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Singular learning theory characterizes Bayesian models with non-identifiable parameterizations through two central quantities: the real log canonical threshold (RLCT), which governs marginal likelihood asymptotics, and the singular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Sean Plummer

In statistical learning, models are classified as regular or singular depending on whether the mapping from parameters to probability distributions is injective. Most models with hierarchical structures or latent variables are singular, for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-26 Naoki Hayashi , Takuro Kutsuna , Sawa Takamuku

Watanabe's singular learning theory provides a framework for asymptotic analysis of Bayesian model selection for statistical models with singularities, where traditional statistical regularity assumptions fail. Learning coefficients, also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Mathias Drton , Elizabeth Gross , Dimitra Kosta , Anton Leykin , Seth Sullivant , Daniel Windisch

We investigate the thermodynamic properties of a Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM), a simple energy-based generative model used in the context of unsupervised learning. Assuming the information content of this model to be mainly reflected…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2018-08-20 Aurélien Decelle , Giancarlo Fissore , Cyril Furtlehner

A statistical model or a learning machine is called regular if the map taking a parameter to a probability distribution is one-to-one and if its Fisher information matrix is always positive definite. If otherwise, it is called singular. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-09-03 Sumio Watanabe

The singularities prevalent in classical thermodynamics largely stem from the "postulate of equal a priori probabilities" neglecting the physical constraints imposed by computational complexity. This paper introduces Complexity Window…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-24 HongZheng Liu , YiNuo Tian , Zhiyue Wu

We develop a correspondence between the structure of Turing machines and the structure of singularities of real analytic functions, based on connecting the Ehrhard-Regnier derivative from linear logic with the role of geometry in Watanabe's…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-04-14 Daniel Murfet , Will Troiani

Bayesian inference provides a principled probabilistic framework for quantifying uncertainty by updating beliefs based on prior knowledge and observed data through Bayes' theorem. In Bayesian deep learning, neural network weights are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yijie Zhang

Recent advances in physics-augmented neural networks have enabled thermodynamically consistent data-driven constitutive modeling of complex inelastic materials. Most existing approaches, however, implicitly adopt a specific thermodynamic…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-05-28 Reese E. Jones , Jan N. Fuhg

In this work, we have studied simple models that can be solved analytically to illustrate various fluctuation theorems. These fluctuation theorems provide symmetries individually to the distributions of physical quantities like the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-20 Mamata Sahoo , Sourabh Lahiri , A. M. Jayannavar

The application of thermodynamic reasoning in the study of learning systems has a long tradition. Recently, new tools relating perfect thermodynamic adaptation to the adaptation process have been developed. These results, known as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-07 Pedro Hack , Cecilia Lindig-Leon , Sebastian Gottwald , Daniel A. Braun

The problem of the insensitivity of the macroscopic behavior of any thermodynamical system to partitioning generates a bias between the reproducibility of its macroscopic behavior viewed as the simplest form of causality and its long-term…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Maria K. Koleva

Singularities of a statistical model are the elements of the model's parameter space which make the corresponding Fisher information matrix degenerate. These are the points for which estimation techniques such as the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Nhat Ho , XuanLong Nguyen

Feature extraction - the ability to identify relevant properties of data - is a key factor underlying the success of deep learning. Yet, it has proved difficult to elucidate its nature within existing predictive theories, to the extent that…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-08-29 Andrea Corti , Rosalba Pacelli , Pietro Rotondo , Marco Gherardi

The response of thermodynamic systems perturbed out of an equilibrium steady-state is described by the reciprocal and the fluctuation-dissipation relations. The so-called fluctuation theorems extended the study of fluctuations far beyond…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-02-21 Matteo Polettini , Massimiliano Esposito

We investigate the probability distribution of the quantum fluctuations of thermodynamic functions of finite, ballistic, phase-coherent Fermi gases. Depending on the chaotic or integrable nature of the underlying classical dynamics, on the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 P. Leboeuf , A. G. Monastra

To investigate the structure of individual differences in performance on behavioral tasks, Haaf and Rouder (2017) developed a class of hierarchical Bayesian mixed models with varying levels of constraint on the individual effects. The…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-24 Thomas J. Faulkenberry

Singular statistical models arise whenever different parameter values induce the same distribution, leading to non-identifiability and a breakdown of classical asymptotic theory. While existing approaches analyze these phenomena in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Sean Plummer

Learning machines which have hierarchical structures or hidden variables are singular statistical models because they are nonidentifiable and their Fisher information matrices are singular. In singular statistical models, neither the Bayes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-05-11 Sumio Watanabe

Accurate characterization of the equilibrium distributions of complex molecular systems and their dependence on environmental factors such as temperature is essential for understanding thermodynamic properties and transition mechanisms.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Yunrui Qiu , Richard John , Lukas Herron , Pratyush Tiwary
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