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The likelihood ratio is a crucial quantity for statistical inference in science that enables hypothesis testing, construction of confidence intervals, reweighting of distributions, and more. Many modern scientific applications, however,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-12-11 Shahzar Rizvi , Mariel Pettee , Benjamin Nachman

In this work, we revisit the problem of uniformity testing of discrete probability distributions. A fundamental problem in distribution testing, testing uniformity over a known domain has been addressed over a significant line of works, and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-08-17 Tuğkan Batu , Clément L. Canonne

Algorithmic learning theory traditionally studies the learnability of effective infinite binary sequences (reals), while recent work by [Vitanyi and Chater, 2017] and [Bienvenu et al., 2014] has adapted this framework to the study of…

Logic · Mathematics 2018-07-17 George Barmpalias , Nan Fang , Frank Stephan

Currently, statistical tests for random number generators (RNGs) are widely used in practice, and some of them are even included in information security standards. But despite the popularity of RNGs, consistent tests are known only for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-17 Boris Ryabko

Adaptive clinical trials rely on interim analyses, flexible stopping, and data-dependent design modifications that complicate statistical guarantees when fixed-horizon test statistics are repeatedly inspected or reused after adaptations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Alexandra Sokolova , Vadim Sokolov

In this paper, we introduce a new class of bivariate distributions by compounding the bivariate generalized exponential and power-series distributions. This new class contains some new sub-models such as the bivariate generalized…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-04 Ali Akbar Jafari , Rasool Roozegar

In this paper we consider a variety of procedures for numerical statistical inference in the family of univariate and multivariate stable distributions. In connection with univariate distributions (i) we provide approximations by finite…

Computation · Statistics 2012-09-04 Efthymios G. Tsionas

For many applications, an ensemble of base classifiers is an effective solution. The tuning of its parameters(number of classes, amount of data on which each classifier is to be trained on, etc.) requires G, the generalization error of a…

In this work, we present a method to generate probability distributions and classes of probability distributions, which broadens a process of probability distribution construction. In this method, distribution classes are built from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-16 Cícero Carlos Ramos de Brito , Leandro Chaves Rêgo , Wilson Rosa de Oliveira

Empirical likelihood is a popular nonparametric statistical tool that does not require any distributional assumptions. In this paper, we explore the possibility of conducting variable selection via Bayesian empirical likelihood. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Yichen Cheng , Yichuan Zhao

The main purpose of this paper is to introduce first a new family of empirical test statistics for testing a simple null hypothesis when the vector of parameters of interest are defined through a specific set of unbiased estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Nirian Martín , Leandro Pardo

Reachability computations that rely on learned or estimated models require calibration in order to uphold confidence about their guarantees. Calibration generally involves sampling scenarios inside the reachable set. However, producing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-27 Sampada Deglurkar , Ebonye Smith , Jingqi Li , Claire J. Tomlin

In this paper we show that there is a link between approximate Bayesian methods and prior robustness. We show that what is typically recognized as an approximation to the likelihood, either due to the simulated data as in the Approximate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-03 Chaitanya Joshi , Fabrizio Ruggeri

We show that a large class of Estimation of Distribution Algorithms, including, but not limited to, Covariance Matrix Adaption, can be written as a Monte Carlo Expectation-Maximization algorithm, and as exact EM in the limit of infinite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 David H. Brookes , Akosua Busia , Clara Fannjiang , Kevin Murphy , Jennifer Listgarten

There is a useful counterpart of conformal prediction for e-values, called conformal e-prediction. Conformal prediction can serve as basis for testing the assumption of exchangeability, leading to conformal testing. Similarly, conformal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

In the setting where we have $n$ independent observations of a random variable $X$, we derive explicit error bounds in total variation distance when approximating the number of observations equal to the maximum of the sample (in the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Fraser Daly

We address the problem of testing conditional mean and conditional variance for non-stationary data. We build e-values and p-values for four types of non-parametric composite hypotheses with specified mean and variance as well as other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Yixuan Fan , Zhanyi Jiao , Ruodu Wang

Nonprobability (convenience) samples are increasingly sought to reduce the estimation variance for one or more population variables of interest that are estimated using a randomized survey (reference) sample by increasing the effective…

We investigate the problem of approximate Bayesian inference for a general class of observation models by means of the expectation propagation (EP) framework for large systems under some statistical assumptions. Our approach tries to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-08-24 Burak Çakmak , Manfred Opper , Bernard H. Fleury , Ole Winther

Generalized extreme value (GEV) regression is often more adapted when we investigate a relationship between a binary response variable $Y$ which represents a rare event and potentiel predictors $\mathbf{X}$. In particular, we use the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-04 Aba Diop , El Hadji Deme
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