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We study the performance of the Least Squares Estimator (LSE) in a general nonparametric regression model, when the errors are independent of the covariates but may only have a $p$-th moment ($p\geq 1$). In such a heavy-tailed regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Qiyang Han , Jon A. Wellner

The dynamic energy sector requires both predictive accuracy and runtime efficiency for short-term forecasting of energy generation under operational constraints, where timely and precise predictions are crucial. The manual configuration of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Georg Velev , Stefan Lessmann

We propose a neural network-based approach that computes a stable and generalizing metric (LSiM) to compare data from a variety of numerical simulation sources. We focus on scalar time-dependent 2D data that commonly arises from motion and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Georg Kohl , Kiwon Um , Nils Thuerey

While cross entropy (CE) is the most commonly used loss to train deep neural networks for classification tasks, many alternative losses have been developed to obtain better empirical performance. Among them, which one is the best to use is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Jinxin Zhou , Chong You , Xiao Li , Kangning Liu , Sheng Liu , Qing Qu , Zhihui Zhu

We introduce a manifold analysis technique for neural network representations. Normalized Space Alignment (NSA) compares pairwise distances between two point clouds derived from the same source and having the same size, while potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Danish Ebadulla , Aditya Gulati , Ambuj Singh

Multi Task Learning (MTL) efficiently leverages useful information contained in multiple related tasks to help improve the generalization performance of all tasks. This article conducts a large dimensional analysis of a simple but, as we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-04 Malik Tiomoko , Romain Couillet , Hafiz Tiomoko

Sample selection improves the efficiency and effectiveness of machine learning models by providing informative and representative samples. Typically, samples can be modeled as a sample graph, where nodes are samples and edges represent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Tianchi Xie , Jiangning Zhu , Guozu Ma , Minzhi Lin , Wei Chen , Weikai Yang , Shixia Liu

Learning unnormalized statistical models (e.g., energy-based models) is computationally challenging due to the complexity of handling the partition function. To eschew this complexity, noise-contrastive estimation~(NCE) has been proposed by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Wei Jiang , Jiayu Qin , Lingyu Wu , Changyou Chen , Tianbao Yang , Lijun Zhang

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDEs) model the drift and diffusion functions of a stochastic process as neural networks. While NSDEs are known to make accurate predictions, their uncertainty quantification properties have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

We consider the problem of sequential decision making under uncertainty in which the loss caused by a decision depends on the following binary observation. In competitive on-line learning, the goal is to design decision algorithms that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Vladimir Vovk

Spiking neural networks (SNNs) operating with asynchronous discrete events show higher energy efficiency with sparse computation. A popular approach for implementing deep SNNs is ANN-SNN conversion combining both efficient training of ANNs…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Ziming Wang , Shuang Lian , Yuhao Zhang , Xiaoxin Cui , Rui Yan , Huajin Tang

Latent neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have recently emerged as a promising approach for learning generative models from stochastic time series data. However, they systematically underestimate the noise level inherent in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Linus Heck , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Michael T. Schaub , Niklas Boers

This paper studies the asymptotic properties of the adaptive elastic net in ultra-high dimensional sparse linear regression models and proposes a new method called SSLS (Separate Selection from Least Squares) to improve prediction accuracy.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-15 Yuehan Yang , Hu Yang

Simulation-Grounded Neural Networks (SGNNs) are predictive models trained entirely on synthetic data from mechanistic simulations. They have achieved state-of-the-art performance in domains where real-world labels are limited or unobserved,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Carson Dudley , Marisa Eisenberg

The loss function used to train a neural network is strongly connected to its output layer from a statistical point of view. This technical report analyzes common activation functions for a neural network output layer, like linear, sigmoid,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Fernando Berzal

A dimension reduction method based on the "Nonlinear Level set Learning" (NLL) approach is presented for the pointwise prediction of functions which have been sparsely sampled. Leveraging geometric information provided by the Implicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-10 Anthony Gruber , Max Gunzburger , Lili Ju , Yuankai Teng , Zhu Wang

Nested sampling (NS) is a stochastic method for computing the log-evidence of a Bayesian problem. It relies on stochastic estimates of prior volumes enclosed by likelihood contours, which limits the accuracy of the log-evidence calculation.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-11-27 Margret Westerkamp , Jakob Roth , Philipp Frank , Will Handley , Torsten Enßlin

Accurate precipitation estimation is critical for flood forecasting, water resource management, and disaster preparedness. Satellite products provide global hourly coverage but contain systematic biases; ground-based gauges are accurate at…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Shunya Nagashima , Takumi Bannai , Shuitsu Koyama , Tomoya Mitsui , Shuntaro Suzuki

Accurate load prediction is an effective way to reduce power system operation costs. Traditionally, the mean square error (MSE) is a common-used loss function to guide the training of an accurate load forecasting model. However, the MSE…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-06 Jialun Zhang , Yi Wang , Gabriela Hug

We propose a new convex loss for Support Vector Machines, both for the binary classification and for the regression models. Therefore, we show the mathematical derivation of the dual problems and we experiment with them on several small…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Filippo Portera