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To consider model uncertainty in global Fr\'{e}chet regression and improve density response prediction, we propose a frequentist model averaging method. The weights are chosen by minimizing a cross-validation criterion based on Wasserstein…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Xingyu Yan , Xinyu Zhang , Peng Zhao

Ensemble forecasts and their combination are examined from the perspective of probability spaces. Manipulating ensemble forecasts as discrete probability distributions, multi-model ensemble (MME) forecasts are reformulated as barycenters of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-24 Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Rémi Flamary , Riwal Plougonven

We introduce HiPaR, a novel pattern-aided regression method for tabular data containing both categorical and numerical attributes. HiPaR mines hybrid rules of the form $p \Rightarrow y = f(X)$ where $p$ is the characterization of a data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-25 Luis Galárraga , Olivier Pelgrin , Alexandre Termier

Computing the Wasserstein barycenter of a set of probability measures under the optimal transport metric can quickly become prohibitive for traditional second-order algorithms, such as interior-point methods, as the support size of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Dongdong Ge , Haoyue Wang , Zikai Xiong , Yinyu Ye

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) can predict energy, force, and stress of materials and enable a wide range of downstream discovery tasks. A key design choice in MLIPs involves the trade-off between invariant and equivariant…

We introduce closed-form transition density expansions for multivariate affine jump-diffusion processes. The expansions rely on a general approximation theory which we develop in weighted Hilbert spaces for random variables which possess…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Damir Filipović , Eberhard Mayerhofer , Paul Schneider

We study the fixed-support Wasserstein barycenter problem (FS-WBP), which consists in computing the Wasserstein barycenter of $m$ discrete probability measures supported on a finite metric space of size $n$. We show first that the…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Tianyi Lin , Nhat Ho , Xi Chen , Marco Cuturi , Michael I. Jordan

We present a framework to simultaneously align and smooth data in the form of multiple point clouds sampled from unknown densities with support in a d-dimensional Euclidean space. This work is motivated by applications in bioinformatics…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-28 Jérémie Bigot , Elsa Cazelles , Nicolas Papadakis

Estimating accurate high-dimensional transformations remains very challenging, especially in a clinical setting. In this paper, we introduce a multiscale parameterization of deformations to enhance registration and atlas estimation in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-31 Fleur Gaudfernau , Eléonore Blondiaux , Stéphanie Allassonnière , Erwan Le Pennec

Classical penalized likelihood regression problems deal with the case that the independent variables data are known exactly. In practice, however, it is common to observe data with incomplete covariate information. We are concerned with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-04 Xiwen Ma , Bin Dai , Ronald Klein , Barbara E. K. Klein , Kristine E. Lee , Grace Wahba

We present a structured additive regression approach to model conditional densities given scalar covariates, where only samples of the conditional distributions are observed. This links our approach to distributional regression models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Eva-Maria Maier , Alexander Fottner , Sonja Greven , Almond Stöcker

Hypernetworks, neural networks that predict the parameters of another neural network, are powerful models that have been successfully used in diverse applications from image generation to multi-task learning. Unfortunately, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Jose Javier Gonzalez Ortiz , John Guttag , Adrian Dalca

In this paper we tackle the problem of comparing distributions of random variables and defining a mean pattern between a sample of random events. Using barycenters of measures in the Wasserstein space, we propose an iterative version as an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Emmanuel Boissard , Thibaut Le Gouic , Jean-Michel Loubes

High-dimensional neuroimaging and spatiotemporal blocks often contain structured missingness from acquisition artifacts, preprocessing failures, and sensor dropout. Multiple imputation propagates uncertainty, but fully conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Hsin-Hsiung Huang , Stef van Buuren

A Hilbert space embedding of a distribution---in short, a kernel mean embedding---has recently emerged as a powerful tool for machine learning and inference. The basic idea behind this framework is to map distributions into a reproducing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Krikamol Muandet , Kenji Fukumizu , Bharath Sriperumbudur , Bernhard Schölkopf

We study the problem of learning a real-valued function that satisfies the Demographic Parity constraint. It demands the distribution of the predicted output to be independent of the sensitive attribute. We consider the case that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-24 Evgenii Chzhen , Christophe Denis , Mohamed Hebiri , Luca Oneto , Massimiliano Pontil

Many real world categories are multimodal, with single classes occupying disjoint regions in feature space. Classical linear models (logistic regression, linear SVM) use a single global hyperplane and perform poorly on such data, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Prasanth K K , Shubham Sharma

This work provides several fundamental characterizations of the optimal classification function under the demographic parity constraint. In the awareness framework, akin to the classical unconstrained classification case, we show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-02 Solenne Gaucher , Nicolas Schreuder , Evgenii Chzhen

We study one particular type of multivariate spatial autoregression (MSAR) model with diverging dimensions in both responses and covariates. This makes the usual MSAR models no longer applicable due to the high computational cost. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Jiaxin Shi , Xuening Zhu , Jing Zhou , Baichen Yu , Hansheng Wang

Wasserstein barycenter is the centroid of a collection of discrete probability distributions which minimizes the average of the $\ell_2$-Wasserstein distance. This paper focuses on the computation of Wasserstein barycenters under the case…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Yitian Qian , Shaohua Pan
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