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Related papers: Towards Accurate and Interpretable Time-series For…

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Process Outcome Prediction entails predicting a discrete property of an unfinished process instance from its partial trace. High-capacity outcome predictors discovered with ensemble and deep learning methods have been shown to achieve top…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Francesco Folino , Luigi Pontieri , Pietro Sabatino

Understanding why machine learning models behave the way they do empowers both system designers and end-users in many ways: in model selection, feature engineering, in order to trust and act upon the predictions, and in more intuitive user…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-20 Marco Tulio Ribeiro , Sameer Singh , Carlos Guestrin

Time series classification is a task of paramount importance, as this kind of data often arises in safety-critical applications. However, it is typically tackled with black-box deep learning methods, making it hard for humans to understand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Irene Ferfoglia , Simone Silvetti , Gaia Saveri , Laura Nenzi , Luca Bortolussi

Large Language Models (LLMs) have significantly advanced the field of Natural Language Processing (NLP), but their lack of interpretability has been a major concern. Current methods for interpreting LLMs are post hoc, applied after…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Sean Xie , Soroush Vosoughi , Saeed Hassanpour

The emergence of in-context learning (ICL) enables large pre-trained language models (PLMs) to make predictions for unseen inputs without updating parameters. Despite its potential, ICL's effectiveness heavily relies on the quality,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Xiaoling Zhou , Wei Ye , Yidong Wang , Chaoya Jiang , Zhemg Lee , Rui Xie , Shikun Zhang

In order to develop reliable services using machine learning, it is important to understand the uncertainty of the model outputs. Often the probability distribution that the prediction target follows has a complex shape, and a mixture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Ryuichi Kanoh , Tomu Yanabe

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has a tremendous impact on the unexpected growth of technology in almost every aspect. AI-powered systems are monitoring and deciding about sensitive economic and societal issues. The future is towards…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Ioannis Mollas , Nick Bassiliades , Grigorios Tsoumakas

Probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) are a powerful modeling tool, able to represent any computable probability distribution. Unfortunately, probabilistic program inference is often intractable, and existing PPLs mostly rely on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-19 Daniel Ritchie , Paul Horsfall , Noah D. Goodman

In time series forecasting, decomposition-based algorithms break aggregate data into meaningful components and are therefore appreciated for their particular advantages in interpretability. Recent algorithms often combine machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Yiqi Sun , Zhengxin Shi , Jianshen Zhang , Yongzhi Qi , Hao Hu , Zuojun Max Shen

Multivariate time series forecasting is a pivotal task in several domains, including financial planning, medical diagnostics, and climate science. This paper presents the Neural Fourier Transform (NFT) algorithm, which combines…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Noam Koren , Kira Radinsky

Black box models in machine learning have demonstrated excellent predictive performance in complex problems and high-dimensional settings. However, their lack of transparency and interpretability restrict the applicability of such models in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Numair Sani , Jaron Lee , Razieh Nabi , Ilya Shpitser

Recent works for time-series forecasting more and more leverage the high predictive power of Deep Learning models. With this increase in model complexity, however, comes a lack in understanding of the underlying model decision process,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Matthias Jakobs , Thomas Liebig

Deep learning methods are powerful tools in classifying multivariate time series data. Despite their high performance, these methods are hard to interpret, which diminishes their applications in high-risk domains such as healthcare. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Bhavesh Kalisetti , Vincent Wang , Gaurav R. Ghosal , Maryam Bijanzadeh , Reza Abbasi-Asl

Previous research has explored the computational expressivity of Transformer models in simulating Boolean circuits or Turing machines. However, the learnability of these simulators from observational data has remained an open question. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Morris Yau , Ekin Akyürek , Jiayuan Mao , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Stefanie Jegelka , Jacob Andreas

To tackle interpretability in deep learning, we present a novel framework to jointly learn a predictive model and its associated interpretation model. The interpreter provides both local and global interpretability about the predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Jayneel Parekh , Pavlo Mozharovskyi , Florence d'Alché-Buc

For applications of machine learning in critical decisions, explainability is a primary concern, and often a regulatory requirement. Local linear methods for generating explanations, such as LIME and SHAP, have been criticized for being…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Joseph L. Breeden

Explainability is motivated by the lack of transparency of black-box Machine Learning approaches, which do not foster trust and acceptance of Machine Learning algorithms. This also happens in the Predictive Process Monitoring field, where…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Williams Rizzi , Marco Comuzzi , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Suhwan Lee , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Alexander Nolte

Variational Information Pursuit (V-IP) is a framework for making interpretable predictions by design by sequentially selecting a short chain of task-relevant, user-defined and interpretable queries about the data that are most informative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Kwan Ho Ryan Chan , Aditya Chattopadhyay , Benjamin David Haeffele , Rene Vidal

Machine learning-based systems are rapidly gaining popularity and in-line with that there has been a huge research surge in the field of explainability to ensure that machine learning models are reliable, fair, and can be held liable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-12 Rohit Saluja , Avleen Malhi , Samanta Knapič , Kary Främling , Cicek Cavdar

In the context of Industry 4.0, Supply Chain Management (SCM) faces challenges in adopting advanced optimization techniques due to the "black-box" nature of most AI-based solutions, which causes reluctance among company stakeholders. To…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Stefano Genetti , Alberto Longobardi , Giovanni Iacca