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A distributional symmetry is invariance of a distribution under a group of transformations. Exchangeability and stationarity are examples. We explain that a result of ergodic theory provides a law of large numbers: If the group satisfies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Morgane Austern , Peter Orbanz

We recall some of the history of the information-theoretic approach to deriving core results in probability theory and indicate parts of the recent resurgence of interest in this area with current progress along several interesting…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-28 Lampros Gavalakis , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Consider the random quadratic form $T_n=\sum_{1 \leq u < v \leq n} a_{uv} X_u X_v$, where $((a_{uv}))_{1 \leq u, v \leq n}$ is a $\{0, 1\}$-valued symmetric matrix with zeros on the diagonal, and $X_1,$ $X_2, \ldots, X_n$ are i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Somabha Mukherjee , Sumit Mukherjee

Gibbs sampling also known as Glauber dynamics is a popular technique for sampling high dimensional distributions defined on graphs. Of special interest is the behavior of Gibbs sampling on the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph G(n,d/n). While…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-14 Elchanan Mossel , Allan Sly

We prove a metastability result for finitary microstates which are good models for a Gibbs measure for a nearest-neighbor interaction on a finitely-generated group. This is used to show that any maximal-entropy joining of two such Gibbs…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Christopher Shriver

We generalize the Poisson limit theorem to binary functions of random objects whose law is invariant under the action of an amenable group. Examples include stationary random fields, exchangeable sequences, and exchangeable graphs. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Haoyu Ye , Peter Orbanz , Morgane Austern

Contemporary technological challenges often involve many degrees of freedom in a distributed or networked setting. Three aspects are notable: the variables are usually associated with the nodes of a graph with limited communication…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-30 Nicolas Allegra , Bassam Bamieh , Partha P. Mitra , Clément Sire

We study a model of spatial random permutations over a discrete set of points. Formally, a permutation $\sigma$ is sampled proportionally to the weight $\exp\{-\alpha \sum_x V(\sigma(x)-x)\},$ where $\alpha>0$ is the temperature and $V$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Inés Armendáriz , Pablo A. Ferrari , Nicolás Frevenza

A key insight from statistical physics about spin systems on random graphs is the central role played by Gibbs measures on trees. We determine the local weak limit of the hardcore model on random regular graphs asymptotically until just…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Nayantara Bhatnagar , Allan Sly , Prasad Tetali

We analyze the prediction error of ridge regression in an asymptotic regime where the sample size and dimension go to infinity at a proportional rate. In particular, we consider the role played by the structure of the true regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Dominic Richards , Jaouad Mourtada , Lorenzo Rosasco

Distributed consensus computation over random graph processes is considered. The random graph process is defined as a sequence of random variables which take values from the set of all possible digraphs over the node set. At each time step,…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Guodong Shi , Brian D. O. Anderson , Karl Henrik Johansson

We consider the Gibbs-measures of continuous-valued height configurations on the $d$-dimensional integer lattice in the presence a weakly disordered potential. The potential is composed of Gaussians having random location and random depth;…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Christof Kuelske

Gibbs sampling is a Markov chain Monte Carlo method that is often used for learning and inference on graphical models. Minibatching, in which a small random subset of the graph is used at each iteration, can help make Gibbs sampling scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Ruqi Zhang , Christopher De Sa

We study the thermodynamic properties of the generalized non-convex multispecies Curie-Weiss model, where interactions among different types of particles (forming the species) are encoded in a generic matrix. For spins with a generic prior…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-02-28 Francesco Camilli , Emanuele Mingione , Godwin Osabutey

The zero-temperature Ising model is known to reach a fully ordered ground state in sufficiently dense random graphs. In sparse random graphs, the dynamics gets absorbed in disordered local minima at magnetization close to zero. Here, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-31 Armin Pournaki , Eckehard Olbrich , Sven Banisch , Konstantin Klemm

Estimating boundary curves has many applications such as economics, climate science, and medicine. Bayesian trend filtering has been developed as one of locally adaptive smoothing methods to estimate the non-stationary trend of data. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Takahiro Onizuka , Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

We establish quantitative bounds for rates of convergence and asymptotic variances for iterated conditional sequential Monte Carlo (i-cSMC) Markov chains and associated particle Gibbs samplers. Our main findings are that the essential…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Christophe Andrieu , Anthony Lee , Matti Vihola

The notion of Gibbs Measure is used by many researchers of the communities of Mathematical Physics, Probability, Thermodynamic Formalism, Symbolic Dynamics, and others. A natural question is when these several different notions of Gibbs…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Bruno Kimura

Regression trees and random forests are popular and effective non-parametric estimators in practical applications. A recent paper by Athey and Wager shows that the random forest estimate at any point is asymptotically Gaussian; in this…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-02 Kevin Li

We provide a general bound on the Wasserstein distance between two arbitrary distributions of sequences of Bernoulli random variables. The bound is in terms of a mixing quantity for the Glauber dynamics of one of the sequences, and a simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-12 Gesine Reinert , Nathan Ross