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Tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting is crucial for disaster preparedness and mitigation. While recent deep learning approaches have shown promise, existing methods often treat TC evolution as a series of independent frame-to-frame…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Zhibo Ren , Pritthijit Nath , Pancham Shukla

Precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) can cause disasters such as flooding, mudslides, and landslides. Predicting such precipitation in advance is crucial, giving people time to prepare and defend against these precipitation-induced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Cheng Huang , Pan Mu , Cong Bai , Peter AG Watson

Tropical Cyclone (TC) estimation aims to accurately estimate various TC attributes in real time. However, distribution shifts arising from the complex and dynamic nature of TC environmental fields, such as varying geographical conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Hanting Yan , Pan Mu , Shiqi Zhang , Yuchao Zhu , Jinglin Zhang , Cong Bai

Deep learning-based tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting methods have demonstrated significant potential and application advantages, as they feature much lower computational cost and faster operation speed than numerical weather prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Qixiang Li , Yuan Zhou , Shuwei Huo , Chong Wang , Xiaofeng Li

Tropical cyclones (TCs) are among the most devastating natural hazards, yet their intensity remains notoriously difficult to predict. NWP models are constrained by both computational demands and intrinsic predictability, while…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-21 Shan Guo , Lei Chen , Yangyang Zhao , Yuetan Lin , Zeyi Niu , Xinyan Zhang , Ziyao Sun , Xiaohui Zhong , Hao Li

Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasting is crucial for early disaster warning and emergency decision-making. Numerous researchers have explored deep-learning methods to address computational and post-processing issues in operational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Xinyu Wang , Lei Liu , Kang Chen , Tao Han , Bin Li , Lei Bai

The forecast of tropical cyclone trajectories is crucial for the protection of people and property. Although forecast dynamical models can provide high-precision short-term forecasts, they are computationally demanding, and current…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-13 Sophie Giffard-Roisin , Mo Yang , Guillaume Charpiat , Christina Kumler-Bonfanti , Balázs Kégl , Claire Monteleoni

An open-source, physics-based tropical cyclone downscaling model is developed, in order to generate a large climatology of tropical cyclones. The model is composed of three primary components: (1) a random seeding process that determines…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-06-19 Jonathan Lin , Raphael Rousseau-Rizzi , Chia-Ying Lee , Adam Sobel

Traditional methods for enhancing tropical cyclone (TC) intensity from climate model outputs or projections have primarily relied on either dynamical or statistical downscaling. With recent advances in deep learning (DL) techniques, a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-10 Minh-Khanh Luong , Chanh Kieu

Weather forecasting is essential but remains computationally intensive and physically incomplete in traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods. Deep learning (DL) models offer efficiency and accuracy but often ignore physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Yingtao Luo , Shikai Fang , Binqing Wu , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

Accurate tropical cyclone (TC) intensity prediction is crucial for mitigating storm hazards, yet its complex dynamics pose challenges to traditional methods. Here, we introduce a Physics-Informed Residual Neural Ordinary Differential…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-11 Fan Meng

While deep learning has shown tremendous success in a wide range of domains, it remains a grand challenge to incorporate physical principles in a systematic manner to the design, training, and inference of such models. In this paper, we aim…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-16 Rui Wang , Karthik Kashinath , Mustafa Mustafa , Adrian Albert , Rose Yu

Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasts are ultimately issued by human forecasters. The human in-the-loop pipeline requires that any forecasting guidance must be easily digestible by TC experts if it is to be adopted at operational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Trey McNeely , Niccolò Dalmasso , Kimberly M. Wood , Ann B. Lee

Tropical cyclones (TC) are among the most destructive natural disasters, causing catastrophic damage to coastal regions through extreme winds, heavy rainfall, and storm surges. Timely monitoring of tropical cyclones is crucial for reducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Jiakang Shen , Qinghui Chen , Runtong Wang , Chenrui Xu , Jinglin Zhang , Cong Bai , Feng Zhang

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks by progressively adding noise to data through a forward process and then reversing this process to generate realistic samples. While these models have achieved strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xingzhuo Guo , Yu Zhang , Baixu Chen , Haoran Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Physics-informed deep learning has been developed as a novel paradigm for learning physical dynamics recently. While general physics-informed deep learning methods have shown early promise in learning fluid dynamics, they are difficult to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-06-07 Jing Qiu , Jiancheng Huang , Xiangdong Zhang , Zeng Lin , Minglei Pan , Zengding Liu , Fen Miao

Global deep-learning weather prediction models have recently been shown to produce forecasts that rival those from physics-based models run at operational centers. It is unclear whether these models have encoded atmospheric dynamics, or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-21 Gregory J. Hakim , Sanjit Masanam

As tropical cyclones become more intense due to climate change, the rise of Al-based modelling provides a more affordable and accessible approach compared to traditional methods based on mathematical models. This work leverages generative…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-31 Pritthijit Nath , Pancham Shukla , Shuai Wang , César Quilodrán-Casas

Anthropogenic influences have been linked to tropical cyclone (TC) poleward migration, TC extreme precipitation, and an increased proportion of major hurricanes [1, 2, 3, 4]. Understanding past TC trends and variability is critical for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 Buo-Fu Chen , Boyo Chen , Chun-Min Hsiao , Hsu-Feng Teng , Cheng-Shang Lee , Hung-Chi Kuo
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