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We investigate the performance of dynamic portfolios constructed using more than 21,000 technical trading rules on 12 categorical and country-specific markets over the 2004-2015 study period, on rolling forward structures of different…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-14 Georgios Sermpinis , Arman Hassanniakalager , Charalampos Stasinakis , Ioannis Psaradellis

We propose a fast and flexible method to scale multivariate return volatility predictions up to high-dimensions using a dynamic risk factor model. Our approach increases parsimony via time-varying sparsity on factor loadings and is able to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-15 Bruno P. C. Levy , Hedibert F. Lopes

This paper investigates the investment problem of constructing an optimal no-short sequential portfolio strategy in a market with a latent dependence structure between asset prices and partly unobservable side information, which is often…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-22 Duy Khanh Lam

We propose a universal end-to-end framework for portfolio optimization where asset distributions are directly obtained. The designed framework circumvents the traditional forecasting step and avoids the estimation of the covariance matrix,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-18 Chao Zhang , Zihao Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Stefan Zohren

In this work, we consider the optimal portfolio selection problem under hard constraints on trading amounts, transaction costs and different rates for borrowing and lending when the risky asset returns are serially correlated. No…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-30 Vladimir Dombrovskii , Tatyana Obedko

We study the sensitivity to estimation error of portfolios optimized under various risk measures, including variance, absolute deviation, expected shortfall and maximal loss. We introduce a measure of portfolio sensitivity and test the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Imre Kondor , Szilard Pafka , Gabor Nagy

Sharpe ratio (also known as reward-to-variability ratio) is a widely-used metric in finance, which measures the additional return at the cost of per unit of increased risk (standard deviation of return). However, the optimization of Sharpe…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Shuai Ma , Guangwu Liu , Li Xia

Shorting for hedging exposes to risk when the market dynamics is uncertain. Managing uncertainty and risk exposure is key in portfolio management practice. This paper develops a robust framework for dynamic minimum-variance hedging that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Adele Ravagnani , Mattia Chiappari , Andrea Flori , Piero Mazzarisi , Marco Patacca

We study the feasibility and noise sensitivity of portfolio optimization under some downside risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and semivariance) when they are estimated by fitting a parametric distribution on a finite sample…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Istvan Varga-Haszonits , Imre Kondor

This study proposes a portfolio optimization framework that integrates advanced deep learning architectures with traditional financial models to enhance risk-adjusted performance. Using historical data from 2015-2023 across equities, ETFs,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Samuel Ozechi , Banjo Francis , Wisdom Yakanu , Joe Wayne Byers

Optimal execution of a portfolio have been a challenging problem for institutional investors. Traders face the trade-off between average trading price and uncertainty, and traditional methods suffer from the curse of dimensionality. Here,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-16 Xiaoyue Li , John M. Mulvey

This paper uses topological data analysis (TDA) tools and introduces a data-driven clustering-based stock selection strategy tailored for sparse portfolio construction. Our asset selection strategy exploits the topological features of stock…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-16 Anubha Goel , Damir Filipović , Puneet Pasricha

This paper addresses the question of whether it can be beneficial for an optimization algorithm to follow directions of negative curvature. Although prior work has established convergence results for algorithms that integrate both descent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Frank E. Curtis , Daniel P. Robinson

Stock portfolio optimization is the process of continuous reallocation of funds to a selection of stocks. This is a particularly well-suited problem for reinforcement learning, as daily rewards are compounding and objective functions may…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-06 Charl Maree , Christian W. Omlin

The downside risk of a portfolio of (equity)assets is generally substantially higher than the downside risk of its components. In particular in times of crises when assets tend to have high correlation, the understanding of this difference…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Alex Langnau , Daniel Cangemi

In high-dimensional data analysis, such as financial index tracking or biomedical applications, it is crucial to select the few relevant variables while maintaining control over the false discovery rate (FDR). In these applications, strong…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-31 Jasin Machkour , Daniel P. Palomar , Michael Muma

We extend the Annually Recalculated Virtual Annuity (ARVA) spending rule for retirement savings decumulation to include a cap and a floor on withdrawals. With a minimum withdrawal constraint, the ARVA strategy runs the risk of depleting the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Peter A. Forsyth , Kenneth R. Vetzal , Graham Westmacott

Considering mean-variance portfolio problems with uncertain model parameters, we contrast the classical absolute robust optimization approach with the relative robust approach based on a maximum regret function. Although the latter problems…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-14 Raphael Hauser , Vijay Krishnamurthy , Reha Tütüncü

This paper studies a continuous-time portfolio selection problem under a general distribution of random risk aversion (RRA). We provide a complete characterization of all deterministic equilibrium strategies in closed form. Our results show…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-02 Weilun Cheng , Zongxia Liang , Sheng Wang , Jianming Xia

This article introduces a novel hybrid regime identification-forecasting framework designed to enhance multi-asset portfolio construction by integrating asset-specific regime forecasts. Unlike traditional approaches that focus on broad…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-19 Yizhan Shu , Chenyu Yu , John M. Mulvey