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Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Maryam Saleki

Accurate estimation of dataset complexity is crucial for evaluating and comparing link prediction models for knowledge graphs (KGs). The Cumulative Spectral Gradient (CSG) metric derived from probabilistic divergence between classes within…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Haji Gul , Abdul Ghani Naim , Ajaz Ahmad Bhat

The examination of uncertainty in the predictions of machine learning (ML) models is receiving increasing attention. One uncertainty modeling technique used for this purpose is Monte-Carlo (MC)-Dropout, where repeated predictions are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Florian Heidecker , Ahmad El-Khateeb , Bernhard Sick

We study the tailoring of structured random graph ensembles to real networks, with the objective of generating precise and practical mathematical tools for quantifying and comparing network topologies macroscopically, beyond the level of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 A. Annibale , A. C. C. Coolen , L. P. Fernandes , F. Fraternali , J. Kleinjung

The cgam package contains routines to fit the generalized additive model where the components may be modeled with shape and smoothness assumptions. The main routine is cgam and nineteen symbolic routines are provided to indicate the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-20 Xiyue Liao , Mary C. Meyer

Motivated by the successes of deep learning, we propose a class of neural network-based discrete choice models, called RUMnets, inspired by the random utility maximization (RUM) framework. This model formulates the agents' random utility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Ali Aouad , Antoine Désir

We present MRPC, an R package that learns causal graphs with improved accuracy over existing packages, such as pcalg and bnlearn. Our algorithm builds on the powerful PC algorithm, the canonical algorithm in computer science for learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-07 Md. Bahadur Badsha , Evan A Martin , Audrey Qiuyan Fu

The statistical analysis of structured spatial point process data where the event locations are determined by an underlying spatially embedded relational system has become a vivid field of research. Despite a growing literature on different…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 Pol Llagostera , Carles Comas , Matthias Eckardt

Statistical ensembles of networks, i.e., probability spaces of all networks that are consistent with given aggregate statistics, have become instrumental in the analysis of complex networks. Their numerical and analytical study provides the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-09 Giona Casiraghi , Vahan Nanumyan , Ingo Scholtes , Frank Schweitzer

Deep neural networks are powerful predictors for a variety of tasks. However, they do not capture uncertainty directly. Using neural network ensembles to quantify uncertainty is competitive with approaches based on Bayesian neural networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Romain Egele , Romit Maulik , Krishnan Raghavan , Bethany Lusch , Isabelle Guyon , Prasanna Balaprakash

Ensembles of networks are used as null-models to discriminate network structures. We present an efficient algorithm, based on the maximal entropy method to generate network ensembles defined by the degree sequence and the rich-club…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-04-23 Raul J. Mondragon

We develop a new class of random graph models for the statistical estimation of network formation -- subgraph generated models (SUGMs). Various subgraphs -- e.g., links, triangles, cliques, stars -- are generated and their union results in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-11-27 Arun G. Chandrasekhar , Matthew O. Jackson

The package fnets for the R language implements the suite of methodologies proposed by Barigozzi et al. (2022) for the network estimation and forecasting of high-dimensional time series under a factor-adjusted vector autoregressive model,…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-06 Dom Owens , Haeran Cho , Matteo Barigozzi

The importance of accurately quantifying forecast uncertainty has motivated much recent research on probabilistic forecasting. In particular, a variety of deep learning approaches has been proposed, with forecast distributions obtained as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Benedikt Schulz , Lutz Köhler , Sebastian Lerch

The R package lcmm provides a series of functions to estimate statistical models based on linear mixed model theory. It includes the estimation of mixed models and latent class mixed models for Gaussian longitudinal outcomes (hlme),…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-24 Cécile Proust-Lima , Viviane Philipps , Benoit Liquet

Preferential attachment (PA) network models have a wide range of applications in various scientific disciplines. Efficient generation of large-scale PA networks helps uncover their structural properties and facilitate the development of…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-18 Yelie Yuan , Tiandong Wang , Jun Yan , Panpan Zhang

Neural networks are increasingly used to support decision-making. To verify their reliability and adaptability, researchers and practitioners have proposed a variety of tools and methods for tasks such as NN code verification, refactoring,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Nadia Daoudi , Jordi Cabot

This work addresses the challenge of providing consistent explanations for predictive models in the presence of model indeterminacy, which arises due to the existence of multiple (nearly) equally well-performing models for a given dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Dan Ley , Leonard Tang , Matthew Nazari , Hongjin Lin , Suraj Srinivas , Himabindu Lakkaraju

Recent advances in computational methods for intractable models have made network data increasingly amenable to statistical analysis. Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) emerged as one of the main families of models capable of capturing…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-07 Alberto Caimo , Lampros Bouranis , Robert Krause , Nial Friel

With the advent of high-throughput sequencing (HTS) in molecular biology and medicine, the need for scalable statistical solutions for modeling complex biological systems has become of critical importance. The increasing number of platforms…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-19 Fernando Palluzzi , Mario Grassi