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In the brain, fine-scale correlations combine to produce macroscopic patterns of activity. However, as experiments record from larger and larger populations, we approach a fundamental bottleneck: the number of correlations one would like to…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 Christopher W. Lynn , Qiwei Yu , Rich Pang , Stephanie E. Palmer , William Bialek

We establish the validity of bootstrap methods for empirical likelihood (EL) inference under the density ratio model (DRM). In particular, we prove that the bootstrap maximum EL estimators share the same limiting distribution as their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Weiwei Zhuang , Weiqi Yang , Jiahua Chen

We obtain sharp oracle inequalities for the empirical risk minimization procedure in the regression model under the assumption that the target Y and the model F are subgaussian. The bound we obtain is sharp in the minimax sense if F is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Guillaume Lecué , Shahar Mendelson

Based on decision trees, many fields have arguably made tremendous progress in recent years. In simple words, decision trees use the strategy of "divide-and-conquer" to divide the complex problem on the dependency between input features and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Jinxiong Zhang

This paper studies performative risk minimization, a formulation of stochastic optimization under decision-dependent distributions. We consider the general case where the performative risk can be non-convex, for which we develop efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Sungwoo Park , Junyeop Kwon , Byeongnoh Kim , Suhyun Chae , Jeeyong Lee , Dabeen Lee

Label tree-based algorithms are widely used to tackle multi-class and multi-label problems with a large number of labels. We focus on a particular subclass of these algorithms that use probabilistic classifiers in the tree nodes. Examples…

We develop and analyze methods for computing provably optimal {\em maximum a posteriori} (MAP) configurations for a subclass of Markov random fields defined on graphs with cycles. By decomposing the original distribution into a convex…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Martin J. Wainwright , Tommi S. Jaakkola , Alan S. Willsky

Sparse reduced rank regression is an essential statistical learning method. In the contemporary literature, estimation is typically formulated as a nonconvex optimization that often yields to a local optimum in numerical computation. Yet,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Canhong Wen , Ruipeng Dong , Xueqin Wang , Weiyu Li , Heping Zhang

Sparse decision tree learning provides accurate and interpretable predictive models that are ideal for high-stakes applications by finding the single most accurate tree within a (soft) size limit. Rather than relying on a single "best"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Elif Arslan , Jacobus G. M. van der Linden , Serge Hoogendoorn , Marco Rinaldi , Emir Demirović

In this paper, we investigate adaptive nonlinear regression and introduce tree based piecewise linear regression algorithms that are highly efficient and provide significantly improved performance with guaranteed upper bounds in an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-12-30 N. Denizcan Vanli , Suleyman S. Kozat

We consider the problem of empirical Bayes estimation for (multivariate) Poisson means. Existing solutions that have been shown theoretically optimal for minimizing the regret (excess risk over the Bayesian oracle that knows the prior) have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Soham Jana , Yury Polyanskiy , Anzo Teh , Yihong Wu

We study the sample complexity of the best-case Empirical Risk Minimizer in the setting of stochastic convex optimization. We show that there exists an instance in which the sample size is linear in the dimension, learning is possible, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Tal Burla , Roi Livni

Stochastic convex optimization is one of the most well-studied models for learning in modern machine learning. Nevertheless, a central fundamental question in this setup remained unresolved: "How many data points must be observed so that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Daniel Carmon , Roi Livni , Amir Yehudayoff

We study contextual stochastic optimization problems, where we leverage rich auxiliary observations (e.g., product characteristics) to improve decision making with uncertain variables (e.g., demand). We show how to train forest decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-17 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao

Machine learning models have exhibited exceptional results in various domains. The most prevalent approach for learning is the empirical risk minimizer (ERM), which adapts the model's weights to reduce the loss on a training set and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Koby Bibas

We develop a rigorous framework for deterministic coreset construction in empirical risk minimization (ERM). Our central contribution is the Adaptive Deterministic Uniform-Weight Trimming (ADUWT) algorithm, which constructs a coreset by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-27 Faruk Alpay , Taylan Alpay

In this paper, we are interested in optimal decisions in a partially observable Markov universe. Our viewpoint departs from the dynamic programming viewpoint: we are directly approximating an optimal strategic tree depending on the…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Frederic Dambreville

Majority-vote ensembles achieve variance reduction by averaging over diverse, approximately independent base learners. When training data exhibits Markov dependence, as in time-series forecasting, reinforcement learning (RL) replay buffers,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Ibne Farabi Shihab , Sanjeda Akter , Anuj Sharma

In order to circumvent statistical and computational hardness results in sequential decision-making, recent work has considered smoothed online learning, where the distribution of data at each time is assumed to have bounded likeliehood…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Adam Block , Alexander Rakhlin , Abhishek Shetty

We propose an optimum mechanism for providing monetary incentives to the data sources of a statistical estimator such as linear regression, so that high quality data is provided at low cost, in the sense that the sum of payments and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-27 Yang Cai , Constantinos Daskalakis , Christos H. Papadimitriou
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