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Estimating causal interactions in complex dynamical systems is an important problem encountered in many fields of current science. While a theoretical solution for detecting the causal interactions has been previously formulated in the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-20 Jakub Kořenek , Jaroslav Hlinka

Initial development and subsequent calibration of discrete event simulation models for complex systems require accurate identification of dynamically changing process characteristics. Existing data driven change point methods (DD-CPD)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Suleyman Yildirim , Alper Ekrem Murat , Murat Yildirim , Suzan Arslanturk

Classical methods in robot motion planning, such as sampling-based and optimization-based methods, often struggle with scalability towards higher-dimensional state spaces and complex environments. Diffusion models, known for their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Edward Sandra , Lander Vanroye , Dries Dirckx , Ruben Cartuyvels , Jan Swevers , Wilm Decré

Predicting potential outcomes of interventions from observational data is crucial for decision-making in medicine, but the task is challenging due to the fundamental problem of causal inference. Existing methods are largely limited to point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Yuchen Ma , Valentyn Melnychuk , Jonas Schweisthal , Stefan Feuerriegel

Physical dynamic networks most commonly consist of interconnections of physical components that can be described by diffusive couplings. These diffusive couplings imply that the cause-effect relationships in the interconnections are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-17 E. M. M. , Kivits , Paul M. J. Van den Hof

Soft sensor modeling plays a crucial role in process monitoring. Causal feature selection can enhance the performance of soft sensor models in industrial applications. However, existing methods ignore two critical characteristics of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Shi-Shun Chen , Xiao-Yang Li , Enrico Zio

Understanding causality is challenging and often complicated by changing causal relationships over time and across environments. Climate patterns, for example, shift over time with recurring seasonal trends, while also depending on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Sarah Mameche , Lénaïg Cornanguer , Urmi Ninad , Jilles Vreeken

Spatiotemporal data imputation plays a crucial role in various fields such as traffic flow monitoring, air quality assessment, and climate prediction. However, spatiotemporal data collected by sensors often suffer from temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Zijin Liu , Xiang Zhao , You Song

Spatiotemporal data analysis is pivotal across various domains, such as transportation, meteorology, and healthcare. The data collected in real-world scenarios are often incomplete due to device malfunctions and network errors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yakun Chen , Kaize Shi , Zhangkai Wu , Juan Chen , Xianzhi Wang , Julian McAuley , Guandong Xu , Shui Yu

Seasonal variation in environmental variables, and in rates of contact among individuals, are fundamental drivers of infectious disease dynamics. Unlike most periodically-forced physical systems, for which the precise pattern of forcing is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-09 Irena Papst , David J. D. Earn

In this paper we propose a causal analog to the purely observational Dynamic Bayesian Networks, which we call Dynamic Causal Networks. We provide a sound and complete algorithm for identification of Dynamic Causal Net- works, namely, for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-19 Gilles Blondel , Marta Arias , Ricard Gavaldà

SINDy is a method for learning system of differential equations from data by solving a sparse linear regression optimization problem [Brunton et al., 2016]. In this article, we propose an extension of the SINDy method that learns systems of…

As human activities intensify, environmental systems such as aquatic ecosystems and water treatment systems face increasingly complex pressures, impacting ecological balance, public health, and sustainable development, making intelligent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Lei Liu , Yuchao Lu , Ling An , Huajie Liang , Chichun Zhou , Zhenyu Zhang

Pursuing invariant prediction from heterogeneous environments opens the door to learning causality in a purely data-driven way and has several applications in causal discovery and robust transfer learning. However, existing methods such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Yihong Gu , Cong Fang , Yang Xu , Zijian Guo , Jianqing Fan

Recently, \textit{diffusion history inference} has become an emerging research topic due to its great benefits for various applications, whose purpose is to reconstruct the missing histories of information diffusion traces according to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-08-24 Yanchao Sun , Cong Qian , Ning Yang , Philip S. Yu

Conditional diffusion models have made impressive progress in the field of image processing, but the characteristics of constructing data distribution pathways make it difficult to exploit the intrinsic correlation between tasks in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Chengjie Huang , Jiafeng Yan , Jing Li , Lu Bai

We introduce a technique of time series analysis, potential forecasting, which is based on dynamical propagation of the probability density of time series. We employ polynomial coefficients of the orthogonal approximation of the empirical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-12 V. N. Livina , G. Lohmann , M. Mudelsee , T. M. Lenton

Foundational modelling of multi-dimensional time-series data in industrial systems presents a central trade-off: channel-dependent (CD) models capture specific cross-variable dynamics but lack robustness and adaptability as model layers are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Michael Mayr , Georgios C. Chasparis

The system decomposition theory has recently been developed for the dynamic analysis of nonlinear compartmental systems. The application of this theory to the ecosystem analysis has also been introduced in a separate article. Based on this…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Huseyin Coskun

Anomaly detection in multivariate time series data is of paramount importance for ensuring the efficient operation of large-scale systems across diverse domains. However, accurately detecting anomalies in such data poses significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Yuhang Chen , Chaoyun Zhang , Minghua Ma , Yudong Liu , Ruomeng Ding , Bowen Li , Shilin He , Saravan Rajmohan , Qingwei Lin , Dongmei Zhang