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Penalized spline smoothing is a popular and flexible method of obtaining estimates in nonparametric regression but the classical least-squares criterion is highly susceptible to model deviations and atypical observations. Penalized spline…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-12 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stefan Van Aelst

This work proposes a Bayesian rule based on the mixture of a point mass function at zero and the logistic distribution to perform wavelet shrinkage in nonparametric regression models with stationary errors (with short or long-memory…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-24 Alex Rodrigo dos S. Sousa , Mauricio Zevallos

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skew-t distributed measurement noise are presented. The proposed algorithms improve upon our earlier proposed filter and smoother using the mean field…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piche , Fredrik Gustafsson

Predictive mean matching imputation is popular for handling item nonresponse in survey sampling. In this article, we study the asymptotic properties of the predictive mean matching estimator of the population mean. For variance estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-16 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim

A new method is proposed for variable screening, variable selection and prediction in linear regression problems where the number of predictors can be much larger than the number of observations. The method involves minimizing a penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-14 D. Vasiliu , T. Dey , I. L. Dryden

Feature or variable selection is a problem inherent to large data sets. While many methods have been proposed to deal with this problem, some can scale poorly with the number of predictors in a data set. Screening methods scale linearly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-09 Naveed Merchant , Jeffrey D. Hart

Standard practice obtains an unbiased variance estimator by dividing by $N-1$ rather than $N$. Yet if only half the data are used to compute the mean, dividing by $N$ can still yield an unbiased estimator. We show that an alternative mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Dai Akita

In practice rarely (if ever) is the spatial covariance known in spatial prediction problems. Often, prediction is performed after estimated spatial covariance parameters are plugged into the prediction equation. The estimated spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-11 Roberto Rivera , Wendy Meiring

Sparse model identification enables nonlinear dynamical system discovery from data. However, the control of false discoveries for sparse model identification is challenging, especially in the low-data and high-noise limit. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-28 L. Mars Gao , Urban Fasel , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

In stochastic simulation, input uncertainty refers to the output variability arising from the statistical noise in specifying the input models. This uncertainty can be measured by a variance contribution in the output, which, in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-20 Henry Lam , Huajie Qian

Subsampling is a computationally efficient and scalable method to draw inference in large data settings based on a subset of the data rather than needing to consider the whole dataset. When employing subsampling techniques, a crucial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Amalan Mahendran , Helen Thompson , James M. McGree

Variational inference in Bayesian deep learning often involves computing the gradient of an expectation that lacks a closed-form solution. In these cases, pathwise and score-function gradient estimators are the most common approaches. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Kenyon Ng , Susan Wei

Functional data, with basic observational units being functions (e.g., curves, surfaces) varying over a continuum, are frequently encountered in various applications. While many statistical tools have been developed for functional data…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-10 Jingjing Yang , Hongxiao Zhu , Taeryon Choi , Dennis D. Cox

We propose a Similarity-Based Stratified Splitting (SBSS) technique, which uses both the output and input space information to split the data. The splits are generated using similarity functions among samples to place similar samples in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Felipe Farias , Teresa Ludermir , Carmelo Bastos-Filho

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point locations and providing a scalable algorithm for inference. Such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

We adapt the interactive spline model of Wahba to growth curves with covariates. The smoothing spline formulation permits a non-parametric representation of the growth curves. In the limit when the discretization error is small relative to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Kurt S. Riedel , Kaya Imre

Method of parameterizing and smoothing the unknown underling distributions using Bernstein polynomials is proposed, verified and investigated. Any distribution with bounded and smooth enough density can be approximated by the proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-23 Zhong Guan

Quantiles are useful characteristics of random variables that can provide substantial information on distributions compared with commonly used summary statistics such as means. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian quantile trend filtering…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-23 Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Stochastic variance reduced methods have shown strong performance in solving finite-sum problems. However, these methods usually require the users to manually tune the step-size, which is time-consuming or even infeasible for some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-10 Binghui Xie , Chenhan Jin , Kaiwen Zhou , James Cheng , Wei Meng

Uncertainty quantification for image data is dominated by complex deep learning methods, yet the field lacks an interpretable, mathematically grounded baseline. We propose Bayesian scattering to fill this gap, serving as a first-step…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Bernardo Fichera , Zarko Ivkovic , Kjell Jorner , Philipp Hennig , Viacheslav Borovitskiy