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New continuous and stochastic extensions of the minority game, devised as a fundamental model for a market of competitive agents, are introduced and studied in the context of statistical physics. The new formulation reproduces the key…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Andrea Cavagna , Juan P. Garrahan , Irene Giardina , David Sherrington

This paper reframes approachability theory within the context of population games. Thus, whilst one player aims at driving her average payoff to a predefined set, her opponent is not malevolent but rather extracted randomly from a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-16 Dario Bauso , Thomas W L Norman

Research in adversarial learning follows a cat and mouse game between attackers and defenders where attacks are proposed, they are mitigated by new defenses, and subsequently new attacks are proposed that break earlier defenses, and so on.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Ambar Pal , René Vidal

This paper introduces a continuous-time stochastic dynamical framework for understanding how large language models (LLMs) may self-amplify latent biases or toxicity through their own chain-of-thought reasoning. The model posits an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Jack David Carson

Accurate risk assessment is essential for safety-critical autonomous and control systems under uncertainty. In many real-world settings, stochastic dynamics exhibit asymmetric jumps and long-range memory, making long-term risk probabilities…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Yimeng Sun , Zhuoyuan Wang , Xiaole Zhang , Heng Ping , Jintang Xue , Paul Bogdan , Yorie Nakahira

This review provides a pedagogic and self-contained introduction to master equations and to their representation by path integrals. We discuss analytical and numerical methods for the solution of master equations, keeping our focus on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-04 Markus F. Weber , Erwin Frey

Strategic classification studies the problem where self-interested individuals or agents manipulate their response to obtain favorable decision outcomes made by classifiers, typically turning to dishonest actions when they are less costly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Ziyuan Huang , Lina Alkarmi , Mingyan Liu

It is known since Kellerer (1972) that for any process that is increasing for the convex order, or "peacock" as in Hirsch et al. 2011, there exist martingales with the same marginals laws. Nevertheless, there is no general constructive…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Damiano Brigo , Monique Jeanblanc , Frederic Vrins

We investigate neural ordinary and stochastic differential equations (neural ODEs and SDEs) to model stochastic dynamics in fully and partially observed environments within a model-based reinforcement learning (RL) framework. Through a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Chao Han , Stefanos Ioannou , Luca Manneschi , T. J. Hayward , Michael Mangan , Aditya Gilra , Eleni Vasilaki

In this paper I propose a generative model of supervised learning that unifies two approaches to supervised learning, using a concept of a correct loss function. Addressing two measurability problems, which have been ignored in statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Hông Vân Lê

We consider the Reinforcement Learning problem of controlling an unknown dynamical system to maximise the long-term average reward along a single trajectory. Most of the literature considers system interactions that occur in discrete time…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Lorenzo Croissant , Marc Abeille , Bruno Bouchard

We study automated intrusion response for an IT infrastructure and formulate the interaction between an attacker and a defender as a partially observed stochastic game. To solve the game we follow an approach where attack and defense…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-23 Kim Hammar , Rolf Stadler

This paper studies a multi-player, general-sum stochastic game characterized by a dual-stage temporal structure per period. The agents face uncertainty regarding the time-evolving state that is realized at the beginning of each period.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-09 Tao Zhang , Quanyan Zhu

Reconstructing PDE solutions from sparse observations is a core challenge in scientific computing. We present FM4PDE, a flow-matching generative framework that learns the joint distribution of PDE coefficients (or initial states) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Xifeng Zhang , Jin Zhao

In many stochastic games stemming from financial models, the environment evolves with latent factors and there may be common noise across agents' states. Two classic examples are: (i) multi-agent trading on electronic exchanges, and (ii)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Dena Firoozi , Peter E. Caines , Sebastian Jaimungal

The origin of the long-range memory in the non-equilibrium systems is still an open problem as the phenomenon can be reproduced using models based on Markov processes. In these cases a notion of spurious memory is introduced. A good example…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-01 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

We consider the joint design and control of discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems over a finite time horizon. We formulate the problem as a multi-step optimization problem under uncertainty seeking to identify a system design and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-07 Adrien Bolland , Ioannis Boukas , Mathias Berger , Damien Ernst

We introduce a stochastic learning process called the dampened gradient approximation process. While learning models have almost exclusively focused on finite games, in this paper we design a learning process for games with continuous…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-07-02 Sebastian Bervoets , Mario Bravo , Mathieu Faure

Simulation-based techniques such as variants of stochastic Runge-Kutta are the de facto approach for inference with stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in machine learning. These methods are general-purpose and used with parametric and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Arno Solin , Ella Tamir , Prakhar Verma

The development of reinforced learning methods has extended application to many areas including algorithmic trading. In this paper trading on the stock exchange is interpreted into a game with a Markov property consisting of states,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-28 Evgeny Ponomarev , Ivan Oseledets , Andrzej Cichocki
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