello , Bohan Chen , Andrew Stuart