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Throughout the cognitive-science literature, there is widespread agreement that decision-making agents operating in the real world do so under limited information-processing capabilities and without access to unbounded cognitive or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Dilip Arumugam , Mark K. Ho , Noah D. Goodman , Benjamin Van Roy

Complexity and limited ability have profound effect on how we learn and make decisions under uncertainty. Using the theory of finite automaton to model belief formation, this paper studies the characteristics of optimal learning behavior in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-03-31 Benson Tsz Kin Leung

The recent framework of performative prediction is aimed at capturing settings where predictions influence the target/outcome they want to predict. In this paper, we introduce a natural multi-agent version of this framework, where multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Georgios Piliouras , Fang-Yi Yu

Assessing the systemic effects of uncertainty that arises from agents' partial observation of the true states of the world is critical for understanding a wide range of scenarios. Yet, previous modeling work on agent learning and…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-04-15 Wolfram Barfuss , Richard P. Mann

A key feature of human theory-of-mind is the ability to attribute beliefs to other agents as mentalistic explanations for their behavior. But given the wide variety of beliefs that agents may hold about the world and the rich language we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Lance Ying , Almog Hillel , Ryan Truong , Vikash K. Mansinghka , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Tan Zhi-Xuan

The quintessential model-based reinforcement-learning agent iteratively refines its estimates or prior beliefs about the true underlying model of the environment. Recent empirical successes in model-based reinforcement learning with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Dilip Arumugam , Benjamin Van Roy

Whether a population of decision-making individuals will reach a state of satisfactory decisions is a fundamental problem in studying collective behaviors. In the framework of evolutionary game theory and by means of potential functions,…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-01-13 Negar Sakhaei , Zeinab Maleki , Pouria Ramazi

We derive a conditional version of the classical regret-capacity theorem. This result can be used in universal prediction to find lower bounds on the minimal batch regret, which is a recently introduced generalization of the average regret,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Marco Bondaschi , Michael Gastpar

In health psychology, Behaviour Change Theories(BCTs) play an important role in modelling human goal achievement in adverse environments. Some of these theories use concepts that are also used in computational modelling of cognition and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Catriona M. Kennedy

This work studies the problem of ad hoc teamwork in teams composed of agents with differing computational capabilities. We consider cooperative multi-player games in which each agent's policy is constrained by a private capability…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Charles Jin , Zhang-Wei Hong , Farid Arthaud , Idan Orzech , Martin Rinard

LLM agents that operate over long context depend on external memory to accumulate knowledge over time. However, existing methods typically store each observation as a single deterministic conclusion (e.g., inferring "API~X failed" from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Junfeng Liao , Qizhou Wang , Jianing Zhu , Bo Du , Rui Yan , Xiuying Chen

In order for reinforcement learning techniques to be useful in real-world decision making processes, they must be able to produce robust performance from limited data. Deep policy optimization methods have achieved impressive results on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-22 James Queeney , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis , Christos G. Cassandras

Reasoning about uncertainty is vital in many real-life autonomous systems. However, current state-of-the-art planning algorithms cannot either reason about uncertainty explicitly, or do so with a high computational burden. Here, we focus on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-01-31 Moran Barenboim , Vadim Indelman

In a classic paper, Conant and Ashby claimed that "every good regulator of a system must be a model of that system." Artificial Life has produced many examples of systems that perform tasks with apparently no model in sight; these suggest…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Nathaniel Virgo , Martin Biehl , Manuel Baltieri , Matteo Capucci

To operate reliably under changing conditions, complex systems require feedback on how effectively they use resources, not just whether objectives are met. Current AI systems process vast information to produce sophisticated predictions,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Wael Hafez , Chenan Wei , Rodrigo Pena , Amir Nazeri , Cameron Reid

We study a repeated Principal Agent problem between a long lived Principal and Agent pair in a prior free setting. In our setting, the sequence of realized states of nature may be adversarially chosen, the Agent is non-myopic, and the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Natalie Collina , Aaron Roth , Han Shao

Complex behaviors are often driven by an internal model, which integrates sensory information over time and facilitates long-term planning. Inferring an agent's internal model is a crucial ingredient in social interactions (theory of mind),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-13 Zhengwei Wu , Paul Schrater , Xaq Pitkow

Model-based reinforcement learning has the potential to be more sample efficient than model-free approaches. However, existing model-based methods are vulnerable to model bias, which leads to poor generalization and asymptotic performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-27 Tung-Long Vuong , Kenneth Tran

Modelling the behaviours of other agents is essential for understanding how agents interact and making effective decisions. Existing methods for agent modelling commonly assume knowledge of the local observations and chosen actions of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Georgios Papoudakis , Filippos Christianos , Stefano V. Albrecht

Agents built on vision-language models increasingly face tasks that demand anticipating future states rather than relying on short-horizon reasoning. Generative world models offer a promising remedy: agents could use them as external…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Cheng Qian , Emre Can Acikgoz , Bingxuan Li , Xiusi Chen , Yuji Zhang , Bingxiang He , Qinyu Luo , Dilek Hakkani-Tür , Gokhan Tur , Yunzhu Li , Heng Ji