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The travel demand forecasting model plays a crucial role in evaluating large-scale infrastructure projects, such as the construction of new roads or transit lines. While combined modeling approaches have been explored as a solution to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-04 Youngseo Kim , Samitha Samaranayake , Damon Wischik

We study a many-server queueing model with server vacations, where the population size dynamics of servers and customers are coupled: a server may leave for vacation only when no customers await, and the capacity available to customers is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Rami Atar , Prasenjit Karmakar , David Lipshutz

In many areas of industry and society, e.g., energy, healthcare, logistics, agents collect vast amounts of data that they deem proprietary. These data owners extract predictive information of varying quality and relevance from data…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-07 Aitazaz Ali Raja , Pierre Pinson , Jalal Kazempour , Sergio Grammatico

The energy transition is expected to significantly increase the share of renewable energy sources whose production is intermittent in the electricity mix. Apart from key benefits, this development has the major drawback of generating a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-30 Thibaut Théate , Antonio Sutera , Damien Ernst

We consider an intermediary's problem of dynamically matching demand and supply of heterogeneous types in a periodic-review fashion. More specifically, there are two disjoint sets of demand and supply types, and a reward associated with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Ming Hu , Yun Zhou

This paper proposes a two-step framework for techno-economic analysis of a demand-side flexibility service in distribution networks. Step one applies optimization-based modelling to propose a generic problem formulation which determines the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-10 Timur Sayfutdinov , Charalampos Patsios , David Greenwood , Meltem Peker , Ilias Sarantakos

Platforms matching spatially distributed supply to demand face a fundamental design choice: given a fixed total budget of service range, how should it be allocated across supply nodes ex ante, i.e. before supply and demand locations are…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Taha Ameen , Flore Sentenac , Sophie H. Yu

Although both data availability and the demand for accurate forecasts are increasing, collaboration between stakeholders is often constrained by data ownership and competitive interests. In contrast to recent proposals within cooperative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Michael Vitali , Pierre Pinson

Forecasting and decision-making are generally modeled as two sequential steps with no feedback, following an open-loop approach. In this paper, we present application-driven learning, a new closed-loop framework in which the processes of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Joaquim Dias Garcia , Alexandre Street , Tito Homem-de-Mello , Francisco D. Muñoz

We address the challenging problem of dynamically pricing complementary items that are sequentially displayed to customers. An illustrative example is the online sale of flight tickets, where customers navigate through multiple web pages.…

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Rares Cristian , Pavithra Harsha , Clemente Ocejo , Georgia Perakis , Brian Quanz , Ioannis Spantidakis , Hamza Zerhouni

We study randomized experiments in a service system when stochastic congestion can arise from temporarily limited supply or excess demand. Such congestion gives rise to cross-unit interference between the waiting customers, and analytic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-17 Shuangning Li , Ramesh Johari , Xu Kuang , Stefan Wager

We study the tactical time slot management problem under mixed logit demand for attended home delivery in subscription settings. We propose a static mixed-integer linear programming model that integrates delivery slot assortment, price…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-15 Dorsa Abdolhamidi , Virginie Lurkin

This study develops an online predictive optimization framework for dynamically operating a transit service in an area of crowd movements. The proposed framework integrates demand prediction and supply optimization to periodically redesign…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Inon Peled , Kelvin Lee , Yu Jiang , Justin Dauwels , Francisco C. Pereira

Central banks rely on density forecasts from professional surveys to assess inflation risks and communicate uncertainty. A central challenge in using these surveys is irregular participation: forecasters enter and exit, skip rounds, and…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-06 Matthew C. Johnson , Matteo Luciani , Minzhengxiong Zhang , Kenichiro McAlinn

Quantity and price risks are key uncertainties market participants face in electricity markets with increased volatility, for instance, due to high shares of renewables. From day ahead until real-time, there is a large variation in the best…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Paul E. Seifert , Emil Kraft , Steffen Bakker , Stein-Erik Fleten

Motivated by the dynamic assortment offerings and item pricings occurring in e-commerce, we study a general problem of allocating finite inventories to heterogeneous customers arriving sequentially. We analyze this problem under the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Will Ma , David Simchi-Levi

Studies looking at electricity market designs for very high shares of wind and solar often conclude that the energy-only market will break down. Without fuel costs, it is said that there is nothing to set prices. Symptoms of breakdown…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-29 Tom Brown , Fabian Neumann , Iegor Riepin

This research investigates the implementation of a real-time, microservices-oriented dynamic pricing system for the travel sector. The system is designed to address factors such as demand, competitor pricing, and other external…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Biman Barua , M. Shamim Kaiser

We develop a new approach to estimating flexible demand models with exogenous supply-side shocks. Our approach avoids conventional assumptions of exogenous product characteristics, putting no restrictions on product entry, despite using…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-08 Kirill Borusyak , Mauricio Caceres Bravo , Peter Hull