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We consider estimating average treatment effects (ATE) of a binary treatment in observational data when data-driven variable selection is needed to select relevant covariates from a moderately large number of available covariates…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 David Cheng , Abhishek Chakrabortty , Ashwin N. Ananthakrishnan , Tianxi Cai

Accurate time series forecasting is critical for a wide range of problems with temporal data. Ensemble modeling is a well-established technique for leveraging multiple predictive models to increase accuracy and robustness, as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Dimitris Bertsimas , Leonard Boussioux

Traditional VMAT optimization often ignores dynamic machine limits, treating delivery time as an emergent property rather than a steerable parameter. This work introduces Dynamic Modulated Arc Therapy (DMAT), an intent-driven framework that…

Adaptive radiation therapy (ART) could protect organs at risk (OARs) while maintain high dose coverage to targets. However, there still lack efficient online patient QA methods. We aim to develop a clinically relevant online patient quality…

Geometric uncertainty can degrade treatment quality in radiation therapy. While margins and robust optimization mitigate these effects, they provide only implicit control over clinical goal fulfillment probability. We therefore develop a…

Medical Physics · Physics 2026-01-14 Albin Fredriksson , Erik Engwall , Jenneke de Jong , Johan Sundström

In this paper, we develop a multiply robust inference procedure of the average treatment effect (ATE) for data with high-dimensional covariates. We consider the case where it is difficult to correctly specify a single parametric model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Xintao Xia , Yumou Qiu

We conduct a theoretical study of various solution methods for the adaptive fractionation problem. The two messages of this paper are: (i) dynamic programming (DP) is a useful framework for adaptive radiation therapy, particularly adaptive…

Medical Physics · Physics 2012-02-16 Jagdish Ramakrishnan , David Craft , Thomas Bortfeld , John N. Tsitsiklis

Radiotherapy treatment planning often relies on time-consuming, trial-and-error adjustments that heavily depend on the expertise of specialists, while existing deep learning methods face limitations in generalization, prediction accuracy,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Hui Xie , Haiqin Hu , Lijuan Ding , Qing Li , Yue Sun , Tao Tan

Estimation and inference for the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is a cornerstone of causal inference and often serves as the foundation for developing procedures for more complicated settings. Although traditionally analyzed in a batch…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-10 Ojash Neopane , Aaditya Ramdas , Aarti Singh

We study the problem of estimating the average treatment effect (ATE) in adaptive experiments where treatment can only be encouraged -- rather than directly assigned -- via a binary instrumental variable. Building on semiparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Miruna Oprescu , Brian M Cho , Nathan Kallus

The Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is a global measure of the effectiveness of an experimental treatment intervention. Classical methods of its estimation either ignore relevant covariates or do not fully exploit them. Moreover, past work…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-05 Emil Pitkin , Richard Berk , Lawrence Brown , Andreas Buja , Ed George , Kai Zhang , Linda Zhao

Estimation of the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is a core problem in causal inference with strong connections to Off-Policy Evaluation in Reinforcement Learning. This paper considers the problem of adaptively selecting the treatment…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-22 Ojash Neopane , Aaditya Ramdas , Aarti Singh

A central problem in the field of radiation therapy (RT) is how to optimally deliver dose to a patient in a way that fully accounts for anatomical position changes over time. As current RT is a static process, where beam intensities are…

Medical Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Rodney D. Wiersma , Xinmin Liu

Predicting a driver's cognitive state, or more specifically, modeling a driver's reaction time (RT) in response to the appearance of a potential hazard warrants urgent research. In the last two decades, the electric field that is generated…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Chun-Hsiang Chuang , Zehong Cao , Po-Tsang Chen , Chih-Sheng Huang , Nikhil R. Pal , Chin-Teng Lin

The authors propose robust adaptive strategies based on stochastic minimax optimization for a series of simulated treatments on a one-dimensional patient phantom. The plan applied during the first fractions should be able to handle…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-01 Michelle Böck , Anders Forsgren , Kjell Eriksson , Björn Hårdemark

Purpose: To evaluate the clinical need for automated decision-support platforms for Adaptive Radiotherapy Therapy (ART) of Head & Neck cancer (HNC) patients. Methods: We tested RTapp (SegAna), a new decision-support software for ART, to…

Medical Physics · Physics 2021-10-05 Sébastien A A Gros , Anand P Santhanam , Alec M Block , Bahman Emami , Brian H Lee , Cara Joyce

In a Phase II dose-finding study with a placebo control, a new drug with several dose levels is compared with a placebo to test for the effectiveness of the new drug. The main focus of such studies often lies in the characterization of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Saswati Saha , Werner Brannath

Purpose: We present a framework for robust automated treatment planning using machine learning, comprising scenario-specific dose prediction and robust dose mimicking. Methods: The scenario dose prediction pipeline is divided into the…

Medical Physics · Physics 2022-10-12 Oskar Eriksson , Tianfang Zhang

Background: Phase I dose-finding trials increasingly encounter delayed-onset toxicities, especially with immunotherapies and targeted agents. The time-to-event continual reassessment method (TITE-CRM) handles incomplete follow-up using…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Robert Amevor , Emmanuel Kubuafor , Dennis Baidoo

In this paper we consider estimation of sparse covariance matrices and propose a thresholding procedure which is adaptive to the variability of individual entries. The estimators are fully data driven and enjoy excellent performance both…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-14 Tony Cai , Weidong Liu