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In complex large-scale systems such as climate, important effects are caused by a combination of confounding processes that are not fully observable. The identification of sources from observations of system state is vital for attribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-22 Joseph Hart , Mamikon Gulian , Indu Manickam , Laura Swiler

We investigate the convergence rates of variational posterior distributions for statistical inverse problems involving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). Departing from exact Bayesian inference, variational inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Shaokang Zu , Junxiong Jia , Deyu Meng

A fully Bayesian treatment of complicated predictive models (such as deep neural networks) would enable rigorous uncertainty quantification and the automation of higher-level tasks including model selection. However, the intractability of…

Bayesian inference for high-dimensional inverse problems is computationally costly and requires selecting a suitable prior distribution. Amortized variational inference addresses these challenges via a neural network that approximates the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-19 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann

Uncertainty quantification of groundwater (GW) aquifer parameters is critical for efficient management and sustainable extraction of GW resources. These uncertainties are introduced by the data, model, and prior information on the…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-08 Amal Alghamdi , Marc Hesse , Jingyi Chen , Umberto Villa , Omar Ghattas

In inverse problems, it is widely recognized that the incorporation of a sparsity prior yields a regularization effect on the solution. This approach is grounded on the a priori assumption that the unknown can be appropriately represented…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-13 Giovanni S. Alberti , Luca Ratti , Matteo Santacesaria , Silvia Sciutto

This paper presents a study of the large-sample behavior of the posterior distribution of a structural parameter which is partially identified by moment inequalities. The posterior density is derived based on the limited information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Yuan Liao , Wenxin Jiang

Inverse problems are prevalent in both scientific research and engineering applications. In the context of Bayesian inverse problems, sampling from the posterior distribution can be particularly challenging when the forward models are…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-17 Zhihang Xu , Xiaoyu Zhu , Daoji Li , Qifeng Liao

Bayesian Neural Networks provide a principled framework for uncertainty quantification by modeling the posterior distribution of network parameters. However, exact posterior inference is computationally intractable, and widely used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Alfredo Reichlin , Miguel Vasco , Danica Kragic

In this paper we investigate the Bayesian approach to inverse Robin problems. These are problems for certain elliptic boundary value problems of determining a Robin coefficient on a hidden part of the boundary from Cauchy data on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-30 Aksel Kaastrup Rasmussen , Fanny Seizilles , Mark Girolami , Ieva Kazlauskaite

Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop

We present a new Bayesian methodology to learn the unknown material density of a given sample by inverting its two-dimensional images that are taken with a Scanning Electron Microscope. An image results from a sequence of projections of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-06 Dalia Chakrabarty , Fabio Rigat , Nare Gabrielyan , Richard Beanland , Shashi Paul

We derive posterior contraction rates (PCRs) and finite-sample Bernstein von Mises (BvM) results for non-parametric Bayesian models by extending the diffusion-based framework of Mou et al. (2024) to the infinite-dimensional setting. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Enric Alberola-Boloix , Ioar Casado-Telletxea

Inverse analysis, such as model calibration, often suffers from a lack of informative data in complex real-world scenarios. The standard remedy, designing new experimental setups, is often costly and time-consuming, while readily available…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Lea J. Haeusel , Jonas Nitzler , Lea J. Köglmeier , Wolfgang A. Wall

Since their initial introduction, score-based diffusion models (SDMs) have been successfully applied to solve a variety of linear inverse problems in finite-dimensional vector spaces due to their ability to efficiently approximate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Lorenzo Baldassari , Ali Siahkoohi , Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna , Maarten V. de Hoop

This article revisits the problem of Bayesian shape-restricted inference in the light of a recently developed approximate Gaussian process that admits an equivalent formulation of the shape constraints in terms of the basis coefficients. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Pallavi Ray , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric models resulting from sieve priors. The aim of the paper is to provide general conditions to get posterior rates when the parameter space has a general structure,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Julyan Arbel , Ghislaine Gayraud , Judith Rousseau

A Bayesian inference method for problems with small samples and sparse data is presented in this paper. A general type of prior ($\propto 1/\sigma^{q}$) is proposed to formulate the Bayesian posterior for inference problems under small…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-14 Jingjing He , Xuefei Guan

We propose a structured prior for high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems based on a disentangled deep generative model whose latent space is partitioned into auxiliary variables aligned with known and interpretable physical parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-03 Arkaprabha Ganguli , Emil Constantinescu

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems is of paramount importance in quantifying uncertainty about the input to and the state of a system of interest given noisy observations. Herein we consider the forward problem of the forced 2D…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-22 Viet Ha Hoang , Kody J. H. Law , Andrew M. Stuart