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Related papers: Characterizing and Predicting Wildfire Evacuation …

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Evacuation is critical for disaster safety, yet agencies lack timely, accurate, and transparent tools for evacuation prediction. This study introduces Evac-Cast, an interpretable machine learning framework that predicts tract-level…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-04 Bo Li , Chenyue Liu , Ali Mostafavi

Recent research has examined the possibility of using robots to guide evacuees to safe exits during emergencies. Yet, there are many factors that can impact a person's decision to follow a robot. Being able to model how an evacuee follows…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-07-03 Mollik Nayyar , Ghanghoon Paik , Zhenyuan Yuan , Tongjia Zheng , Minghui Zhu , Hai Lin , Alan R. Wagner

Prescribed burns are currently the most effective method of reducing the risk of widespread wildfires, but a largely missing component in forest management is knowing which fuels one can safely burn to minimize exposure to toxic smoke. Here…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-09 Lorenzo Tomaselli , Coty Jen , Ann B. Lee

Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…

Due to severe societal and environmental impacts, wildfire prediction using multi-modal sensing data has become a highly sought-after data-analytical tool by various stakeholders (such as state governments and power utility companies) to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-12 Chen Xu , Yao Xie , Daniel A. Zuniga Vazquez , Rui Yao , Feng Qiu

Recent wildfires in the United States have resulted in loss of life and billions of dollars, destroying countless structures and forests. Fighting wildfires is extremely complex. It is difficult to observe the true state of fires due to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Tina Diao , Samriddhi Singla , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Ahmed Eldawy , Ross Shachter , Mykel Kochenderfer

This study presents a probabilistic surrogate model for localized wildfire spread based on a conditional flow matching algorithm. The approach models fire progression as a stochastic process by learning the conditional distribution of fire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Bryan Shaddy , Haitong Qin , Brianna Binder , James Haley , Riya Duddalwar , Kyle Hilburn , Assad Oberai

We study how the presence of committed volunteers influences the collective helping behavior in emergency evacuation scenarios. In this study, committed volunteers do not change their decision to help injured persons, implying that other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-22 Jaeyoung Kwak , Michael H. Lees , Wentong Cai , Ahmad Reza Pourghaderi , Marcus E. H. Ong

Climate change is altering the frequency and intensity of wildfires, leading to increased evacuation events that disrupt human mobility and socioeconomic structures. These disruptions affect access to resources, employment, and housing,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-10 Timur Naushirvanov , Erick Elejalde , Kyriaki Kalimeri , Elisa Omodei , Márton Karsai , Leo Ferres

This study bridges the knowledge gap on how personal factors affect building occupants' responses in active shooter situations by applying interpretable machine learning methods to data from 107 participants. The personal factors studied…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Ruying Liu , Burçin Becerik-Gerber , Gale M. Lucas

Traditional data sources on bushfire evacuation behaviour, such as quantitative surveys and manual observations have severe limitations. Mining social media data related to bushfire evacuations promises to close this gap by allowing the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Junfeng Wu , Xiangmin Zhou , Erica Kuligowski , Dhirendra Singh , Enrico Ronchi , Max Kinateder

Wildfires are natural disasters capable of damaging economies and communities. When wildfires become uncontrollable, Incident Manager Teams (IMT's) dispatch response vehicles to key assets to undertake protective tasks and so mitigate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-09 Iman Roozbeh , John Hearne , Babak Abbasi , Melih Ozlen

Vulnerable populations are disproportionately impacted by natural hazards like wildfires. It is crucial to develop equitable and effective evacuation strategies to meet their unique needs. While existing studies offer valuable insights, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-13 Yuran Sun , Ana Forrister , Erica D. Kuligowski , Ruggiero Lovreglio , Thomas J. Cova , Xilei Zhao

The bounded rationality is a crucial component in human behaviors. It plays a key role in the typical collective behavior of evacuation, in which the heterogeneous information leads to the deviation of rational choices. In this study, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-28 Huaidian Hou , Lingxiao Wang

Research has shown that climate change creates warmer temperatures and drier conditions, leading to longer wildfire seasons and increased wildfire risks in the United States. These factors have in turn led to increases in the frequency,…

Due to recent climate changes, we have seen more frequent and severe wildfires in the United States. Predicting wildfires is critical for natural disaster prevention and mitigation. Advances in technologies in data processing and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Hyung-Jin Yoon , Petros Voulgaris

Human state detection and behavior prediction have seen significant advancements with the rise of machine learning and multimodal sensing technologies. However, predicting prosocial behavior intentions in mobility scenarios, such as helping…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Abinay Reddy Naini , Zhaobo K. Zheng , Teruhisa Misu , Kumar Akash

Wildfire forecasting problems usually rely on complex grid-based mathematical models, mostly involving Computational fluid dynamics(CFD) and Celluar Automata, but these methods have always been computationally expensive and difficult to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Hansong Xiao

Wildfire is an important system process of the earth that occurs across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. A variety of methods have been used to predict wildfire phenomena during the past century to better our understanding of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-24 S. W. Taylor , Douglas G. Woolford , C. B. Dean , David L. Martell

We present a viewpoint-based non-linear Model Predictive Control (MPC) for evacuation guiding robots. Specifically, the proposed MPC algorithm enables evacuation guiding robots to track and guide cooperative human targets in emergency…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Gong Chen , Malika Meghjani , Marcel Bartholomeus Prasetyo