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Regression problems with bounded continuous outcomes frequently arise in real-world statistical and machine learning applications, such as the analysis of rates and proportions. A central challenge in this setting is predicting a response…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-21 Zhanli Wu , Fabrizio Leisen , F. Javier Rubio

In this work, we propose a novel deep bootstrap framework for nonparametric regression based on conditional diffusion models. Specifically, we construct a conditional diffusion model to learn the distribution of the response variable given…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jinyuan Chang , Yuling Jiao , Lican Kang , Junjie Shi

Counterfactual explanations (CFEs) are essential for interpreting black-box models, yet they often become invalid when models are slightly changed. Existing methods for generating robust CFEs are often limited to specific types of models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Marcin Kostrzewa , Maciej Zięba , Jerzy Stefanowski

The estimation of cumulative distribution functions (CDF) is an important learning task with a great variety of downstream applications, such as risk assessments in predictions and decision making. In this paper, we study functional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Qian Zhang , Anuran Makur , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli

We are concerned with obtaining well-calibrated output distributions from regression models. Such distributions allow us to quantify the uncertainty that the model has regarding the predicted target value. We introduce the novel concept of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-16 Hao Song , Tom Diethe , Meelis Kull , Peter Flach

This work presents a new approach, called MISFIT, for fitting generalized functional linear regression models with sparsely and irregularly sampled data. Current methods do not allow for consistent estimation unless one assumes that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-10 Justin Petrovich , Matthew Reimherr , Carrie Daymont

The beta model is the most important distribution for fitting data with the unit interval. However, the beta distribution is not suitable to model bimodal unit interval data. In this paper, we propose a bimodal beta distribution constructed…

Linear regressions with endogeneity are widely used to estimate causal effects. This paper studies a framework that involves two common practical issues: endogeneity of the regressors and heteroskedasticity that depends on endogenous…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-10 Javier Alejo , Antonio F. Galvao , Julian Martinez-Iriarte , Gabriel Montes-Rojas

We study nonparametric estimation of univariate cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) pertaining to data missing at random. The proposed estimators smooth the inverse probability weighted (IPW) empirical CDF with the Bernstein operator,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Rihab Gharbi , Wissem Jedidi , Salah Khardani , Frédéric Ouimet

The problem of detecting change points in the parameters of a linear regression model with errors and covariates exhibiting heteroscedasticity is considered. Asymptotic results for weighted functionals of the cumulative sum (CUSUM)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Lajos Horvath , Gregory Rice , Yuqian Zhao

The aim of this paper is to show the interest in fitting features with an $\alpha$-stable distribution to classify imperfect data. The supervised pattern recognition is thus based on the theory of continuous belief functions, which is a way…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-23 Anthony Fiche , Jean-Christophe Cexus , Arnaud Martin , Ali Khenchaf

A residual-based empirical distribution function is proposed to estimate the distribution function of the errors of a heteroskedastic nonparametric regression with responses missing at random based on completely observed data, and this…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-28 Justin Chown

We collect robust proposals given in the field of regression models with heteroscedastic errors. Our motivation stems from the fact that the practitioner frequently faces the confluence of two phenomena in the context of data analysis:…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Conceição Amado , Ana M. Bianco , Graciela Boente , Isabel M. Rodrigues

Normalizing flows model a complex target distribution in terms of a bijective transform operating on a simple base distribution. As such, they enable tractable computation of a number of important statistical quantities, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Chandramouli Shama Sastry , Andreas Lehrmann , Marcus Brubaker , Alexander Radovic

Contribution of this paper lies in the formulation and estimation of a generalized model for stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) that nests virtually all forms used and includes some that have not been considered so far. The model is based…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-13 Kamil Makieła , Błażej Mazur

Learning conditional densities and identifying factors that influence the entire distribution are vital tasks in data-driven applications. Conventional approaches work mostly with summary statistics, and are hence inadequate for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Chengliang Tang , Nathan Lenssen , Ying Wei , Tian Zheng

Unmeasured confounding bias threatens the validity of observational studies. While sensitivity analyses and study designs have been proposed to address this issue, they often overlook the growing availability of auxiliary data. Using…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Jie Kate Hu , Dafne Zorzetto , Francesca Dominici

Breaking safety constraints in control systems can lead to potential risks, resulting in unexpected costs or catastrophic damage. Nevertheless, uncertainty is ubiquitous, even among similar tasks. In this paper, we develop a novel adaptive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-17 Shengbo Wang , Ke Li , Yin Yang , Yuting Cao , Tingwen Huang , Shiping Wen

The estimation of cumulative distribution functions (CDF) and probability density functions (PDF) is a fundamental practice in applied statistics. However, challenges often arise when dealing with data arranged in grouped intervals. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-25 Ejike R. Ugba , Jan Gertheiss

This paper builds on recent research that focuses on regression modeling of continuous bounded data, such as proportions measured on a continuous scale. Specifically, it deals with beta regression models with mixed effects from a Bayesian…