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Probabilistic graphical models are a fundamental tool in probabilistic modeling, machine learning and artificial intelligence. They allow us to integrate in a natural way expert knowledge, physical modeling, heterogeneous and correlated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-20 Panagiota Birmpa , Jinchao Feng , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

Reliability in Neural Networks (NNs) is crucial in safety-critical applications like healthcare, and uncertainty estimation is a widely researched method to highlight the confidence of NNs in deployment. In this work, we propose an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Utkarsh Sarawgi , Wazeer Zulfikar , Rishab Khincha , Pattie Maes

Interpretability is crucial to enhance trust in machine learning models for medical diagnostics. However, most state-of-the-art image classifiers based on neural networks are not interpretable. As a result, clinicians often resort to known…

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) grading is crucial in determining the adequate treatment and follow up of patients, but the screening process can be tiresome and prone to errors. Deep learning approaches have shown promising performance as…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-01 Teresa Araújo , Guilherme Aresta , Luís Mendonça , Susana Penas , Carolina Maia , Ângela Carneiro , Ana Maria Mendonça , Aurélio Campilho

Modern weather forecast models perform uncertainty quantification using ensemble prediction systems, which collect nonparametric statistics based on multiple perturbed simulations. To provide accurate estimation, dozens of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Peter Grönquist , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Luca Lavarini , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

AI procedures joined with wearable gadgets can convey exact transient blood glucose level forecast models. Also, such models can learn customized glucose-insulin elements dependent on the sensor information gathered by observing a few parts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Ignacio Rodriguez

Uncertainty quantification is an important and challenging problem in deep learning. Previous methods rely on dropout layers which are not present in modern deep architectures or batch normalization which is sensitive to batch sizes. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Lukasz Wandzik , Raul Vicente Garcia , Jörg Krüger

Deep neural networks have achieved significant success in the last decades, but they are not well-calibrated and often produce unreliable predictions. A large number of literature relies on uncertainty quantification to evaluate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Russell Alan Hart , Linlin Yu , Yifei Lou , Feng Chen

Diabetes is one of the deadliest diseases in the world and affects nearly 10 percent of the global adult population. Fortunately, powerful new technologies allow for a consistent and reliable treatment plan for people with diabetes. One…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-08 Julia Ann Jose , Trae Waggoner , Sudarsan Manikandan

The aim of this study is to analyze the effect of serum metabolites on diabetic nephropathy (DN) and predict the prevalence of DN through a machine learning approach. The dataset consists of 548 patients from April 2018 to April 2019 in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Jing-Mei Yin , Yang Li , Jun-Tang Xue , Guo-Wei Zong , Zhong-Ze Fang , Lang Zou

Activity recognition in wearable computing faces two key challenges: i) activity characteristics may be context-dependent and change under different contexts or situations; ii) unknown contexts and activities may occur from time to time,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-05 Zepeng Huo , Arash PakBin , Xiaohan Chen , Nathan Hurley , Ye Yuan , Xiaoning Qian , Zhangyang Wang , Shuai Huang , Bobak Mortazavi

Trust is a crucial factor affecting the adoption of machine learning (ML) models. Qualitative studies have revealed that end-users, particularly in the medical domain, need models that can express their uncertainty in decision-making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Andrew Houston , Georgina Cosma

In a world where more decisions are made using artificial intelligence, it is of utmost importance to ensure these decisions are well-grounded. Neural networks are the modern building blocks for artificial intelligence. Modern neural…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Mohamad Al Shaar , Nils Ekström , Gustav Gille , Reza Rezvan , Ivan Wely

Reliable uncertainty quantification is crucial for trustworthy decision-making and the deployment of AI models in medical imaging. While prior work has explored the ability of neural networks to quantify predictive, epistemic, and aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-07 Simon Baur , Wojciech Samek , Jackie Ma

Assessing the predictive uncertainty of deep neural networks is crucial for safety-related applications of deep learning. Although Bayesian deep learning offers a principled framework for estimating model uncertainty, the common approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Yookoon Park , David M. Blei

Estimation of model uncertainty can help improve the explainability of Graph Convolutional Networks and the accuracy of the models at the same time. Uncertainty can also be used in critical applications to verify the results of the model by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Illia Oleksiienko , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis

Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) management is a complex task due to many variability factors. Artificial Pancreas (AP) systems have alleviated patient burden by automating insulin delivery through advanced control algorithms. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Stefano De Carli , Nicola Licini , Davide Previtali , Fabio Previdi , Antonio Ferramosca

Accurately estimating parameters of physiological models is essential to achieving reliable digital twins. For Type 1 Diabetes, this is particularly challenging due to the complexity of glucose-insulin interactions. Traditional methods…

The uncertainty measurement of classifiers' predictions is especially important in applications such as medical diagnoses that need to ensure limited human resources can focus on the most uncertain predictions returned by machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-18 Xuchao Zhang , Fanglan Chen , Chang-Tien Lu , Naren Ramakrishnan