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Accurate prediction of future blood glucose (BG) levels can effectively improve BG management for people living with diabetes, thereby reducing complications and improving quality of life. The state of the art of BG prediction has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Chengzhe Piao , Taiyu Zhu , Stephanie E Baldeweg , Paul Taylor , Pantelis Georgiou , Jiahao Sun , Jun Wang , Kezhi Li

Quantifying uncertainty in a model's predictions is important as it enables the safety of an AI system to be increased by acting on the model's output in an informed manner. This is crucial for applications where the cost of an error is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-31 Aria Khoshsirat

The application of neural network models to scientific machine learning tasks has proliferated in recent years. In particular, neural network models have proved to be adept at modeling processes with spatial-temporal complexity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Jeremiah Hauth , Cosmin Safta , Xun Huan , Ravi G. Patel , Reese E. Jones

Predictive uncertainty-a model's self awareness regarding its accuracy on an input-is key for both building robust models via training interventions and for test-time applications such as selective classification. We propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Nishant Jain , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Pradeep Shenoy

Data-driven models for glucose level forecast often do not provide meaningful insights despite accurate predictions. Yet, context understanding in medicine is crucial, in particular for diabetes management. In this paper, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Quentin Blampey , Mehdi Rahim

One major impediment to the wider use of deep learning for clinical decision making is the difficulty of assigning a level of confidence to model predictions. Currently, deep Bayesian neural networks and sparse Gaussian processes are the…

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have shown remarkable performance in the healthcare domain. However, what remained challenging is quantifying the predictive uncertainty of GNNs, which is an important aspect of trustworthiness in clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Hirad Daneshvar , Reza Samavi

Despite the huge success of deep neural networks (NNs), finding good mechanisms for quantifying their prediction uncertainty is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are one of the most popular approaches to uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-01 Agustinus Kristiadi , Sina Däubener , Asja Fischer

Accurate prediction of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk is crucial for healthcare institutions. This study addresses the growing prevalence of diabetes and its strong link to heart disease by proposing an efficient CVD risk prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Esha Chowdhury

We evaluate two different methods for the integration of prediction uncertainty into diagnostic image classifiers to increase patient safety in deep learning. In the first method, Monte Carlo sampling is applied with dropout at test time to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-05 Max-Heinrich Laves , Sontje Ihler , Tobias Ortmaier

Uncertainty-quantification methods are applied to estimate the confidence of deep-neural-networks classifiers over their predictions. However, most widely used methods are known to be overconfident. We address this problem by developing an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Luigi Sbailò , Luca M. Ghiringhelli

We present a simple comparative framework for testing and developing uncertainty modeling in uncertain marching cubes implementations. The selection of a model to represent the probability distribution of uncertain values directly…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Robert Sisneros , Tushar M. Athawale , David Pugmire , Kenneth Moreland

Diabetic retinopathy (DR), a microvascular complication of diabetes and a leading cause of preventable blindness, is projected to affect more than 130 million individuals worldwide by 2030. Early identification is essential to reduce…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-12 Jophy Lin

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a global health issue of significance that must be diagnosed as early as possible and managed well. This study presents a framework for diabetes prediction using Machine Learning (ML) models, complemented with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Pir Bakhsh Khokhar , Viviana Pentangelo , Fabio Palomba , Carmine Gravino

Neural Processes (NPs) are a popular class of approaches for meta-learning. Similar to Gaussian Processes (GPs), NPs define distributions over functions and can estimate uncertainty in their predictions. However, unlike GPs, NPs and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Tung Nguyen , Aditya Grover

Uncertainty Quantification aims to determine when the prediction from a Machine Learning model is likely to be wrong. Computer Vision research has explored methods for determining epistemic uncertainty (also known as model uncertainty),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Prithviraj Manivannan , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Andreea Ioana Sburlea

Recurrent neural network based solutions are increasingly being used in the analysis of longitudinal Electronic Health Record data. However, most works focus on prediction accuracy and neglect prediction uncertainty. We propose Deep Kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Zhiliang Wu , Yinchong Yang , Peter A. Fasching , Volker Tresp

Health professionals can use natural language processing (NLP) technologies when reviewing electronic health records (EHR). Machine learning free-text classifiers can help them identify problems and make critical decisions. We aim to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Boyi Yang , Adam Wright

Diabetes is one of the chronic diseases, which is increasing from year to year. The problems begin when diabetes is not detected at an early phase and diagnosed properly at the appropriate time. Different machine learning techniques, as…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Hakim El Massari , Zineb Sabouri , Sajida Mhammedi , Noreddine Gherabi

Control of blood glucose is essential for diabetes management. Current digital therapeutic approaches for subjects with Type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) such as the artificial pancreas and insulin bolus calculators leverage machine learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Kezhi Li , John Daniels , Chengyuan Liu , Pau Herrero , Pantelis Georgiou