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This paper presents a general asymptotic theory of sequential Bayesian estimation giving results for the strongest, almost sure convergence. We show that under certain smoothness conditions on the probability model, the greedy information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-11 Janne V. Kujala

The problem of decentralized sequential change detection is considered, where an abrupt change occurs in an area monitored by a number of sensors; the sensors transmit their data to a fusion center, subject to bandwidth and energy…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-12 Georgios Fellouris , George V. Moustakides

In this paper, we consider the problem of detecting signals in multiple, sequentially observed data streams. For each stream, the exact distribution is unknown, but characterized by a parameter that takes values in either of two disjoint…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Yiming Xing , Anamitra Chaudhuri , Yifan Chen

The problem of sequential change diagnosis is considered, where a sequence of independent random elements is accessed sequentially, there is an abrupt change in its distribution at some unknown time, and there are two main operational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Austin Warner , Georgios Fellouris

Stochastic equations play an important role in computational science, due to their ability to treat a wide variety of complex statistical problems. However, current algorithms are strongly limited by their sampling variance, which scales…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Bogdan Opanchuk , Simon Kiesewetter , Peter D. Drummond

Sequential multi-class diagnosis, also known as multi-hypothesis testing, is a classical sequential decision problem with broad applications. However, the optimal solution remains, in general, unknown as the dynamic program suffers from the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-12-07 Jue Wang

Considerable interest has recently been focused on studying multiple phenotypes simultaneously in both epidemiological and genomic studies, either to capture the multidimensionality of complex disorders or to understand shared etiology of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-26 Denis Agniel , Katherine P. Liao , Tianxi Cai

We present a second-order estimator of the mean of a variable subject to missingness, under the missing at random assumption. The estimator improves upon existing methods by using an approximate second-order expansion of the parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-30 Iván Díaz , Marco Carone , Mark J. van der Laan

We settle the problem of determining the asymptotic behavior of the parameters of optimal difference systems of sets, or DSSes for short, which were originally introduced for computationally efficient frame synchronization under the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Yu Tsunoda , Yuichiro Fujiwara

We study periodic review stochastic inventory control in the data-driven setting where the retailer makes ordering decisions based only on historical demand observations without any knowledge of the probability distribution of the demand.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Xun Zhang , Zhisheng Ye , William B. Haskell

We consider tests of hypotheses when the parameters are not identifiable under the null in semiparametric models, where regularity conditions for profile likelihood theory fail. Exponential average tests based on integrated profile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-25 Rui Song , Michael R. Kosorok , Jason P. Fine

In group sequential designs, where several data looks are conducted for early stopping, we generally assume the vector of test statistics from the sequential analyses follows (at least approximately or asymptotially) a multivariate normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Long-Hao Xu , Tobias Mütze , Frank Konietschke , Tim Friede

This paper provides a statistical method to test whether a system that performs a binary sequential hypothesis test is optimal in the sense of minimizing the average decision times while taking decisions with given reliabilities. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Meik Dörpinghaus , Izaak Neri , Édgar Roldán , Heinrich Meyr , Frank Jülicher

Single fault sequential change point problems have become important in modeling for various phenomena in large distributed systems, such as sensor networks. But such systems in many situations present multiple interacting faults. For…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Ram Rajagopal , XuanLong Nguyen , Sinem Coleri Ergen , Pravin Varaiya

Mixed-integer optimisation problems can be computationally challenging. Here, we introduce and analyse two efficient algorithms with a specific sequential design that are aimed at dealing with sampled problems within this class. At each…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Mohammadreza Chamanbaz , Roland Bouffanais

We propose and analyze a specific asymptotic stochastic order for random processes based on the measure of departure discussed in the literature. As applications, we stochastically compare mixtures of order statistics and record values…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Sugata Ghosh , Asok K. Nanda

We revisit the outlier hypothesis testing framework of Li \emph{et al.} (TIT 2014) and derive fundamental limits for the optimal test. In outlier hypothesis testing, one is given multiple observed sequences, where most sequences are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-17 Lin Zhou , Yun Wei , Alfred Hero

Corrected confidence intervals are developed for the mean of the second component of a bivariate normal process when the first component is being monitored sequentially. This is accomplished by constructing a first approximation to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 R. C. Weng , D. S. Coad

We consider sequential hypothesis testing based on observations which are received in groups of random size. The observations are assumed to be independent both within and between the groups. We assume that the group sizes are independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-11 Andrey Novikov , Xóchitl Itxel Popoca-Jiménez

Motivated by real-world machine learning applications, we consider a statistical classification task in a sequential setting where test samples arrive sequentially. In addition, the generating distributions are unknown and only a set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mahdi Haghifam , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Ashish Khisti