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We propose a formal treatment of scenarios in the context of a dialectical argumentation formalism for qualitative reasoning about uncertain propositions. Our formalism extends prior work in which arguments for and against uncertain…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Peter McBurney , Simon Parsons

This paper proposes strategies for designing a system whose computational model is subject to aleatory and epistemic uncertainty. Aleatory variables, which are caused by randomness in physical parameters, are draws from a possibly unknown…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Luis G. Crespo

Automated vehicles require the ability to cooperate with humans for smooth integration into today's traffic. While the concept of cooperation is well known, developing a robust and efficient cooperative trajectory planning method is still a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Philipp Stegmaier , Karl Kurzer , J. Marius Zöllner

Occlusion-aware prediction remains a critical challenge in autonomous driving due to the inherent uncertainty of unobserved regions. Existing approaches either overestimate risk based on reachable states or struggle to predict accurate…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Jie Jia , Yaofeng Su , Zeyu Bao , Yun Hong , Bingzhao Gao , Zhongxue Gan , Wenchao Ding

Systemic risk is a rapidly developing area of research. Classical financial models often do not adequately reflect the phenomena of bubbles, crises, and transitions between them during credit cycles. To study very improbable events,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-11 Kamil Fortuna , Janusz Szwabiński

Safe motion planning for robotic systems in dynamic environments is nontrivial in the presence of uncertain obstacles, where estimation of obstacle uncertainties is crucial in predicting future motions of dynamic obstacles. The worst-case…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Jian Zhou , Yulong Gao , Ola Johansson , Björn Olofsson , Erik Frisk

As autonomous vehicle technology advances, the precise assessment of safety in complex traffic scenarios becomes crucial, especially in mixed-vehicle environments where human perception of safety must be taken into account. This paper…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Enrico Del Re , Amirhesam Aghanouri , Cristina Olaverri-Monreal

Autonomous vehicles rely on accurate trajectory prediction to inform decision-making processes related to navigation and collision avoidance. However, current trajectory prediction models show signs of overfitting, which may lead to unsafe…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Jeroen Hagenus , Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Julian F. Schumann , Arkady Zgonnikov

Predicting the motion of a driver's vehicle is crucial for advanced driving systems, enabling detection of potential risks towards shared control between the driver and automation systems. In this paper, we propose a variational neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Xin Huang , Stephen McGill , Brian C. Williams , Luke Fletcher , Guy Rosman

Navigation in dynamic environments requires autonomous systems to reason about uncertainties in the behavior of other agents. In this paper, we introduce a unified framework that combines trajectory planning with multimodal predictions and…

Autonomous navigation in unknown 3D environments is a key issue for intelligent transportation, while still being an open problem. Conventionally, navigation risk has been focused on mitigating collisions with obstacles, neglecting the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Elie Randriamiarintsoa , Johann Laconte , Benoit Thuilot , Romuald Aufrère

We can overcome uncertainty with uncertainty. Using randomness in our choices and in what we control, and hence in the decision making process, could potentially offset the uncertainty inherent in the environment and yield better outcomes.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-06 Ravi Kashyap

A risk analyst assesses potential financial losses based on multiple sources of information. Often, the assessment does not only depend on the specification of the loss random variable but also various economic scenarios. Motivated by this…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-02 Tolulope Fadina , Yang Liu , Ruodu Wang

Navigating complex urban environments safely is a key to realize fully autonomous systems. Predicting future locations of vulnerable road users, such as pedestrians and cyclists, thus, has received a lot of attention in the recent years.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Tessa van der Heiden , Naveen Shankar Nagaraja , Christian Weiss , Efstratios Gavves

For an autonomous vehicle to operate reliably within real-world traffic scenarios, it is imperative to assess the repercussions of its prospective actions by anticipating the uncertain intentions exhibited by other participants in the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Khaled A. Mustafa , Daniel Jarne Ornia , Jens Kober , Javier Alonso-Mora

We consider decision problems under uncertainty where the options available to a decision maker and the resulting outcome are related through a causal mechanism which is unknown to the decision maker. We ask how a decision maker can learn…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-07-04 M. Gonzalez-Soto , L. E. Sucar , H. J. Escalante

This paper presents a formal and comprehensive reasoning framework for robot motion risk, with a focus on locomotion in challenging unstructured or confined environments. Risk which locomoting robots face in physical spaces was not formally…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-09-06 Xuesu Xiao , Jan Dufek , Robin R. Murphy

In this paper, we propose a Q-learning based decision-making framework to improve the safety and efficiency of Autonomous Vehicles when they encounter other maliciously behaving vehicles while passing through unsignalized intersections. In…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Qing Li , Jinxing Hua , Qiuxia Sun

Model based predictions of future trajectories of a dynamical system often suffer from inaccuracies, forcing model based control algorithms to re-plan often, thus being computationally expensive, suboptimal and not reliable. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-11 Norman Di Palo , Harri Valpola

Autonomous driving in complex traffic requires reasoning under uncertainty. Common approaches rely on prediction-based planning or risk-aware control, but these are typically treated in isolation, limiting their ability to capture the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Devodita Chakravarty , John Dolan , Yiwei Lyu