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Recent advances in neuroscientific experimental techniques have enabled us to simultaneously record the activity of thousands of neurons across multiple brain regions. This has led to a growing need for computational tools capable of…

Principal component analysis (PCA) aims at estimating the direction of maximal variability of a high-dimensional dataset. A natural question is: does this task become easier, and estimation more accurate, when we exploit additional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-19 Andrea Montanari , Emile Richard

Extracting relevant information from data is crucial for all forms of learning. The information bottleneck (IB) method formalizes this, offering a mathematically precise and conceptually appealing framework for understanding learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Vudtiwat Ngampruetikorn , David J. Schwab

We consider regression models with data of the type $y_i=m(x_i)+\varepsilon_i$, where the $m(x)$ curve is taken locally constant, with unknown levels and jump points. We investigate the large-sample properties of the minimum least squares…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Steffen Grønneberg , Gudmund Hermansen , Nils Lid Hjort

For multivariate regularly random vectors of dimension $d$, the dependence structure of the extremes is modeled by the so-called angular measure. When the dimension $d$ is high, estimating the angular measure is challenging because of its…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Lucas Butsch , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

A popular technique for selecting and tuning machine learning estimators is cross-validation. Cross-validation evaluates overall model fit, usually in terms of predictive accuracy. In causal inference, the optimal choice of estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Dominik Rothenhäusler

Information theoretic active learning has been widely studied for probabilistic models. For simple regression an optimal myopic policy is easily tractable. However, for other tasks and with more complex models, such as classification with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-12-30 Neil Houlsby , Ferenc Huszár , Zoubin Ghahramani , Máté Lengyel

In many data-driven online decision systems, actions determine not only operational costs but also the data availability for future learning -- a phenomenon termed Prediction-Induced Censoring (PIC). This challenge is particularly acute in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-23 Yan Chen , Ruyi Huang , Cheng Liu

Identifying optimal values for a high-dimensional set of hyperparameters is a problem that has received growing attention given its importance to large-scale machine learning applications such as neural architecture search. Recently…

Learning, especially rapid learning, is critical for survival. However, learning is hard: a large number of synaptic weights must be set based on noisy, often ambiguous, sensory information. In such a high-noise regime, keeping track of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-22 Laurence Aitchison , Jannes Jegminat , Jorge Aurelio Menendez , Jean-Pascal Pfister , Alex Pouget , Peter E. Latham

Bayesian models often involve a small set of hyperparameters determined by maximizing the marginal likelihood. Bayesian optimization is a popular iterative method where a Gaussian process posterior of the underlying function is sequentially…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-18 Oskar Gustafsson , Mattias Villani , Pär Stockhammar

Bayesian optimization is proposed for automatic learning of optimal controller parameters from experimental data. A probabilistic description (a Gaussian process) is used to model the unknown function from controller parameters to a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Matthias Neumann-Brosig , Alonso Marco , Dieter Schwarzmann , Sebastian Trimpe

Several scenarios require the optimization of non-convex black-box functions, that are noisy expensive to evaluate functions with unknown analytical expression, whose gradients are hence not accessible. For example, the hyper-parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Eduardo C. Garrido-Merchán

We propose two methods to evaluate the conditional Akaike information (cAI) for nonlinear mixed-effects models with no restriction on cluster size. Method 1 is designed for continuous data and includes formulae for the derivatives of fixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Nan Zheng , Noel Cadigan , James T. Thorson

The classical approach to system identification is based on stochastic assumptions about the measurement error, and provides estimates that have random nature. Worst-case identification, on the other hand, only assumes the knowledge of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-06-07 Fabrizio Dabbene , Mario Sznaier , Roberto Tempo

For the multivariate linear regression model with unknown covariance, the corrected Akaike information criterion is the minimum variance unbiased estimator of the expected Kullback--Leibler discrepancy. In this study, based on the loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-20 Takeru Matsuda

We consider sequential decision making problems for binary classification scenario in which the learner takes an active role in repeatedly selecting samples from the action pool and receives the binary label of the selected alternatives.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-09 Yingfei Wang , Chu Wang , Warren Powell

Transient recurring phenomena are ubiquitous in many scientific fields like neuroscience and meteorology. Time inhomogenous Vector Autoregressive Models (VAR) may be used to characterize peri-event system dynamics associated with such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-02 Kaidi Shao , Nikos K. Logothetis , Michel Besserve

The major problem in information theoretic analysis of neural responses and other biological data is the reliable estimation of entropy--like quantities from small samples. We apply a recently introduced Bayesian entropy estimator to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-09-29 Ilya Nemenman , William Bialek , Rob de Ruyter van Steveninck

In many real world problems, optimization decisions have to be made with limited information. The decision maker may have no a priori or posteriori data about the often nonconvex objective function except from on a limited number of points…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Tansu Alpcan