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Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) provides us with a way to infer parameters of models, for which the likelihood function is not available, from an observation. Using ABC, which depends on many simulations from the considered model, we…

The Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequences (ETAS) model and its variants effectively capture the space-time clustering of seismicity, setting the standard for earthquake forecasting. Accurate unbiased ETAS calibration is thus crucial. But we…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-23 Jiawei Li , Didier Sornette , Zhongliang Wu , Jiancang Zhuang , Changsheng Jiang

For earthquake-resistant design, engineering seismologists employ time-history analysis for nonlinear simulations. The nonstationary stochastic method previously developed by Pousse et al. (2006) has been updated. This method has the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-18 Aurore Laurendeau , Fabrice Cotton , Luis Fabian Bonilla

Historical observations of severe weather and simulated severe weather environments (i.e., features) from the Global Ensemble Forecast System v12 (GEFSv12) Reforecast Dataset (GEFS/R) are used in conjunction to train and test random forest…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-19 Aaron J. Hill , Russ S. Schumacher , Israel Jirak

P-wave first-motion polarity plays an important role in resolving focal mechanisms of small to moderate earthquakes (M <= 4.5). High-quality focal mechanism solutions for abundant small events can greatly improve our understanding of…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-11-25 Ziye Yu , Yuqi Cai

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

Bayesian inference applied to microseismic activity monitoring allows the accurate location of microseismic events from recorded seismograms and the estimation of the associated uncertainties. However, the forward modelling of these…

The reliable discrimination of tectonic earthquakes from anthropogenic quarry blasts and transient noise remains a critical challenge in single station seismic monitoring. In this study, we introduce a novel Physics Informed Convolutional…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-19 Nishtha Srivastava , Johannes Faber , Dhruv Aditya Srivastava

Building damage identification shortly after a disaster is crucial for guiding emergency response and recovery efforts. Although optical satellite imagery is commonly used for disaster mapping, its effectiveness is often hampered by cloud…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Luigi Russo , Deodato Tapete , Silvia Liberata Ullo , Paolo Gamba

The recent exploitation of natural resources and associated waste water injection in the subsurface have induced many small and moderate earthquakes in the tectonically quiet Central United States. This increase in seismic activity has…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-18 José Augusto Proença Maia Devienne

This study introduces the long-range Ising model from statistical mechanics to the Performance-Based Earthquake Engineering (PBEE) framework for regional seismic damage analysis. The application of the PBEE framework at a regional scale…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-24 Sebin Oh , Sang-ri Yi , Ziqi Wang

State-space models (SSMs) are a highly expressive model class for learning patterns in time series data and for system identification. Deterministic versions of SSMs (e.g. LSTMs) proved extremely successful in modeling complex time series…

The quality of earthquake prediction is usually characterized by a two-dimensional diagram 'n' vs. 'tau', where 'n' is the rate of failures-to-predict and 'tau' is a characteristic of space- time alarm. Unlike the time prediction case, the…

Geophysics · Physics 2008-07-18 G. Molchan

Iterative geostatistical seismic inversion integrates seismic and well data to infer the spatial distribution of subsurface elastic properties. These methods provide limited assessment to the spatial uncertainty of the inverted elastic…

In meteorology, engineering and computer sciences, data assimilation is routinely employed as the optimal way to combine noisy observations with prior model information for obtaining better estimates of a state, and thus better forecasts,…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-08-12 M. J. Werner , K. Ide , D. Sornette

Seismic waveforms contain rich information about earthquake processes, making effective data analysis crucial for earthquake monitoring, source characterization, and seismic hazard assessment. With rapid developments in deep learning, the…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-10 Weiqiang Zhu , Junhao Song , Haoyu Wang , Jannes Münchmeyer

Assessing seismic hazards and thereby designing earthquake-resilient structures or evaluating structural damage that has been incurred after an earthquake are important objectives in earthquake engineering. Both tasks require critical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Barış Yılmaz , Melek Türkmen , Sanem Meral , Erdem Akagündüz , Salih Tileylioglu

Investment in measuring a process more completely or accurately is only useful if these improvements can be utilised during modelling and inference. We consider how improvements to data quality over time can be incorporated when selecting a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Zak Varty , Jonathan A. Tawn , Peter M. Atkinson , Stijn Bierman

Geostatistical seismic inversion is commonly used to infer the spatial distribution of the subsurface petro-elastic properties by perturbing the model parameter space through iterative stochastic sequential simulations/co-simulations. The…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-19 Leonardo Azevedo , Vasily Demyanov

Earthquake monitoring by seismic networks typically involves a workflow consisting of phase detection/picking, association, and location tasks. In recent years, the accuracy of these individual stages has been improved through the use of…