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Climate models project an uncertainty range of possible warming scenarios from 1.5 to 5 degree Celsius global temperature increase until 2100, according to the CMIP6 model ensemble. Climate risk management and infrastructure adaptation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Björn Lütjens , Catherine H. Crawford , Mark Veillette , Dava Newman

Graph Neural Networks have achieved impressive results across diverse network modeling tasks, but accurately estimating uncertainty on graphs remains difficult, especially under distributional shifts. Unlike traditional uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Fred Xu , Thomas Markovich

Traditional optimization-based techniques for time-synchronized state estimation (SE) often suffer from high online computational burden, limited phasor measurement unit (PMU) coverage, and presence of non-Gaussian measurement noise.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-05 Shiva Moshtagh , Behrouz Azimian , Mohammad Golgol , Anamitra Pal

Sea surface temperature (SST) is an essential climate variable that can be measured via ground truth, remote sensing, or hybrid model methodologies. Here, we celebrate SST surveillance progress via the application of a few relevant…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-06-19 Albert Larson , Ali Shafqat Akanda

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are playing an increasingly important role in the efficient operation and security of computing systems, with applications in workload scheduling, anomaly detection, and resource management. However, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Haci Ismail Aslan , Philipp Wiesner , Ping Xiong , Odej Kao

Atmospheric blocking events drive persistent weather extremes in midlatitudes, but isolating the influence of sea surface temperature (SST) from chaotic internal atmospheric variability on these events remains a challenge. We address this…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-06 Zilu Meng , Gregory J. Hakim , Wenchang Yang , Gabriel A. Vecchi

Projecting sea-level change in various climate-change scenarios typically involves running forward simulations of the Earth's gravitational, rotational and deformational (GRD) response to ice mass change, which requires high computational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-18 Myungsoo Yoo , Giri Gopalan , Matthew J. Hoffman , Sophie Coulson , Holly Kyeore Han , Christopher K. Wikle , Trevor Hillebrand

Traditionally, numerical models have been deployed in oceanography studies to simulate ocean dynamics by representing physical equations. However, many factors pertaining to ocean dynamics seem to be ill-defined. We argue that transferring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Yuxin Meng , Feng Gao , Eric Rigall , Ran Dong , Junyu Dong , Qian Du

The immense computational cost of traditional numerical weather and climate models has sparked the development of machine learning (ML) based emulators. Because ML methods benefit from long records of training data, it is common to use…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Timothy A. Smith , Stephen G. Penny , Jason A. Platt , Tse-Chun Chen

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

Dominant modes of SST in the west and east Pacific show strong but regionally different gradients caused by waves, internal dynamics, and anthropogenic warming, which drives air-sea interaction in the Pacific. The study discusses the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Lekshmi S , Rajib Chattopadhyay , D. S. Pai , M. Rajeevan , Vinu Valsala , K. S. Hosalikar , M. Mohapatra

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

Conventional predictive Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) commonly employ deterministic weight matrices; therefore, their prediction is a point estimate. Such a deterministic nature in ANNs causes the limitations of using ANNs for medical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Minhyeok Lee , Junhee Seok

Motivated by oceanographic observational datasets, we propose a probabilistic neural network (PNN) model for calculating turbulent energy dissipation rates from vertical columns of velocity and density gradients in density stratified…

Capitalizing on the recent availability of ERA5 monthly averaged long-term data records of mean atmospheric and climate fields based on high-resolution reanalysis, deep-learning architectures offer an alternative to physics-based daily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Pratik Shukla , Milton Halem

This study presents novel predictive models using Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for simulating thermal dynamics in Laser Powder Bed Fusion (L-PBF) processes. By developing and validating Single-Laser GNN (SL-GNN) and Multi-Laser GNN (ML-GNN)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Riddhiman Raut , Amit Kumar Ball , Amrita Basak

Statistical postprocessing techniques are commonly used to improve the skill of ensembles of numerical weather forecasts. This paper considers spatial extensions of the well-established nonhomogeneous Gaussian regression (NGR)…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-22 Kira Feldmann , Michael Scheuerer , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

This work introduces a novel graph neural networks (GNNs)-based method to predict stream water temperature and reduce model bias across locations of different income and education levels. Traditional physics-based models often have limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Erhu He , Declan Kutscher , Yiqun Xie , Jacob Zwart , Zhe Jiang , Huaxiu Yao , Xiaowei Jia

Computational intelligence-based ocean characteristics forecasting applications, such as Significant Wave Height (SWH) prediction, are crucial for avoiding social and economic loss in coastal cities. Compared to the traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Delong Chen , Fan Liu , Zheqi Zhang , Xiaomin Lu , Zewen Li

Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques have gained significant attention as reduced order models (ROMs) to computationally expensive structural analysis methods, such as finite element analysis (FEA). Graph neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Yuecheng Cai , Jasmin Jelovica