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We consider the problem of designing policies for partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with dynamic coherent risk objectives. Synthesizing risk-averse optimal policies for POMDPs requires infinite memory and thus…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-09-30 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Masahiro Ono , Michel D. Ingham , Richard M. Murray , Aaron D. Ames

Here, we explore the problem of error propagation mitigation in modular digital twins as a sequential decision process. Building on a companion study that used a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) to infer latent error regimes from surrogate-physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Annice Najafi , Shokoufeh Mirzaei

In this work, a single-unit multi-state system is considered. The system is subject to internal failures, as well as external shocks with multiple consequences. It also incorporates a preventive maintenance strategy and a Bernoulli vacation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Juan Eloy Ruiz-Castro , Hugo Alaín Zapata-Ceballos

Effective operations and maintenance (O&M) in modern production systems hinges on careful orchestration of economic and degradation dependencies across a multitude of assets. While the economic dependencies are well studied, degradation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Deniz Altinpulluk , Farnaz Fallahi , Murat Yildirim , Javad Feizollahi

The partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) provides a principled general model for planning under uncertainty. However, solving a general POMDP is computationally intractable in the worst case. This paper introduces…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-02-24 Min Chen , Emilio Frazzoli , David Hsu , Wee Sun Lee

This paper deals with control of partially observable discrete-time stochastic systems. It introduces and studies Markov Decision Processes with Incomplete Information and with semi-uniform Feller transition probabilities. The important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , Michael Z. Zgurovsky

Searching for objects amongst clutter is a key ability of visual systems. Speed and accuracy are often crucial: how can the visual system trade off these competing quantities for optimal performance in different tasks? How does the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-11-06 Bo Chen , Pietro Perona

We consider the online planning problem for a team of agents to discover and track an unknown and time-varying number of moving objects from onboard sensor measurements with uncertain measurement-object origins. Since the onboard sensors…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Hoa Van Nguyen , Ba-Ngu Vo , Ba-Tuong Vo , Hamid Rezatofighi , Damith C. Ranasinghe

In this paper we consider a control problem for a Partially Observable Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process of the following type: After the jump of the process the controller receives a noisy signal about the state and the aim is to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Dirk Lange

This work develops novel strategies for optimal planning with semantic observations using continuous state partially observable markov decision processes (CPOMDPs). Two major innovations are presented in relation to Gaussian mixture (GM)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-08-09 Luke Burks , Ian Loefgren , Nisar Ahmed

In the era of smart manufacturing, predictive maintenance (PdM) plays a pivotal role in improving equipment reliability and reducing operating costs. In this paper, we propose a novel Markov Decision Process (MDP) framework that integrates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Shiqing Qiu

Planning under partial obervability is essential for autonomous robots. A principled way to address such planning problems is the Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP). Although solving POMDPs is computationally intractable,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Marcus Hoerger , Hanna Kurniawati , Alberto Elfes

A complex multi-state redundant system undergoing preventive maintenance and experiencing multiple events is being considered in a continuous time frame. The online unit is susceptible to various types of failures, both internal and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-13 Juan Eloy Ruiz-Castro , Hugo Alaín Zapata-Ceballos

Dealing with Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes is notably a challenging task. We face an average-reward infinite-horizon POMDP setting with an unknown transition model, where we assume the knowledge of the observation model.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Alessio Russo , Alberto Maria Metelli , Marcello Restelli

This paper presents a maintenance policy for a modular system formed by K independent modules (n-subsystems) subjected to environmental conditions (shocks). For the modeling of this complex system, the use of the Matrix-Analytical Method…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-23 M. L. Gamiz , D. Montoro-Cazorla , M. C. Segovia-Garcia

In this paper we describe a general approach to optimal imperfect maintenance activities of a repairable equipment with independent components. Most of the existing works on optimal imperfect maintenance activities of a repairable equipment…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Rubén Mullor , Julio Mulero , Mario Trottini

In this paper, we are interested in optimal decisions in a partially observable Markov universe. Our viewpoint departs from the dynamic programming viewpoint: we are directly approximating an optimal strategic tree depending on the…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Frederic Dambreville

We show that for several variations of partially observable Markov decision processes, polynomial-time algorithms for finding control policies are unlikely to or simply don't have guarantees of finding policies within a constant factor or a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-02 J. Goldsmith , C. Lusena , M. Mundhenk

We analytically solve the finite-time control problem of driving an overdamped particle via an optical trap under costly measurement. By formulating this mesoscopic information engine within the Partially Observable Markov Decision Process…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-10 Emanuele Panizon

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) are a popular class of models suitable for solving control decision problems in probabilistic reactive systems. We consider parametric MDPs (pMDPs) that include parameters in some of the transition…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-06-14 Sebastian Arming , Ezio Bartocci , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ana Sokolova