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Data-centric methods have shown great potential in understanding and predicting spatiotemporal dynamics, enabling better design and control of the object system. However, deep learning models often lack interpretability, fail to obey…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Yuan Mi , Pu Ren , Hongteng Xu , Hongsheng Liu , Zidong Wang , Yike Guo , Ji-Rong Wen , Hao Sun , Yang Liu

Forecasting spatio-temporal correlated time series of sensor values is crucial in urban applications, such as air pollution alert, biking resource management, and intelligent transportation systems. While recent advances exploit graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-01 Yi-Ju Lu , Cheng-Te Li

We develop a deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) based framework for model-free prediction of the occurrence of extreme events both in time ("when") and in space ("where") in nonlinear physical systems of spatial dimension two. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-01 Junjie Jiang , Zi-Gang Huang , Celso Grebogi , Ying-Cheng Lai

Estimating the location and intensity of tropical cyclones holds crucial significance for predicting catastrophic weather events. In this study, we approach this task as a detection and regression challenge, specifically over the North…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-14 Akash Agrawal , Mayesh Mohapatra , Abhinav Raja , Paritosh Tiwari , Vishwajeet Pattanaik , Neeru Jaiswal , Arpit Agarwal , Punit Rathore

Data-driven approaches for medium-range weather forecasting are recently shown extraordinarily promising for ensemble forecasting for their fast inference speed compared to traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, but their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Yuan Hu , Lei Chen , Zhibin Wang , Hao Li

Analyzing big geophysical observational data collected by multiple advanced sensors on various satellite platforms promotes our understanding of the geophysical system. For instance, convolutional neural networks (CNN) have achieved great…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Boyo Chen , Buo-Fu Chen , Yun-Nung Chen

Weather Recognition plays an important role in our daily lives and many computer vision applications. However, recognizing the weather conditions from a single image remains challenging and has not been studied thoroughly. Generally, most…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Bin Zhao , Xuelong Li , Xiaoqiang Lu , Zhigang Wang

GPS trajectories are the essential foundations for many trajectory-based applications, such as travel time estimation, traffic prediction and trajectory similarity measurement. Most applications require a large amount of high sample rate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Yuqi Chen , Hanyuan Zhang , Weiwei Sun , Baihua Zheng

As robots across domains start collaborating with humans in shared environments, algorithms that enable them to reason over human intent are important to achieve safe interplay. In our work, we study human intent through the problem of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-09-14 Ingrid Navarro , Jean Oh

Detection of thunderstorms is important to the wind hazard community to better understand extreme winds field characteristics and associated wind induced load effects on structures. This paper contributes to this effort by proposing a new…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-02 Monica Arul , Ahsan Kareem

Motivated by oceanographic observational datasets, we propose a probabilistic neural network (PNN) model for calculating turbulent energy dissipation rates from vertical columns of velocity and density gradients in density stratified…

Accurate and timely air quality and weather predictions are of great importance to urban governance and human livelihood. Though many efforts have been made for air quality or weather prediction, most of them simply employ one another as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-06 Jindong Han , Hao Liu , Hengshu Zhu , Hui Xiong , Dejing Dou

Recently, there has been a surge of research on data-driven weather forecasting systems, especially applications based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs). These are usually trained on atmospheric data represented on regular…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-18 Sebastian Scher , Gabriele Messori

In this paper, we use variational recurrent neural network to investigate the anomaly detection problem on graph time series. The temporal correlation is modeled by the combination of recurrent neural network (RNN) and variational inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Daniel Hsu

Time series anomaly detection plays a critical role in automated monitoring systems. Most previous deep learning efforts related to time series anomaly detection were based on recurrent neural networks (RNN). In this paper, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Tailai Wen , Roy Keyes

The efficient calculation of rare-event kinetics in complex dynamical systems, such as the rate and pathways of ligand dissociation from a protein, is a generally unsolved problem. Markov state models can systematically integrate ensembles…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2016-02-03 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Frank Noe

Extreme El Ni\~no events, such as occurred in 1997--1998, can induce severe weather on a global scale, with significant socioeconomic impacts that motivate efforts to understand them better. However, extreme El Ni\~no events are rare, and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Sarah Packman , Justin Finkel , Dorian S. Abbot , Eli Tziperman

We propose a framework for studying predictability of extreme events in complex systems. Major conceptual elements -- direct cascading or fragmentation, spatial dynamics, and external driving -- are combined in a classical age-dependent…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-08-14 Andrei Gabrielov , Vladimir Keilis-Borok , Ilya Zaliapin

In machine learning, there is renewed interest in neural network ensembles (NNEs), whereby predictions are obtained as an aggregate from a diverse set of smaller models, rather than from a single larger model. Here, we show how to define…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-11 Jamie F. Mair , Dominic C. Rose , Juan P. Garrahan

Research in deep learning models to forecast traffic intensities has gained great attention in recent years due to their capability to capture the complex spatio-temporal relationships within the traffic data. However, most state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-29 Amit Roy , Kashob Kumar Roy , Amin Ahsan Ali , M Ashraful Amin , A K M Mahbubur Rahman