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We introduce a generalized Bayesian method for multiple changepoint analysis with a loss function inspired by multinomial logistic regression. The method does not require a specification of the data-generating process and avoids restrictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Yuhui Wang , Andrew M. Thomas , Michael Jauch

Acoustic shock and acceleration waves in inhomogeneous fluids are investigated using both analytical and numerical methods. In the context of start-up signaling problems, and based on linear acoustics theory, we study the propagation of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-11-13 R. S. Keiffer , P. M. Jordan , I. C. Christov

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point locations and providing a scalable algorithm for inference. Such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

We apply the Bayesian model selection method (based on the Bayes factor) to optimize $\sqrt{s_\mathrm{NN}}$-dependence in the phenomenological parameters of the (3+1)-dimensional hybrid framework for describing relativistic heavy-ion…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-03-02 Syed Afrid Jahan , Hendrik Roch , Chun Shen

Accurate comparisons between theoretical models and experimental data are critical for scientific progress. However, inferred physical model parameters can vary significantly with the chosen physics model, highlighting the importance of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-10-27 Sunil Jaiswal , Chun Shen , Richard J. Furnstahl , Ulrich Heinz , Matthew T. Pratola

In the gravitational-wave analysis of pulsar-timing-array datasets, parameter estimation is usually performed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to explore posterior probability densities. We introduce an alternative procedure that…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-05-16 Michele Vallisneri , Marco Crisostomi , Aaron D. Johnson , Patrick M. Meyers

A vulnerability scan combined with information about a computer network can be used to create an attack graph, a model of how the elements of a network could be used in an attack to reach specific states or goals in the network. These…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Isaac Matthews , Sadegh Soudjani , Aad van Moorsel

A numerical procedure was developed for solving equations for compressible granular multiphase flows in which the particle volume fraction can range dynamically from very dilute to very dense. The procedure uses a low-dissipation and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2014-10-20 Ryan W. Houim , Elaine S. Oran

We study two types of intrinsic uncertainties, statistical errors and system size effects, in estimating shear viscosity via equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations and compare them with the corresponding uncertainties in evaluating the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-09-05 Kang-Sahn Kim , Myung Hoon Han , Changho Kim , Zhen Li , George Em Karniadakis , Eok Kyun Lee

A method is presented that is able to predict the probability of outcomes of snapshot measurements, such as the images of the instantaneous particle density distribution in a quantum many-body system. It is shown that a gauge-like…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-09-05 A. L. Shelankov , J. Rammer

Many modern applications of Bayesian inference, such as in cosmology, are based on complicated forward models with high-dimensional parameter spaces. This considerably limits the sampling of posterior distributions conditioned on observed…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-17 Marco Raveri , Cyrille Doux , Shivam Pandey

Crystal plasticity models connect macroscopic deformation with the physics of microscale slip in polycrystalline materials. These models can be calibrated using global stress-strain curves, but the resulting parametrization is often not…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-03-24 Joshua D. Pribe , Patrick E. Leser , Saikumar R. Yeratapally , George Weber

Simulations of coronary hemodynamics have improved non-invasive clinical risk stratification and treatment outcomes for coronary artery disease, compared to relying on anatomical imaging alone. However, simulations typically use empirical…

The study presents a novel approach for stochastic nonlinear model updating in structural dynamics, employing a Bayesian framework integrated with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for parameter estimation by using an approximated…

In this study, the sources of uncertainty of hot-wire anemometry (HWA) and oil-film interferometry (OFI) measurements are assessed. Both statistical and classical methods are used for the forward and inverse problems, so that the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-05-07 Saleh Rezaeiravesh , Ricardo Vinuesa , Mattias Liefvendahl , Philipp Schlatter

We consider the high energy physics unfolding problem where the goal is to estimate the spectrum of elementary particles given observations distorted by the limited resolution of a particle detector. This important statistical inverse…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-18 Mikael Kuusela , Victor M. Panaretos

We study the radial distribution of pressure, density, temperature and flow velocity fields at different times in a two dimensional hard sphere gas that is initially at rest and disturbed by injecting kinetic energy in a localized region…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-09 Jilmy P. Joy , R. Rajesh

Direct modeling of porous materials under shock is a complex issue. We investigate such a system via the newly developed material-point method. The effects of shock strength and porosity size are the main concerns. For the same porosity,…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-05-13 Aiguo Xu , Guangcai Zhang , X. F. Pan , Jianshi Zhu

The calibration of rheological parameters in the modeling of complex flows of non-Newtonian fluids can be a daunting task. In this paper we demonstrate how the framework of Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) can be used to improve the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-11 Aricia Rinkens , Clemens V. Verhoosel , Nick O. Jaensson

In a traditional Gaussian graphical model, data homogeneity is routinely assumed with no extra variables affecting the conditional independence. In modern genomic datasets, there is an abundance of auxiliary information, which often gets…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-16 Yabo Niu , Yang Ni , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick