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We develop a data-driven information-theoretic framework for sharp partial identification of causal effects under unmeasured confounding. Existing approaches often rely on restrictive assumptions, such as bounded or discrete outcomes;…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yonghan Jung , Bogyeong Kang

In the digital environment, human attention is frequently guided by cognitive heuristics rather than deliberate evaluation. Since low-credibility narratives often lack substantive factual evidence, their diffusion disproportionally relies…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Lynnette Hui Xian Ng , Wenqi Zhou , Kathleen M. Carley

The ability to identify and resolve uncertainty is crucial for the robustness of a dialogue system. Indeed, this has been confirmed empirically on systems that utilise Bayesian approaches to dialogue belief tracking. However, such systems…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Carel van Niekerk , Andrey Malinin , Christian Geishauser , Michael Heck , Hsien-chin Lin , Nurul Lubis , Shutong Feng , Milica Gašić

Human behavior modeling is important for the design and implementation of human-automation interactive control systems. In this context, human behavior refers to a human's control input to systems. We propose a novel method for human…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Sooyung Byeon , Dawei Sun , Inseok Hwang

In many real world contexts, successful human-AI collaboration requires humans to productively integrate complementary sources of information into AI-informed decisions. However, in practice human decision-makers often lack understanding of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Kenneth Holstein , Maria De-Arteaga , Lakshmi Tumati , Yanghuidi Cheng

Establishing stable mappings between natural language expressions and visual percepts is a foundational problem for both cognitive science and artificial intelligence. Humans routinely ground linguistic reference in noisy, ambiguous…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Joseph Bingham

The human mind is capable of extraordinary achievements, yet it often appears to work against itself. It actively defends its cherished beliefs even in the face of contradictory evidence, conveniently interprets information to conform to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-23 David Hyland , Mahault Albarracin

We present the fundamentals of the quantum theoretical approach we have developed in the last decade to model cognitive phenomena that resisted modeling by means of classical logical and probabilistic structures, like Boolean, Kolmogorovian…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-27 Diederik Aerts , Massimiliano Sassoli de Bianchi , Sandro Sozzo , Tomas Veloz

As AI systems increasingly influence critical decisions, they face threats that exploit reasoning mechanisms rather than technical infrastructure. We present a framework for cognitive cybersecurity, a systematic protection of AI reasoning…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Yuksel Aydin

A central challenge in any study of the effects of beliefs on outcomes, such as decisions and behavior, is the risk of omitted variables bias. Omitted variables, frequently unmeasured or even unknown, can induce correlations between beliefs…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-05 Raanan Sulitzeanu-Kenan , Micha Mandel , Yosef Rinott

Successful design of human-in-the-loop control systems requires appropriate models for human decision makers. Whilst most paradigms adopted in the control systems literature hide the (limited) decision capability of humans, in behavioral…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Marius Protte , Rene Fahr , Daniel E. Quevedo

In this work, we empirically examine human-AI decision-making in the presence of explanations based on predicted outcomes. This type of explanation provides a human decision-maker with expected consequences for each decision alternative at…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Johannes Jakubik , Jakob Schöffer , Vincent Hoge , Michael Vössing , Niklas Kühl

Cybersecurity decision-making increasingly occurs in environments characterized by uncertainty, partial observability, and adversarial manipulation, where heterogeneous signals from multiple sources are often incomplete, ambiguous, or…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Andrei Kojukhov , Arkady Bovshover

The rapid advancement in neurotechnology in recent years has created an emerging critical intersection between neurotechnology and security. Implantable devices, non-invasive monitoring, and non-invasive therapies all carry with them the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Bryce Allen Bagley , Claudia K Petritsch

Individual and social biases undermine the effectiveness of human advisers by inducing judgment errors which can disadvantage protected groups. In this paper, we study the influence these biases can have in the pervasive problem of fake…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Axel Abels , Elias Fernandez Domingos , Ann Nowé , Tom Lenaerts

Decision analysis deals with modeling and enhancing decision processes. A principal challenge in improving behavior is in obtaining a transparent description of existing behavior in the first place. In this paper, we develop an expressive,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Daniel Jarrett , Alihan Hüyük , Mihaela van der Schaar

Information design is typically studied through the lens of Bayesian signaling, where signals shape beliefs purely based on their correlation with the true state of the world. However, behavioral economics and psychology emphasize that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Paul Duetting , Safwan Hossain , Tao Lin , Renato Paes Leme , Sai Srivatsa Ravindranath , Haifeng Xu , Song Zuo

Making sense of the world and acting in it relies on building simplified mental representations that abstract away aspects of reality. This principle of cognitive mapping is universal to agents with limited resources. Living organisms,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Marta Kryven , Cole Wyeth , Aidan Curtis , Kevin Ellis

Future sequence represents the outcome after executing the action into the environment (i.e. the trajectory onwards). When driven by the information-theoretic concept of mutual information, it seeks maximally informative consequences.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Jianfei Ma

Humans are experts in making decisions for challenging driving tasks with uncertainties. Many efforts have been made to model the decision-making process of human drivers at the behavior level. However, limited studies explain how human…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Huanjie Wang , Haibin Liu , Wenshuo Wang , Lijun Sun
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